Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion -- 2021 and Beyond

DonQ94 said:
Good weekend for the books, I bet they made some nice money with the Conor debable as well.
Click to expand...
Yep.

Just on Pinnacle alone, 81% of the money was on the Packers' ML.

66% of the money is on the Chiefs' ML for this next game.

 
I added a bet to Buffalo Bills Over 26½ -115.

Pay attention to their total. It was set to 26.5 pre-game, and was still 26.5 after they made a FG. The drive that led them to their first FG seemed very easy for them, which makes me confident in them scoring a lot this game.

3 TDs + 2 FGs = 27 points
 
Again, pay attention to the Bills' total. Josh Allen just made it look easy to do well against the Chiefs, but then he made a rookie mistake of getting rid of the ball, so they had to kick it away. If he would've thrown the ball away, he would've gotten another first down.

Edit: After I say that, the Bills kicked the ball to the Chiefs and then the Bills got it back at the 3-yard line and then got a TD. Bills lead 9-0. (Bills missed the extra point...)

Edit #2: Bills total is at 29.5 after that TD. ML is -125. Point spread is -1.5.
 
PuertoRican said:
Tom Brady did it again.

Too bad the Packers couldn't do shit when they intercepted the ball twice. They didn't even get close to a FG attempt during those drives. Then, it's 4th down and they decide for a FG attempt when it's highly unlikely they'll get the ball back, which they never did.

Sportsbooks everywhere just made a ton on most bettors losing on the Packers ML and Packers point spread.
Click to expand...

Packers made serious mistakes, but the officials really screwed them hard too. Lazard is clearly interfered with, the guy has a handful of jersey and the refs just stand there with their thumbs up their asses. You'd almost have to purposefully not be looking to miss it. Bucs intercept because of it, then the Packers give up an idiotic TD before half. Yes that's on them but the Bucs never should have had the ball to begin with. Pack would have had it around midfield first and ten with plenty of time to drive at least into FG range. So probably 14-13 at half instead of 21-10 and a completely different feel and momentum. Packers spent the entire rest of the game clawing to get back in it, esp after they start the 2nd half with a fumble and give up another TD right away.

Then on the biggest play of the game where they can get the ball back, the refs who have been "letting them play" all game, decide that "Oh...THIS time we're gonna throw a late flag and effectively end the game."

Yes I'm fucking bitter because these are supposed to be the best refs there are and they utterly butt fucked the Packers today. That blown call at the end of the first half completely changed the entire complexion of the game.
 
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSS! Josh Allen O55 rushing yards just cashed.

jar1.jpg
 
Kc b2b sb
 

Attachments

  • 1259827B-A37A-4E8B-8EC5-4E04F6697DE7.jpeg
    1259827B-A37A-4E8B-8EC5-4E04F6697DE7.jpeg
    80.6 KB · Views: 7
kc1.jpg


+$213

Too bad Josh Allen messed up at the end when he ran all the way back and got sacked. He was close to getting another TD, which would've cashed the Bills Over and Allen's Under passing yards.
 
Surprised those Allen rush yards cashed with that massive sack at the end
 
TrueAscension said:
Surprised those Allen rush yards cashed with that massive sack at the end
Click to expand...

Sacks don't count as yardage lost rushing for QB's in the NFL. They do in college, which is weird.

Edit: But kneeldowns do. It's basically if it's deemed that the QB was planning to throw, it's passing yardage lost for the team but it doesn't affect the QB's personal stats at all. But kneeldowns do because there's never intent to throw so it's looked at as a rushing attempt for the QB.
 
Black Paladin said:
He's got pouting brat disease. Harden does have a variant of it, as well.

If they play their roles, it's an easy Eastern Conference crown and a very competitive Finals, and maybe a win.
If they don't, it's an embarrassing shit show.
Click to expand...
For sure gonna be an embarrassing shit show. Those 3 are uniquely suited to blow this.
 
Chiefs by a million in the SB
 

Attachments

  • B2BEF460-C816-4460-8CF2-F16C60D57841.jpeg
    B2BEF460-C816-4460-8CF2-F16C60D57841.jpeg
    260.8 KB · Views: 12
  • D844A688-1397-4ADD-AB6F-D2E71CE85119.png
    D844A688-1397-4ADD-AB6F-D2E71CE85119.png
    620 KB · Views: 10
  • 88DA17F5-5BA7-4799-9CFA-B88C62CE8D90.png
    88DA17F5-5BA7-4799-9CFA-B88C62CE8D90.png
    429.4 KB · Views: 8
@shankmcgank

I don't want to highjack that other thread that has nothing to do with sports, but I will take your lack of a reply to mean that you weren't aware of the obvious blown call that very likely could have cost the Packers that game? And now that you've been made aware and shown the evidence:




