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Kentucky Derby and Beyond (Part Deuce)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Apr 20, 2021.

  1. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Best of luck to you, Meat.

    Mattress Mack is the guy the guy who's throwing all that money on Essential Quality. Part of a promotion he's come up with. He's planning to bet at least $2 million, but may go as high as $4 million. It'll basically make his odds unplayable for the win spot, but if you do like him the exotics (ex, tri, super) won't be affected by that money. Just the win pool.

    I just finished up my Derby work this morning and I think I'm going like this;

    15 / 9, 14 / 1, 8, 9, 10, 14, 17 in trifectas

    15 / 1, 8, 9, 10, 17 in exactas (trying to beat EQ out here)

    I really wanted to play the super, but none of the bigger longshots look all that appealing when I did the numbers. I was hoping Super Stock would look okay. He ended up just average, though (ranked 9th & 10th), even with his patterns.

    Best of luck today whichever way you lean. Best of luck to everyone. Hoping for a good race regardless.
     
  2. Monster Meat Purple Belt

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    thanks def money to be made here if you get the combo. Yea I know about the mattress guy he put some big cash down on the astros a few years back and now we have to be informed everytime the guy makes a bet haha. Good luck to you as well let’s win some cash.
     
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  3. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    My lil math Equation has me having the top three horses as Highly Motivated, Medina Spirit, and Rock your World. Not gonna post numbers b/c they don't make any sense to you guys since I fiddled w/ them w/ a lot of Sharkey's older stuff but added some stuff in that's different and probably useless but whatever.

    Anyway I like those horses considering they're looking like they might be decent prices at race time, if not a ton of value I like anything better than 5-1 and altho I haven't looked at current prices the prices on at least of cpl of these guys recently have been better than 10-1.
     
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  4. Monster Meat Purple Belt

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    Tri 5,2,9
    Exactas 15/10,18,7,17,8,9
    Exactas 1/17 9/17 14/18 7/9
     
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  5. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    There's nothing at all wrong with experimenting and being different, bud. Nothing at all. In fact I would hope, if you did use that, to add your own little twist to it.That's generally how you find horses with slightly better odds. By being different. Nice horses you found too. Best of luck.
     
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  6. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Thanks a ton, my friend. Appreciate everything you've done for me and the knowledge you've extended not only my way but to many others here as well. GL to you as well and I hope we all come out of this one w/ a nice payday. Excited for the ponies, hopefully we get a fun race!
     
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  7. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Cheers man. I'm hoping at least one of us can make a little something today, but if not, then I want total chaos with the biggest longshots making up the super and triggering a $1 million+ payout for some lucky few out there. :D
     
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  8. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    Not much of a horse bettor at all but I’m placing some on Medina Spirit to win and show.
     
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  9. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Good luck to you, bud.
     
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  10. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    Hope we all make some money today
     
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  11. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Congrats guys!

    Medina Spirit gets it done for you.
     
  12. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    I think I have a new favorite horse!

    <JackieThumbsUp>
     
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  13. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Congrats my friend.

    He's quite the easy horse to like even if he didn't get that win. Such a hard tryer. Fun race too.
     
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  14. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    Won and hit the 8-7 exacta as well lmao
     
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  15. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    That super of $9400 seemed quite light considering it was a 12/1 over 26/1 in the top twp spots.
     
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  16. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Congrats man! Great payout on the exacta.
     
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  17. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    Thanks, kicking myself I only boxed for 2.50 each but a win’s a win lol
     
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  18. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    A couple of bucks to win hundreds. Nah, I think you played that right. Bet a little to win a lot.
     
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  19. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    boom?

    BOOM!!!
     
  20. t6p Brown Belt

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    Congrats guys! It seems like every time this thread (or one of the old ones) is active before a big race somebody hits something nice. Great to see.

    I got so busy last week, I didn't even get a chance to watch the race until this morning, unfortunately. Oh well, hopefully next time. And thanks @Sharkey as always for getting the ball rolling.
     

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