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Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - December, 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by t6p, Dec 1, 2016.

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  1. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Are streaks in NHL something to jump on? Or not any more than other sports
     
  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Stuck them in a parlay today yep. It might feel like I'm cheating on the Blue Jackets if I start looking to seriously at the Wild though.:D
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Gotta ask EZ. I've made bank off the Blue Jackets over the last couple weeks. I think I started betting them after 7 or 8 in a row. But EZ knows a shit ton more than I do about hockey.

    The nice thing I guess is that no matter how hot a team is, you won't see -400 and up (way up depending) spreads like you do in NBA or NFL. With less scoring obviously there's more volatility and thus you don't see such monster favorites in NHL. Columbus had won 13 games in a row heading into tonight. And they were just a slight favorite. On the road sure, but still. I will bet them until they lose. It's way, WAY house $ at this point.
     
  4. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    I mean I can't say it's for sure more than other sports.. hockey is inherently difficult to win with such small margins.. half the games in the NHL are decided by one goal..

    But I like to attribute a couple characteristics to every sport.. I.e. baseball is about anticipation and execution.. for me hockey is all about confidence and momentum. But mostly that's within a game. Like if your team kills a four minute powerplay, they usually start to take over. Etc.

    But yea, when I've hit a few games in a row on a team, I almost always stay on them until they let me down. (Within reason, price wise).. it becomes a "playing with house money" thing.. but the same could be said for any sport
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Exactly. The ONLY time you will ever even see a -300 moneyline is at the END of the season when a great / hot / desperate team NEEEEEEDS the win and are at home vs one of the teams that's given up and are playing lots of rookies etc at that point

    So I guess it WOULD be harder to do this in basketball, football, etc.. cause you're dealing only with spreads. The moneylines get ridiculous
     
  6. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Funny story: when I FIRST started betting football and stuff I would sometimes tail others who had a lean for action. Diff sports I didn't watch. One time my buddy was like omg there is absolutely no way the Avalanche lose to the Sabres (I think? Like 70% sure it was those two teams). Odds were like -280 range. Well, I had won like 4u on the Monday night football game that week and put it all on the Avalanche. I don't think I need to tell u how it ended
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Okay I'm officially with @iGnP

    No more betting on crap teams even if it looks like a good spot and too many points.

    LOL getting 14 with the Sixers and they LEAD by 4 heading into the 4th quarter. And proceed to score NINE points and lose the game by 17. Round Robin had a nice shot of going 3-1 but now need the Lakers to cover 3 or it's a total loss. Still gonna be a good day regardless due to Grizzlies and Hockey (and the fact the RR is for smaller stakes than yesterday) but still. What a dumpster fire that is in Philly.
     
  8. iGnP Silver Belt

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    I have a DNB list (do not bet) that includes the Sixers, Suns, Heat. I won't bet the Nets or Lakers unless they're big dogs or in a good situation (like Tuesday and Tonight)
     
  9. iGnP Silver Belt

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    What an implosion by the Lakers. Although I'm glad they called that offensive foul on Lou. I hate his game and think it's cheap
     
  10. iGnP Silver Belt

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    +2u on the day. Kinda feel strongly about one play tomorrow but let's see what the line opens at
     
  11. t6p Brown Belt

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    Ended up basically breaking even. I think I'm with you guys on not betting on bad teams. I only watched the first half of the Lakers and I thought we were looking good.
     
  12. Slohog Green Belt

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    Heh, when I played poker DNB used to be a note put on people who wouldn't fold no matter what, "Do not bluff". Probably works the same way with exclamation marks and such. "DNB", "DNB!!!", "DNG fucking seriously!" etc.
     
  13. cberasi Green Belt

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    I think playing the -1/2 line in hockey is better than the moneyline. It is always ~65 pt difference, the line exists so maybe statistically it is justified but it seems odd to think that teams GO to overtime AND win often enough to justify the difference in the prices.
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea. if i see a +280 or +290 line early / midway thru the season, i almost always stab at it out of principle. or play the +1.5 at evenish odds.
     
  15. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    statistically justified based on likelihood for OT, yep. so i don't agree one is better or worse, but if you prefer it, i understand that.
     
  16. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Wait I don't get it, what's the difference between a normal ML bet and -.5 in hockey. Games never end in ties, do they?
     
  17. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I think -.5 means the team needs to win in regulation.
     
  18. cberasi Green Belt

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    Yes, it is -0.5 at the 60 minute mark so if it goes to overtime you lose
     
  19. AlejandroMMA Blue Belt

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    Raptors kinda screwed me yesterday, but I definitely forced my plays overall. Aside from maybe throwing Rockets and Celtics into a few parlays I'll probably just focus on the big event today.
     
  20. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Blazers +10 for 1.1u
    Wolves -1 for 1.1u
    Rockets -10 for 1.1u
     
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