We are in agreement that the refs ineptitude played a massive role in handing that game to the Bucs? Not sure how anyone could be objective and claim otherwise. Was the PI on the Packers the correct call at the end of the game? Yep, same as it should have been called on Murphy-Bunting on his interception near halftime that led to 7 Tampa Bay points. Likely a 10 point swing with Green Bay near midfield with timeouts left and time to get into field goal range. But even if you don't give Green Bay any points, Tampa wouldn't have scored so it's a 7 point difference. And what was the margin of victory again? Yeah...exactly.
 
mkess101 said:
@shankmcgank

I don't want to highjack that other thread that has nothing to do with sports, but I will take your lack of a reply to mean that you weren't aware of the obvious blown call that very likely could have cost the Packers that game? And now that you've been made aware and shown the evidence:




We are in agreement that the refs ineptitude played a massive role in handing that game to the Bucs? Not sure how anyone could be objective and claim otherwise. Was the PI on the Packers the correct call at the end of the game? Yep, same as it should have been called on Murphy-Bunting on his interception near halftime that led to 7 Tampa Bay points. Likely a 10 point swing with Green Bay near midfield with timeouts left and time to get into field goal range. But even if you don't give Green Bay any points, Tampa wouldn't have scored so it's a 7 point difference. And what was the margin of victory again? Yeah...exactly.
Click to expand...


At work, I check my phone when I can. I'll reply here when I have more time.

Essential worker FTL.
 
shankmcgank said:
At work, I check my phone when I can. I'll reply here when I have more time.

Essential worker FTL.
Click to expand...


All good. People are fixated on the end of the game but this not being called:

upload_2021-1-25_12-1-43.png


is really what may have cost the Packers the game.
 
The call at the end was bad but Green Bay Should has went for it on 4th down. Being conservative against Brady has never worked out. Had a good weekend with the custom bet of both teams score 2 tds and a fg in the chiefs bills game coming through to close out 3 parlays. Already locked in super bowl parlay of chiefs +3.5 over 49.5 -112 odds.
 
Monster Meat said:
The call at the end was bad but Green Bay Should has went for it on 4th down. Being conservative against Brady has never worked out. Had a good weekend with the custom bet of both teams score 2 tds and a fg in the chiefs bills game coming through to close out 3 parlays. Already locked in super bowl parlay of chiefs +3.5 over 49.5 -112 odds.
Click to expand...

They should have gone for it, agree. I just cannot get over them not calling Murphy-Bunting for the obvious PI on his interception. That really changed the entire game. Packers down 14-10 at the time and driving for more points. Instead of cutting it to 14-13 or possibly even taking the lead (though I think a TD by the Packers there is unlikely given how much time was left in the first half) the refs blow an obvious call and give Tampa the ball and they score on a blown coverage. Those things decide games, the swing in the score is monstrous, and the momentum carries over. Tampa forces a fumble to start the 2nd half and scores and by the time the Packers turned the momentum around they didn't have enough time to come all the way back.

People can say whatever they want. They can say I'm a biased homer, I don't care. The reality is that the refs basically handed Tom Brady a hall pass to the Super Bowl by being inept. If I had a tinfoil hat I'd point out that bettors were all over the Packers ML and Vegas and the books had a lot riding on Tampa winning...but that's just CT nonsense. The reality is far more likely the refs just screwed up, and it cost the Packers the game.
 
Super tilted after losing on NFL games, and then today I played in a poker cash game where there were FOUR spots I got the opponent all in after the flop, and they either hit a runner runner flush, or runner runner straight after I had them crushed.

I had pocket J's, 3 bet pre flop, utg +1 folds, HJ calls. Flop comes J/7/2 rainbow. Opponent raises, I shove, he calls, 700$ pot.

He shows A/K, turn is a queen, and river is a ten.

Rebought, same shit happened where I had an 80% chance to win after the flop, got it in, and the dude hits a runner runner flush.

Just threw 345$ on Mousesports to win 300$. Recoup some.
 
No doubt Brady gets the calls but Green Bay still had their chances. Brady throws 3 picks it was there for them. Green Bay’s o line had issues w that Tampa d line yet they were calling shotguns and drop backs even though they got back in the game throwing quick slants and beating the rush. I was def rooting for Green Bay as im tired of Brady but hey I get one more shot this year to root against him hopefully he won’t overcome the magic of Mahomes. Speaking of got me some Mahomes mvp at +100 figured that’s not going to last.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,236,708
Messages
55,436,270
Members
174,774
Latest member
kilgorevontrouty

Share this page

Back
Top