Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.
There is no info about injuries or retirement. May be usa visa issues or bellator contract dispute.
carlos eduardo is a terrible blanket.
sarafian is no world beater but he's pretty well rounded and levels above this guy. training with dollaway and bader he should be well equipped to deal with the sloppy grappling attack of eduardo.
mattos is vastly more technical than his opponent, but he's smaller and has suspect cardio. still at near pick 'em odds he's the right side here.
Rhys McKee might be worth a bet. Apparently he was couldn't rehydrate properly after the weigh ins before their first fight. He said he knew he only had a minute of energy in that fight.
I don't buy into those excuses but the first fight was back and forth until he got hurt to the body at the end of the first round. Lohore is way over juiced imo but Brazier isn't good. I'm defo looking to fade Lohore in a big way as a win here makes him 15-1 but this is probably not the spot not that i will touch Lohore at his odds.
Degen bet fabian + barnett
where did you get odds? and what odds was fabian? I wanted to bet Kent
Anybody got some ACB leans?
Betfred. Fabian -450 was -350.
Machida now -225.
That didn't take long. FIght 2 months away still too. Jeez he might hit -300 at some point.
smashed 1.57 at betonline yesterday, this line is way to generous on chida. very confident money will push it down further.
i like sarafian and mattos.
McKee looked amazing. Absolutely dismantled Barnett.
Yeah I crushed -150 (1.67) before it dropped. No clue why they opened it there. They screwed up with that opener.
You can argue Machida hasn't won a fight since 2014. If you can get good enough odds to free roll, I'd 100% do it. There's no reason to be risking a lot of money on a near 40 year old w a seemingly fading chin
It actually opened -120
I'll probably just make small bets on Vitor rd 1 and 2. Aside from the dec win over Nate (which Vitor was kinda gifted), the last time he won a fight that went past round 2 was...wait for it...2007! 11 years and 20-something fights. If it goes past round 2, I'm pretty confident Machida wins (scratch that, more than pretty confident). He's just as old as Machida, more mileage, and a worse chin. And he's proven he has 3-5 minutes worth of cardio at this point, tops. I mean yeah, the Anders fight was close, but that's a young up and coming guy who'd been blasting everyone. He clipped Lyoto a few times and Machida didn't crumble. He fought a great tactical fight given his opponent, and got the win. Kelvin hit Vitor with one decent punch and Vitor looked like he'd been hit with a wrecking ball.
And the 3 fights prior to Anders were Brunson, Rockhold, Jacare. I mean, yeah, they all stopped Machida but that's not exactly scrubs he's fighting. Those guys would have done the same thing to Vitor, probably just more quickly.
I cap Lyoto around -250 or so, maybe up to -300 range. Vitor's chance to win imo is to blitz Lyoto early and catch him. Otherwise, he's gonna slow down and get lit up (or at least clearly outpointed).
Wow, that's just crazy. I thought I had the best line at -150. Bonkers.
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