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Kentucky Derby and Beyond (Part Deuce)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Apr 20, 2021.

  1. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Cheers T. Blunt was the one with the secret ingredient for the race, so we might want to ride his hot hand into the Preakness I'm thinking. It was really cool to see these guys find the winner, though.
     
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  2. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    If anybody would like to give back some of their winnings and fart around with some cheaper races that are running today, I did these ones up last night. Just the total listed, though, so not to confuse.

    (all times PST)

    ==========

    Race 7 at Parx (12:37);

    #1A- 98.8
    #2 - 98.0
    #4 - 97.5
    #7 - 96.6
    #5 - 95.3
    #1 - 94.5
    #6 - 94.1
    #3 - 90.7

    ==========

    Race 8 at Parx (1:04);

    #6 - 96.8
    #8 - 94.8
    #9 - 94.7
    #1 - 94.7
    #5 - 94.5
    #11- 92.9
    #3 - 92.8
    #10- 92.1
    #4 - 91.0
    #2 - 90.9
    #7 - 90.0

    ==========

    Race 6 at Will Rogers Downs (1:20);

    #6 - 93.8
    #7 - 93.3
    #5 - 92.6
    #4 - 92.3
    #1 - 91.8
    #3 - 91.1
    #2 - 84.3

    ==========

    Race 7 at Will Rogers Downs (1:48);

    #5 - 97.8
    #4 - 95.3
    #1 - 95.2
    #2 - 95.2
    #7 - 94.5
    #3 - 92.7
    #6 - 91.3
    #8 - 87.5

    ==========

    Race 10 at Parx (1:58);

    #12- 102.6
    #9 - 102.4
    #2 - 102.3
    #5 - 101.1
    #6 - 101.1
    #1 - 100.3
    #7 - 100.0
    #13- 99.8
    #11- 99.7
    #10- 99.3
    #1A- 99.2
    #14- 99.0
    #8 - 98.8
    #4 - 97.6
    #3 - 97.5

    ==========

    Race 11 at Parx (2:25);

    #3 - 96.1
    #7 - 94.4
    #8 - 94.1
    #11- 93.9
    #1 - 93.3
    #6 - 92.5
    #4 - 91.9
    #10- 91.7
    #5 - 90.5
    #9 - 89.4
    #2 - 89.3

    ==========

    Race 6 at Mountaineer (5:50);

    #4 - 95.4
    #3 - 91.9
    #1 - 91.7
    #6 - 91.0
    #2 - 90.4
    #5 - 89.6

    ==========

    Race 7 at Mountaineer (6:12);

    #3 - 93.1
    #2 - 91.2
    #5 - 89.6
    #7 - 89.1
    #1 - 88.6
    #6 - 86.8
    #4 - 81.1

    ==========
     
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  3. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Haha nah I didn't do anything special I just took some stuff that you taught me and added it together w/ a lil +/- system for each then averaged them out, basically and took the numbers from there. My other two horses didn't seem to even finish close to the front so maybe I just lucked into it. Either way I'll take it.
     
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  4. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Whatever you did, Blunt, it worked. Even if you did have a little luck. But you kind of need to have a little luck in the Derby. Or at least avoid the bad luck that many of these horses encounter. Such a chaotic race.

    Nice job finding the winner regardless. :cool:
     
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  5. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Some potentially decent odds on some horses who look like they have a pretty good shot in tomorrow's races for anybody who may want to play along;

    Race 2 at Thistledown - #2 Who Can Win 6/1 ML
    Race 2 at Parx - #2 One Tough Rose 5/1 ML
    Race 4 at Thistledown - #2 Sole Factor 9/2 ML
    Race 5 at Parx - #5 G Daddy 4/1 ML
    Race 6 at Parx - #6 Royalty Salvatore 10/1 ML
    Race 8 at Thistledown - #3 All American Jewel 9/2 ML
    Race 9 at Parx - #1 Press My Bets 5/1 ML
    Race 8 at Will Rogers - #5 Princess Asya 8/1 ML
    Race 2 at Evangeline Downs - #7 Mave Runner 4/1 ML
    Race 4 at Penn National - #8 Stone Hearted 8/1 ML
    Race 11 at Penn National - #8 A Little Flattered 6/1 ML

    ==========
     
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  6. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    Pimlico - May 9, 2021

    (get a preview of the Preakness track)

    It's usually not smart to play every race. The value simply may not be there.

    So, these plays are where there is a non-maiden race, and I project the favorite to be beaten.

    RACE 1 - pass (favorite)
    RACE 2 - pass (favorite)
    RACE 3 - pass (maiden)
    RACE 4 - #3 (beating four favorites! 6-1 odds)
    RACE 5 - #8 (speed, class, 15-1 odds)
    RACE 6 - pass
    RACE 7 - #4 (beating five favorites! 5-1 odds)
    RACE 8 - pass


    Wet conditions today will play into the outcomes, for sure.
     
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  7. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Looking like Baffert might've given my boy a lil "boost" to beat the big dogs out there. Idk what it means picograms and shit, but I'm reminded of Pryor getting the mixed bottled from Panama type of thing. Uh oh.
     
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  8. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    Horse racing has been corrupt for a VERY LONG TIME. It's one of those things like baseball--they ALL cheat, but if you go too far (doctored bats and balls, using tech in sign stealing, etc.) then the others call you out. All of these top trainers do shit, it's just that some are more aggressive than others.
     
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  9. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Good luck today, BP.
     
  10. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    Thanks.
     
  11. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    I don't know, Blunt. If you go by what he says, it really could be that Bob is innocent this one time. :D

     
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  12. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Lol Bob just said I''m not a conspiracy 'therapist'"
     
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  13. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Haha.

    Well shit, with the way the whole sequence played out leading up to and during the Derby, it's kinda hard not to believe the fix was in and some were out to get him. :rolleyes::D




    I mean, they knew. That's all. They knew. <Moves>
     
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  14. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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  15. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    With his "track record" ( ;-/ ) it's very hard to believe him. That's why if it's a frame job, it's a perfect setup.
     
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  16. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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  17. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Is anybody else as disappointed as I am that Baffert released this statement earlier today?



    I mean, I was hoping for something more. Perhaps even a repeat of the 1968 Derby when the Derby winner, Dancer's Image, was DQ'd for having drugs in his system and that whole situation that is still shrouded in mystery. Just for the shits and giggles at least. But then again, I might be a terrible person like that. :(
     
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  18. Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    Blood contained illegal picogram levels of a banned substance, supposedly not knowing they were present in a supplement/medicine.

    "Works for me."--Jon "Bones" Jones, et al.
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2021
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  19. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    #DerbyFrameJob
    #TheFixWasIn
    #TheRealCulprits
    #YouDon'tKnowTheHalfOfIt
    #WeHaveProof

    :D





     
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  20. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Sorry guys. I'm just having a bit of fun. But it's kinda hard not to with this year's Derby being such a clown show. At least it finally went mainstream, though. :cool:

    Oh, and the Preakness was drawn today with Medina Spirit is allowed to run. I do think we should let @BluntTrauma21 help us find the winner, though. In fact, he may have had a hand in the Derby frame job too considering he was all secretive about his selection process. ;)

     
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