1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »
  2. Hey Guest, The Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 is now active, so cast your votes! Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 »

General MMA discussion and future lines - March 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sham5916910, Mar 1, 2016.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Tom Breese vs Sean Strickland

    amazing fight. Lines will be interesting, and definitely determine what I do, since this is hard to call. Thinking Strickland by dec will be a line with good value.
     
  2. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Rory MacDonald vs. Stephen Thompson
    Donald Cerrone vs. Patrick Cote
    Elias Theodorou vs. Sam Alvey
    Steve Bosse vs. Sean O'Connell
    Tamdan McCrory vs. Krysztof Jotko
    Misha Cirkunov vs. Ion Cutelaba
    Oliver Aubin-Mercier vs. Thibault Gouti
    Alex Garcia vs. Colby Covington
    Jason Saggo vs. Leandro Silva

    ^^^^Lots of new fights added to Ottawa FN

    Do not sleep on Cutelaba!!! Kid is a beast, and will gladly play him if Misha is juiced. EDIT actually at any dog odds i'll be on Cutelaba.

    Love Saggo but we'll see where the line is.
    Like Covington or the over.
    Like the over for OAM/Gouti
    Like McCrory
    Like Elias by dec
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,236
    Likes Received:
    0
    Hoping Breese is favourite defo fading him.

    Elias dec for sure hedged with Alvey KO. Garcia Colby over for sure.

    Struve now -160 Betsafe lol
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    39,847
    Likes Received:
    6,762
    WTF Jones arrested for probation violation??
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    what a doofus :/
     
  6. PuertoRican Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2012
    Messages:
    16,204
    Likes Received:
    1,942



    Can't wait to see the full video.
     
  7. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    42,069
    Likes Received:
    559
    Location:
    Merica
    This post doesn't make any sense to me unless you freerolled. If the fight was going to be competitive, how is -280 too good to pass up?
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    39,847
    Likes Received:
    6,762
    IIRC Joe B and a few others jumped on that line right away just for movement. They were betting Conor would get bet up from there and then freerolled like you said. I'd have done the same had I grabbed that opener but he was already -350 or so by the time I saw the line was up.
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Yup. Didn't free roll, but hedged out of the parlay after the over hit in Tate's fight. Tried to free roll when Nate was +700 on live bet but missed it.

    Keep in mind it's not like we had much time to think about it. Literally right after the fight was announced that line was up. I was playing the movement, not the fight. I hadn't thought much at all about how it could play out at that time.
     
  10. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2010
    Messages:
    4,344
    Likes Received:
    73
    that diaz line is going to be evens across the board soon, lot of ppl betting him I've heard. It's a bit strange the fight hasn't been announced yet, possible negotiations on the weight I suppose. but didn't kavanagh say last week, that the fight was going to be official last weekend? seems strange, with nate effectively calling out gsp too, he didn't seem like he wanted the rematch for reasons other than $, so a gsp fight would be a huge cash cow as well. ah well at least on the plus side if this rematch doesn't happen I won't have a ton of cash tied up for ages.

    EDIT: yeah a lot of ppl played conor for line movement last time, in anticipation of all the irish/casuals money coming in, which didn't happen as much as usual but still pushed the line down. I think this is partially why diaz is an underdog again, bookies overestimating the amount of ppl and $ that will be bet on conor this time.
     
    Last edited: Mar 30, 2016
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    UFC Fight Night 87:
    May 8, 2016 | Ahoy Rotterdam | Rotterdam, Netherlands

    MAIN CARD

    Antonio Silva +150
    Stefan Struve -190

    Gunnar Nelson +100
    Albert Tumenov -140

    ———-

    UFC 199:
    June 4, 2016 | The Forum | Los Angeles, California

    MAIN CARD

    Bobby Green +160
    Dustin Poirier -210

    ———-

    UFC 200:
    July 9, 2016 | T-Mobile Arena | Las Vegas, Nevada

    MAIN CARD

    Travis Browne +220
    Cain Velasquez -300

    Derek Brunson +160
    Gegard Mousasi -210
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    took tumenov -140
     
  13. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    Ugh Struve -190...
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    o1.5 velasquez-browne -120 looks decent...
     
  15. Rebel_LioN Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2007
    Messages:
    11,755
    Likes Received:
    3,370
    Location:
    LONG BEACH CITY
    Tumenov is 4 real.

    Green has value but that fight will hit the cards as a more solid pick. They're fighting in Los Angeles (ingleHOOD to be exact) I might go to that card and hopefully I don't get shot.

    The over for Cain/Browne yes.

    Moose will catch Brunson coming in either by KO, or Brunson will freeze up as a result of getting his nose busted.
     
  16. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    I hate when they do this when I've been waiting for all the UFN 86 odds lol
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    no kidding

    sucks even more when you've lost $1300 the night before

    FUCK i'm dumb.
     
  18. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    4,182
    Likes Received:
    165
    me too. He is already -180

    Glad to see we agree now that I came back to check the forum!
     
  19. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Bookies love Gunnar. Shame I missed Tumenov -140.

    Really hoping people bet Bigfoot.
     
  20. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    Damn, sorry man. I got hit hard on Sunday, too, for only slightly less

    It's bound to happen to everyone every once in a while. Just gotta remember we're in for the long haul
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.