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Official bets for Blydes vs Lewis

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by carolinagrapple, Feb 19, 2021.

  1. DonQ94 Blue Belt

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    Went 1-4-1 for -74 euro's.
    Don't regret the Imavov play, feel like he was really close to putting Hawes out. Was banking on Landwehrs durability in the war which seemed to have faded. Big loss was ofcourse due to the Blades fight. Funny thing he was doing fine on the feet and got killed trying to wrestle. Learned my lesson with Lewis though, dude the type of anomaly that you can't fade because of that ridiculous power.
     
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  2. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Added 1.2u on Hawes at -250 after round 2 for

    the +2.5u night

    Funnily enough, prior to tape, I really liked Kunitskaya at +230 and Lewis at like +350. And yet, I don't feel bad for passing on either one of those. I knew Kunitskaya and Vieira replicated one another in many respects, but I thought Vieira was tougher, more technical, and would have an edge from missing weight. I expected Kunitskaya to be at her best in round 1 too, which wasn't the case. And lastly, I thought Vieira outright won the fight. Can't feel too bad on missing a +230 when it took a bad, unusual decision to do so.

    As for Lewis-Blaydes, Blaydes could not only out-grapple him, but he was badly out-striking him and wisely beating up his legs, which would have taken away Lewis' power. Unfortunately, he made a bad mistake, being a little too obvious with his shot, not setting it up with anything, and Lewis countered him with a perfect uppercut. A perfect KO punch like that is usually a 20-25% chance, which is in line with Lewis' line.

    I have two genuine regrets, though.

    1. I knew Erosa had to be value at +120 but just didn't get around to fully taping the match. Ugh.

    2. Should have went even heavier than 4.5u on Spivak at that ridiculous -225 line. 6u at least. Chances like that don't come around more than once in a month's worth of events.

    On the bright side, I actually managed to make a successful tennis bet while watching MMA. True gambling degeneracy!
     
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  3. bendoman White Belt

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    Lewis fucked me. -5u.
     
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  4. svmr_db Purple Belt

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    Same, was cruising to the o1.5 only 1 minute away lol. In the future I should probably lower my stakes in heavyweight fights.
     
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  5. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Once again I set my night up to fail using one big read as a linchpin holding everything together. Gotta work on my approach moving forward.

    Total -2.6u
     
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  6. Monster Meat Purple Belt

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    pre fight parlay lost $50 on Blaydes
    $50/$48 hawes win

    live bets
    O Neill 50/$28.57 win
    Aspinall inside $25/$24 win
    Minner after round 1 $500/77 win
    Hawes after round 1 $435/$100 win
    Viera by dec $110/$100 lost
    Oneinik inside 25/52 lost

    +92.57 didn’t love the card so didn’t try to force too much. The hawes live bet could have ruined the night and I had to hold on there but luckily he survived. Won’t be doing that again w him. Looking forward to the March 6th card got a big bet already locked in on aljo at +142
     
  7. ILoveSakuraba Jesus was a Sailor

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