Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.
One FC and CW Odds
LFA 56 Risk $1,100.40
Killys Mota (-215) vs Austin Hubbard ~$241.40 for ~$112.28
Killys Mota (-276) vs Austin Hubbard $552.00 for $200.00
Killys Mota (-307) vs Austin Hubbard $307.00 for $100.00
Man, I'm on the other side of you on this one. I've got Hubbard at +290. I don't think Mota will outclass him anywhere and that this is going to be a close fight. Hubbard will have to be careful early, but I think it starts going his way if it goes late.
In the pre-fight interview on AXS TV Fights Facebook page, Mota's trainer Glover Teixeira said he worked with Killys about taking his time and picking his shots (rather than blitzing like how he beat Bobby Lee I assume he means) and they expect Mota to get a second round finish. Made me feel comfortable hearing him specifically address that.
Holy shit, that may be one of the latest stoppages that I’ve seen. Hubbard almost killed him. I’ve never heard a crowd boo begging for a stoppage.
Great start to my weekend though +290!
Well you were right Oblivian. Mota almost finished Hubbard in round 1 with an onslaught and then quickly gassed. Only person who feels worse right now than me is Mota after taking that extra long beating as the referee watched.
Stoppages like that set the sport back a couple of ticks. Casual fans dont wanns see that. Hell I had a hard time watching it.
Totally off topic but have you seen that Iain Kidd of Bloody Elbow/Three Amigos podcast etc got busted for child porn? It’s all over Twitter now.
Kidd is into little kids.
Are there any sportsbooks for livebetting that accept Bitcoin?
Not even remotely surprised. BloodyElbow has zero journalistic standards (their articles are filled with misspellings, typos, bad grammar, etc.) and they hire grimy scumbags who know nothing about MMA.
I actually knew another of their top writers and editors back in the day, who was an alcoholic fuck-up that would blame all his many mistakes on being drunk.
I seriously have no clue why anyone reads that trash site.
On Foss +125, cage warriors 100, 1 unit
Been getting multiple warnings lately from dimes for betting erroneous lines
Chandler +280 primus -400
Yea I thought the line was off, but I don’t watch bellator enough to think it should’ve been flipped
Primus is undefeated, champ and stopped chandler in their last fight
I don’t think primus at +280 is right either. Don’t think chandler should be -400.
But that’s the line they set, so I bet primus after they voided my chandler bet
Going to have to withdraw most of my funds from dimes. I have no problem betting at another book.
My job as a bettor is to bet lines I think are wrong
Pisses me off
Elias opens at +175 against Anders. That line should’ve been flipped but dimes didn’t think that was erroneous. Was I not supposed to bet that? Turned out to be highly profitable for me
How about you clowns take a second to make sure the line is right before you post it. Ridiculous
Yeah, that's ridiculous. It's not your job to guess what lines are errors of theirs or not. If they fuck up, that's on them. At the absolute minimum, they should compensate you for betting that initial line (some free play money, for instance), let alone actually blame you for their own mistakes.
Speaking of Dimes, Nunes is +240 there. Cyborg should be the favorite here, sure, but really scrutinizing the tape, I'm having a hard time seeing any obvious advantage for Cyborg, and at least a few small disadvantags. At +240, I'm very happy to take a chance on Nunes.
Yea, it’s probably worth a play. Cyborg is no spring chicken
She’s so tough though. Baars hit her with everything and she kept getting back up. She could really push the pace on nunes and completely gas her.
I’m definitely not betting on cyborg at current prices
Nunes' cardio looked fine in the Shevchenko rematch and against Pennington. It's also the easiest aspect for a fighter to improve, and Cyborg's pace has never struck me as blistering. This is beyond the fact that watching all 5 of Cyborg's UFC fights, I feel that Nunes could replicate or improve upon all of those performances, Holm very much included.
There are also some small flaws I picked up on with Cyborg. They didn't matter while smashing cans like Smith, Evinger, Lansberg, and Kunitskaya, but they will matter against Nunes.
I would completely disagree about cardio being the easiest aspect to improve. Probably the hardest thing to improve. It takes extreme dedication, hard work and consistency.
Fighters dont often completely fix their cardio problems.
In nunes case, shevchenko never pushed any kind of pace on her. They basically stood there and looked at each other for five rds.
The Pennington fight she did look like she had improved cardio. Whether that’s due to her sinus issues being corrected or not I dunno.
Also, Pennington isn’t a threat like cyborg is and she doesn’t swarm like cyborg does.
I wouldn’t put more than a half unit on nunes
Cyborg should be between -215-240 range
Got the same generic email when I hit shev -3.5 that was supposed to be -5.5, I didnt even notice that it wasnt 5.5 fuckers
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