General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

You played both stipe and francis in separate parlays with the same fighters?

 

They don’t call me the Degeneral for nothing

 

What does everyone think the Shevchenko vs Andrade odds will be? I don't expect Shevchenko to be as extreme of a favorite as she's been her last few fights (-700 / -1200 range). Perhaps -400 / 600 ish.

 

I can only hope so. At those numbers, I would very happily play Andrade, and there would possibly be a great many good props that would be opened by such extreme lines.

 

Ugh, I was hoping for +400 on Andrade or better. There might still be value on her at +285, but I'm willing to wait on people juicing Valentina's line further.

 

Thats just paying the juice twice, just remove that fight

 

I live for juice

 

Then dont give it away to the bookies.

 

Anyone feeling degenerate there are some juiced up squash matches set for UWC 25 on fight pass tonight.

 

Anyone still betting LFA? I've been going to bed really early Fridays so I skip it, but I'm definitely betting this one. Once odds come out on my book, I've got one that I'm really eyeing.

 

Anybody think Don Tale Mayes might be decent at +200 against Tuivasa? Zhang at -190 against Thug Rose is looking good to me too.

 

Roque Martinez is a similar fighter and their fight was decently close. Tuivasa is a bit bigger and more athletic. If anything I'd play Don Tale by DEC.

 

I see Brunson @ +150 having tremendous value over Holland. I think the line should be flipped.

Edit: after tape, this is my biggest play of the year

 

It's a line I've been eyeing as well. Brunson will probably take him down with ease. I don't see a freak incident from bottom like the fight against Jacare happen again once it's on the ground .

 

Dariush vs Ferguson, now that's an interesting fight. Have the wheels fallen off of El Cucuy's crazy train? Or will he be able to find Benny's chinny chin? I'm riding with the dark horse Dariush.

 

odds favored Tony when the line opened up but now have flipped, I agree with where they are now

 

Shev -500
Andrade +350

Something like that.

Shev will piece her up standing, Andrade is just light years behind. But seeing Maia have some success grappling would give Andrade at least some hope. She's a powerhouse and capable of winning rounds via grappling. The obvious issue is cardio on that front. Shev has it in spades, Andrade doesn't.

Edit: just saw someone else posted that odds are out.

Shev -350 isn't terrible. -300 she for sure would be in play imo.

 

My favorite fighter is a shell of himself. He's flat out old at LW. He looked physically noticeably slower vs Justin, there was the thought maybe it was the 2 weight cuts. Then manhandled by Chuck. Father Time is undefeated.

Maybe wouldn't bet Dariush but no way would bet Tony unless he was +160ish or better. Fighters fall off a cliff sometimes when they age and there's a good chance that happened here.