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Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - July 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Dooze, Jul 1, 2016.

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  1. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    Apologies in advance if this comes off as bragging, but thought I'd share for those interested in tailing my footy picks. In the last 65 soccer bets I've made in the past 3 days I've cleaned up quite handsomely might I say. Can proudly say the bookies have been getting demolished by my super $harp value bets. Heck, I almost feel a wee bit sorry for the sleazy mega giant euro bookies. You know the usual suspects WH/Paddy/888sport etc...

    37W-16L-12(Push)
    Thats a 69.81% hit rate and just for simplicity sake let's round it up to a even 70%. Now I'm not going to try and bamboozle the newbs and say this is a sustainable long term win rate. What I am going to tell you is I'm most definitely hitting the low 60% yearly on all of my soccer wagers. Don't get it twisted either as I only bet odds from 1.5 to 2.5 nothing more nothing less.

    I cap Monday - Sunday and I put my heart and soul into this. I have a system in place where no matter what I'll make money just by following it to a T. I've spent many countless hours and sleepless nights studying, analyzing, perfecting this. I'm confident I could sell it for pretty penny on the open market, but I've invested too much and my pride won't let me go down that route.

    I'm one of (if not) the most experienced sports bettors on Sherdog so you can take solace in the fact I'm not here as a snake oil salesman selling you a bunch of hooey. Many of the free picks I share with everyone here is just a treat with no strings attached. You'll know how insanely valuable these are due to the frequency that many of my dog picks have been hitting at. For example my last two super duper value bets that just so happened to hit with relative ease were Amanda Nunes @ +215 and Valentina Shevchenko @ +300

    Let's face the facts here. Everyday it gets harder to make money whether its because of the slumping economy or you live in country with high taxes and inflation. People think making money betting is easy but they have no clue until they get eaten and spit out alive by the bookies. I'm the guy who's found a glitch in the matrix so to speak and I know how to exploit the betting world. With that being said, don't hesitate to shoot me a msg if you want my guidance, insight or more information about my system.

    TIA

    - Barry
     
  2. Dragons Roar White Belt

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    Further to Barrys post, id also like to confirm ive found a glitch in the matrix.

    My friends friends sister earns $2500 dollars a day, working from home on her laptop only 2 hours a day. PM me with your bank account details for a link and further info
     
  3. iGnP Silver Belt

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    if only we could all be like barry.

    im on the cubs again this morning (going against my do-not-bet-morning-games rule lol)
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Big play for MLB:

    5d has Red Sox TT for first five innings o2.5 at -135. I am HAMMERING this line. Lincecum is done. Boston has a great lineup, among the best in baseball. I think there's monster value in this line. I kinda thought we wouldn't see the Angels put Lincecum out there anymore after he keeps getting blasted but here he goes again. If he gets tagged yet again (which I obviously am expecting) I think that's it for him. So I need to fade this time big as it very well could be the last chance.

    8.1u to win 6u
     
  5. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    I like your confidence, tailed for 4u. GL!
     
  6. Ballsaque Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Where do you find this line? I don't often bet baseball..
    Fri 7/29 8507 BOS X.Bogaerts hits+runs+RBI over 2½ <- This it?
     
  7. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    It's under mlb, keep scrolling down until you see first five innings and you'll see another line for the Boston-LAA game. Actually it's at the bottom of the page right now, then the ov2.5 team total -135 should be right there next to the 5 for the game total on the top line.

    Following this too thanks Mike
     
  8. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Putting my Cubs winnings on a Dodgers + Mets parlay. BOL
     
  9. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Is this a line error by any chance? If not that's fucking gold
     
  10. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    It doesn't look like it. Total for first five innings for both teams is 5. I really don't understand this line myself at all. The Red Sox TT for the game is 5.5. It's like the books think Boston should score more runs in the final 4 innings than in the first five innings when they are facing arguably the worst starting pitcher (or at least he's in the conversation) in baseball right now. It's bonkers. I hope this isn't somehow the ultimate mega trap line. I just don't get it. Lincecum has gone 6 straight starts not lasting 6 innings and has given up at least 3 ER in every one of them. His ERA is 8.70 on the season and even though it's skewed a bit by his awful last outing (1.1 IP and 8 ER) it was still 6.59 heading into that one! Meanwhile Boston leads the majors in most of the major hitting categories. BA, OPS, etc.

    Literally EVERYTHING about this points to Boston getting to Lincecum early and chasing him. And oddly the line being at 2.5 means he doesn't even have to have a meltdown and get lit up for the bet to cash. If you told the Angels they'd get 5 IP out of Lincecum and he gave up 3 runs tonight, they'd take it!

    If this is a line error, it's not an obvious one. But how this isn't at 3 instead of 2.5 and priced about -140 (at 3 runs) I have no idea.
     
  11. wack3d Silver Belt

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  12. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Huzzah thx mike!!
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    BOOM. There it is. Red Sox score 3 by 4th inning. $$$$$$$
     
  14. iGnP Silver Belt

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    you're on fire, brah. i couldnt tail you but i would have if i could
     
  15. chemmy Green Belt

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    I tailed you on that. Hammered it at Pinnacle @ -130. Cheers!
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    MLB today:

    Nothing I see that jumps off the page. Hit my biggest MLB bet of the season yesterday with that Sox first 5 over (plus won 2 more u on the Cubs). Dialing it back today as I don't see any huge value lines. One play I like a little:

    NYY +119 vs TB

    Eovaldi has been great in his last two starts since coming back into the rotation after having been demoted to the bullpen. Looks like he maybe figured things out there. He has good stuff, throws in the mid to high 90's and has good movement. He just tries to be too fine sometimes and gets himself in bad counts. When he trusts his stuff, he's solid. TB's lineup is below average too. Smyly meanwhile did pitch well for the Rays his last time out but prior to that had been bludgeoned in multiple starts in a row. The Rays have lost 6 games in a row in which he's started (to be fair the last one wasn't his fault, their close imploded in the 9th inning). Still, the Yanks at + odds seem to be the play here.

    1.5u on the Yanks
     
  17. iGnP Silver Belt

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    On the Yankees and the Angels tomorrow (Sunday). Thought I'd post it now when you can get both at basically pick me odds. Never know how the line can move overnight
     
  18. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    MLB streak busted yesterday, glad I went small on that one.

    I'm heading over to the Brewer game today so just gonna play a unit on the o9 at -105 for Brewers/Pirates. Garza is a below average pitcher for sure at this point and Liriano really is too. He just walks too many guys and is always in trouble, pitching with guys on base. I think there should be some offense in this one, but not gonna play it big. (Brewers look like they've traded Lucroy who's one of their best hitters so that does hurt their lineup a bit).
     
  19. iGnP Silver Belt

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    crap the Yankees traded Andrew Miller. with their trade of Chapman and now Miller, they went from the strongest bullpen to not. that's one of the reason i loved betting on them. with that said, they still have the starting pitching advantage but i will definitely hedge if they take a lead.
     
  20. iGnP Silver Belt

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    stab on Nishi to beat Joker at over +500 off of a tip
     
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