They usually have some decent discussion about the fights and who is going to win based on styles and matchups but although they usually mention the odds, they don't really get heavily into betting theory.
Official Invicta 16 Thread
- Thread starter EzFlyer
- Start date
They usually have some decent discussion about the fights and who is going to win based on styles and matchups but although they usually mention the odds, they don't really get heavily into betting theory.
- Joined
- Sep 11, 2004
- Messages
- 22,454
- Reaction score
- 0
This. These dudes give me point of views from the more extensive homework that they do that I just don't have the time or interest to do myself which helps me with my degen decisions. Always appreciate the vivisections for the smaller shows.
Invicta FC 16 Risk $477.50
Amber Brown (+130) vs Ayaka Hamasaki $100.00 for $130.00
Jennifer Maia (+150) vs Vanessa Porto $50.00 for $75.00
Stephanie Eggink (-115) vs Angela Hill $115.00 for $100.00
DeAnna Bennett (-175) vs Roxanne Modafferi $87.50 for $50.00
Jinh Yu Frey (+140) vs Herica Tiburcio $50.00 for $70.00
Parlay:
Andrea Lee (-245) vs Sarah D'Alelio + Irene Aldana (-230) vs Jessamyn Duke $75.00 for $76.53
Amber Brown (+130) vs Ayaka Hamasaki $100.00 for $130.00
Jennifer Maia (+150) vs Vanessa Porto $50.00 for $75.00
Stephanie Eggink (-115) vs Angela Hill $115.00 for $100.00
DeAnna Bennett (-175) vs Roxanne Modafferi $87.50 for $50.00
Jinh Yu Frey (+140) vs Herica Tiburcio $50.00 for $70.00
Parlay:
Andrea Lee (-245) vs Sarah D'Alelio + Irene Aldana (-230) vs Jessamyn Duke $75.00 for $76.53
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2009
- Messages
- 7,304
- Reaction score
- 662
Since it's a small card, It won't take much work, and I'm kinda bored, I'll post my bets for once
All (+) plays are risk, all (-) plays are win amount
.25u Brown +160 (Might switch sides)
.5u Maia +150
.5u Hill +125
.75u Aldana -183 (Already switched sides)
.5u Bennett -175
.5u Frey +153
1u Lee -195
All (+) plays are risk, all (-) plays are win amount
.25u Brown +160 (Might switch sides)
.5u Maia +150
.5u Hill +125
.75u Aldana -183 (Already switched sides)
.5u Bennett -175
.5u Frey +153
1u Lee -195
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2009
- Messages
- 7,304
- Reaction score
- 662
lmao, I just added more, myself before even seeing this post
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2009
- Messages
- 7,304
- Reaction score
- 662
I dare you to do another 1.5u to make it ~6u total
lol
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2006
- Messages
- 37,934
- Reaction score
- 0
I dare you to do another 1.5u to make it ~6u total
man i'm still burning from the roxy one.. i had 600 for 400 on her i think, and she went to like -600, and i didn't hedge..
- Joined
- Sep 11, 2004
- Messages
- 22,454
- Reaction score
- 0
Glad I stabbed Sarah when I did
- Joined
- Aug 12, 2002
- Messages
- 14,621
- Reaction score
- 12,536
Lee took the fight vs Roxy on a couple of days notice... and was supposedly badly sick too... so that might not be that bad after all, but I think she's got a pretty tough opponent, am a bit worried to add on that
I think I will add 1u to Maia - I remembered it's a 5 round fight - Maia looks really healthy, and bigger than Porto; Porto looks full of Brazilian Hot Sauce, I think she might gas out.
I think I will add 1u to Maia - I remembered it's a 5 round fight - Maia looks really healthy, and bigger than Porto; Porto looks full of Brazilian Hot Sauce, I think she might gas out.
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2006
- Messages
- 37,934
- Reaction score
- 0
Where is Lee -153? 5D has -200
bookmaker
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2009
- Messages
- 7,304
- Reaction score
- 662
Ouch =/ , I think I lost 2u on that
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2009
- Messages
- 7,304
- Reaction score
- 662
Where is Lee -153? 5D has -200
lmao, shit is going down tonight. I'm not on that 6u train, but I'm not far behind on the ~4u bus with Ez
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2006
- Messages
- 37,934
- Reaction score
- 0
Invicta 16 Risk: 1,030.50
brown +150: 150 for 225.50 / hamasaki
maia +145: 100 for 145 / porto
hill +130: 100 for 130 / eggink
aldana: 150 parlays / duke
bennett -165: 82.50 for 50 - 50 parlay / modafferi
frey +175: 100 for 175 / tiburcio
lee -174: 348 for 200 - 100 parlay / dalelio
Parlays
100 for 102.04 Lee -245 & aldana -230
50 for 62.73 aldana -230 & bennett -175
---
ok, ok, i'm done.
big invicta for me, honestly.
fears:
-brown could gas
-maia could just be outmuscled/legkicked/etc by porto for 5 rounds
-hill could get subbed
-aldana looks in sub par shape, who knows.. duke actually has good bjj if she ever uses it... plus let's not forget the beating aldana endured from evinger...
-bennett often has close fights, could be dumb to lay juice here.
-frey could get taken down and/or subbed i guess
-lee... i could be overestimating her again... sure as hell hope not.
brown +150: 150 for 225.50 / hamasaki
maia +145: 100 for 145 / porto
hill +130: 100 for 130 / eggink
aldana: 150 parlays / duke
bennett -165: 82.50 for 50 - 50 parlay / modafferi
frey +175: 100 for 175 / tiburcio
lee -174: 348 for 200 - 100 parlay / dalelio
Parlays
100 for 102.04 Lee -245 & aldana -230
50 for 62.73 aldana -230 & bennett -175
---
ok, ok, i'm done.
big invicta for me, honestly.
fears:
-brown could gas
-maia could just be outmuscled/legkicked/etc by porto for 5 rounds
-hill could get subbed
-aldana looks in sub par shape, who knows.. duke actually has good bjj if she ever uses it... plus let's not forget the beating aldana endured from evinger...
-bennett often has close fights, could be dumb to lay juice here.
-frey could get taken down and/or subbed i guess
-lee... i could be overestimating her again... sure as hell hope not.
