LFA 143, MMA: Friday, September 30

Odds added

Took the dude with the 9.5 inch reach advantage:
Lucas Fernando -130

 
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Victor Costa over Miguel Firmino at -135 looks like a good play to me. Taller/longer, more athletic, faster, better technique, beaten better guys...

Curious what the Sherdog brethren think!?
 
Victor Costa over Miguel Firmino at -135 looks like a good play to me. Taller/longer, more athletic, faster, better technique, beaten better guys...

Curious what the Sherdog brethren think!?
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<Steiner01>
 
Victor Costa over Miguel Firmino at -135 looks like a good play to me. Taller/longer, more athletic, faster, better technique, beaten better guys...

Curious what the Sherdog brethren think!?
Agree. Odds are shifting quickly. Unless Costa gets fatted into the fence, he should dominate. Costa looks a bit small for 205, though.
 
It says Friday 10 pm eastern, might start at 7 though

Location: Brazil
 
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Fabio Aguir is the last leg of several big parlays, and im feeling it was a mistake. i need him to ground this kid, but the younger fighter is fast and nimble. saw him get grounded in his first lost, hoping for a repeat, but he looks like a solid prospect(Lucas.)
 
Fabio Aguir is the last leg of several big parlays, and im feeling it was a mistake. i need him to ground this kid, but the younger fighter is fast and nimble. saw him get grounded in his first lost, hoping for a repeat, but he looks like a solid prospect(Lucas.)
Yeah I taped this and I agree

Aguir slow and his grappling is not very effective. Works a lot for the TD then makes a rookie mistake and loses everything he worked for. Don't like his style. I don't count him out here but he is not the type of guy I can trust.
 
Yeah I taped this and I agree

Aguir slow and his grappling is not very effective. Works a lot for the TD then makes a rookie mistake and loses everything he worked for. Don't like his style. I don't count him out here but he is not the type of guy I can trust.
I'm hoping that this is due to facing better grapplers, cause i do think that is Lucas' weakest game, he got grounded by Diaz. Fabio's gas tank is my worry, he can take a decent punch but if he gasses going for those power takedowns, he's gonna fade by rnd 3.

its funny cause when i did these 10$ parlays and its all the way at the end, and like close to 3k are on the line, i would never have put him in there, but that is always a trap when making 10$ parlays. I would never bet even 100$ dollars on Fabio, but now i have parlays on the line that are probably worth like 500$(without fabio) and i'm about to likely eat crow because i didn't take these 10$ parlays seriously. I have like 3 plus odds at 200+ , i have other parlays riding on Nick Browne, im more hopeful there.
 
Any of these juiced up main card fights worth taping? legit just got odds this morning
 
Lucas Fernando (-150) over Fabio Aguiar $52.50 to win $35.00
Vitor Costa (-180) over Miguel Firmino $54.00 to win $30.00
 
Any of these juiced up main card fights worth taping? legit just got odds this morning
Fernando is now +114 at BOL if you wanted to hedge out of your parlays (or arbitrage +114/+120).

Edit: looks like they removed the lines at both BOL and 5dimes.
 
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Lucas Fernando ML (-150) cashes. Build up fight for a future star.
 
well duh. i got caught slipping, record capping instead of taping and it cost me big. this is worst play decision i ever made.
 
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