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General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - March, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.

  1. kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    One FC and CW Odds
     

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  2. null Gold Belt

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    LFA 56 Risk $1,100.40

    Killys Mota (-215) vs Austin Hubbard ~$241.40 for ~$112.28
    Killys Mota (-276) vs Austin Hubbard $552.00 for $200.00
    Killys Mota (-307) vs Austin Hubbard $307.00 for $100.00
     
  3. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Man, I'm on the other side of you on this one. I've got Hubbard at +290. I don't think Mota will outclass him anywhere and that this is going to be a close fight. Hubbard will have to be careful early, but I think it starts going his way if it goes late.
     
  4. null Gold Belt

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    In the pre-fight interview on AXS TV Fights Facebook page, Mota's trainer Glover Teixeira said he worked with Killys about taking his time and picking his shots (rather than blitzing like how he beat Bobby Lee I assume he means) and they expect Mota to get a second round finish. Made me feel comfortable hearing him specifically address that.
     
  5. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Holy shit, that may be one of the latest stoppages that I’ve seen. Hubbard almost killed him. I’ve never heard a crowd boo begging for a stoppage.

    Great start to my weekend though +290!
     
  6. Kowboy Karl Black Belt

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    Crazy!!!!!
     
  7. null Gold Belt

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    Well you were right Oblivian. Mota almost finished Hubbard in round 1 with an onslaught and then quickly gassed. Only person who feels worse right now than me is Mota after taking that extra long beating as the referee watched.
     
  8. Naught2Sixty Red Belt

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    Stoppages like that set the sport back a couple of ticks. Casual fans dont wanns see that. Hell I had a hard time watching it.
     
  9. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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  10. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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  11. Broe. Brown Belt

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    Are there any sportsbooks for livebetting that accept Bitcoin?
     
  12. danareem Green Belt

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    5dimes
     
  13. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Not even remotely surprised. BloodyElbow has zero journalistic standards (their articles are filled with misspellings, typos, bad grammar, etc.) and they hire grimy scumbags who know nothing about MMA.

    I actually knew another of their top writers and editors back in the day, who was an alcoholic fuck-up that would blame all his many mistakes on being drunk.

    I seriously have no clue why anyone reads that trash site.
     
  14. danareem Green Belt

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    On Foss +125, cage warriors 100, 1 unit
     
  15. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    Been getting multiple warnings lately from dimes for betting erroneous lines

    Chandler +280 primus -400

    Yea I thought the line was off, but I don’t watch bellator enough to think it should’ve been flipped

    Primus is undefeated, champ and stopped chandler in their last fight

    I don’t think primus at +280 is right either. Don’t think chandler should be -400.

    But that’s the line they set, so I bet primus after they voided my chandler bet

    Going to have to withdraw most of my funds from dimes. I have no problem betting at another book.

    My job as a bettor is to bet lines I think are wrong

    Pisses me off

    Elias opens at +175 against Anders. That line should’ve been flipped but dimes didn’t think that was erroneous. Was I not supposed to bet that? Turned out to be highly profitable for me

    How about you clowns take a second to make sure the line is right before you post it. Ridiculous
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2018
  16. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Yeah, that's ridiculous. It's not your job to guess what lines are errors of theirs or not. If they fuck up, that's on them. At the absolute minimum, they should compensate you for betting that initial line (some free play money, for instance), let alone actually blame you for their own mistakes.

    Speaking of Dimes, Nunes is +240 there. Cyborg should be the favorite here, sure, but really scrutinizing the tape, I'm having a hard time seeing any obvious advantage for Cyborg, and at least a few small disadvantags. At +240, I'm very happy to take a chance on Nunes.
     
  17. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    Yea, it’s probably worth a play. Cyborg is no spring chicken

    She’s so tough though. Baars hit her with everything and she kept getting back up. She could really push the pace on nunes and completely gas her.

    I’m definitely not betting on cyborg at current prices
     
  18. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Nunes' cardio looked fine in the Shevchenko rematch and against Pennington. It's also the easiest aspect for a fighter to improve, and Cyborg's pace has never struck me as blistering. This is beyond the fact that watching all 5 of Cyborg's UFC fights, I feel that Nunes could replicate or improve upon all of those performances, Holm very much included.

    There are also some small flaws I picked up on with Cyborg. They didn't matter while smashing cans like Smith, Evinger, Lansberg, and Kunitskaya, but they will matter against Nunes.
     
  19. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    I would completely disagree about cardio being the easiest aspect to improve. Probably the hardest thing to improve. It takes extreme dedication, hard work and consistency.

    Fighters dont often completely fix their cardio problems.

    In nunes case, shevchenko never pushed any kind of pace on her. They basically stood there and looked at each other for five rds.

    The Pennington fight she did look like she had improved cardio. Whether that’s due to her sinus issues being corrected or not I dunno.

    Also, Pennington isn’t a threat like cyborg is and she doesn’t swarm like cyborg does.

    I wouldn’t put more than a half unit on nunes

    Cyborg should be between -215-240 range
     
  20. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Got the same generic email when I hit shev -3.5 that was supposed to be -5.5, I didnt even notice that it wasnt 5.5 fuckers
     

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