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Official UFC on FOX 18 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 5, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Go through my posts or the last 2-3 pages of this thread, you will see my reasoning for high confidence in him
     
  2. chemmy Green Belt

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    Ferreira is a solid fighter who definitely "stands a chance", but I see OAM scoring the takedowns and spending enough time on top to take the decision. I don't expect Ferreira to score the knockout and as good as he is on the mat, I think he's also going to have a tough time getting the tap. The line for this fight seems about right to me, but I do like the over 2.5 rounds since I don't think the odds of a finish are very high at all.
     
  3. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Natals good but also involved in so many close fights, too close to lay serious coin imo but otherwise yeah he should edge all areas here, better experience, beaten better competition, should have the fight iq and cardio to avoid the big punches from casey is also a black belt bjj like casey.

    Still feel OAM with his bigger and muscular frame should be able to lay on top of the smaller carlos or grind out a decision, I also question carlos 3rd degree bjj black belt since his own team/camp seem to be called team ferriera.
     
  4. Ukram Silver Belt

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  5. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I can see Casey cracking Natal on the chin. Natal is a guy that I'd rarely bet as a favorite.
     
  6. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Might put a small bet on Caceres/Fullen goes the distance +140.
     
  7. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Alcantara DEC +507... what the fk? Gimme that!
     
  8. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Did .4u Alcantara DEC +507

    $7.5 for $955 - Alcantara DEC + Sage DEC + Bradley DEC
     
  9. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Still feel alcantara may edge the fight, he still did well against guys willing to take him down and hold him there and won against them, can't forget luri has won regional jiu jitsu titles and is a black belt himself, so no slouch on the ground game as well as a 5 x MT state champ, this is rivera's most decorated and experienced fighter to date, perhaps his hardest opponent too so do like that decision line and prop.
     
  10. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Yeah I kind of feel the same way as you do. Although I slightly favor Rivera here, I'm not laying -165 on him. I was somehow hoping to get Alcantara at +200 because of all the Rivera love, but his DEC line at +507 will more than do
     
  11. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    Sage sub inexplicably sitting at between 5/1-11/2 with most Euro bookies.
     
  12. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    That's not bad, I was looking forward to it when it opened on 5d, but it only opened at like +280 and is sitting at +350. I probably would have played it at +600
     
  13. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    Guy's best skill seems to be the big power takedown and top game. Ellenberger lite was able to get Barby down thrice, even took the back at one point.
     
  14. MacDuffle Banned Banned

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    BELCHER/TOQUINO

    [​IMG]
     
  15. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Any Tarec Jake thoughts seen no discussion. Im big on Tarec as Jake has declined also checked out against Lawler and Kelvin to me. Big physical transformation too. I see Tarec hitting and moving for three rounds. Jake's output is also pretty low Rory and Lawler outstruck him like 4-1.
     
  16. Ukram Silver Belt

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  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Everyone on Tarec
     
  18. molest Purple Belt

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    Tarec already won this fight, he can do what Rory did all night.
    But with Joe training at Kings MMA maybe he will let his hands go and Tarec is so easy to hurt if you can hit him.
    I have Tarec by decision at evens hedged with joe by ko at +550

    I have too much on Rothwell, i really like his style and im ready to put more on him if his line gets better, Barnett has okay standup but he only looked good vs Nogueira who can be hit by anyone.
     
  19. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    CDF was moving slow while talking his clothes off on stage, and he used a towel right away and was super thrilled he made weight at 156 pounds. Also, he recently shaved his entire head, which used to have a lot of hair.
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Spreads up

    +3.5 barberena +160 im in

    I wanted CDF +3.5 but UGH -160? f that.. Especially after a tough looking weight cut.

    Can't do full weighin thoughts atm, but wow. Jake ellenberger best he's looked in a while... Lil scared.
     
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