Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 5, 2016.
Sage/barb FOTN +950
I kinda like Reis/Ortiz at +800. Not sure if Reis has quite the scrambling ability but Ortiz/Scoggins was an awesome scramblefest. Unless there's a real war that type of fight could get it on this card.
Free play of the week?
Put money on the opposite side of Edole's picks. Guranteed cash $$$$$$.
Surprised by how much bigger Natal is... like my ML bet on him more, my O2.5 not so much.
Adding to Yakovlev
If I knew anything at all about Brown I might bet him vs. Dwyer. Blind bets have failed me all too often though.
barbarena-northcutt FOTN +950, i'm in
olivieri looks really good. pretty ripped.
martin looks great, as usual, long, lean, but still strong.
martin is 3" taller easily (olivieri shoes on)
makashvili looks alright, about as good as usual
jackson looks decent, too. both about as expected
jackson is 3" taller
brown is pretty darn big for 170, no doubt. looks strong, too.
dwyer looks good, lean as always being 6'4 170, but looks in very good shape
wow, dwyer MAYBE 1" taller, brown is a huge 170, too
fullen looks decent. good for him, definitely
caceres looks a lil healthier at 145, but not terribly imposing.
caceres is maybe 1" taller? hard to tell w/that freakin hair
yakovlev looks good back at 170. it's still surprising he made 155
sullivan looks great, as he has the last couple fights. super strong 170
wow, yako is 3-4" taller (he had shoes on so looks even more).. he's legit taller
reis looks possibly the best i've seen him, pretty damned shredded.
ortiz looks outstanding as always. that cruz long-torso hehe.
ortiz has him by 1-2"
casey looks alright. same as last fight. not as good as he did pre-suspension. still strong.
natal looks meh. as freakin always. i'm done saying "he should be 170," but yea. he should.
natal is 2" taller
CDF looks freakin weary to me. looks very nervous. right to the towel. but he makes it.
OAM is a freakin tank, as always. looks outstanding.
OAM is a good deal bigger, man. 3" taller, looks a full weightclass bigger
ellenberger looks really freakin good. the best he has in years, i think. thinner, more toned.
saffiedine looks great after the layoff. don't doubt he's been working hard the whole time.
saffiedine is 2" taller
fox main card:
barberena looks meh. about as expected. not as good as if he was 155.
northcutt looks the same as he always does when he's 155 up at 170. absolutely shredded. no surprise here.
they're the same size, but sage definitely looks stronger, heh.
rivera looks in very good shape. same as usual
alcantara a lil drawn out, as he always is at 135. but he makes it and is rangey but still ripped
alcantara maybe 2" taller? (rivera had shoes on)
rothwell looks very mediocre. yea, he's looked worse, but he's looked better, too. soft. in at 265.
barnett looks decent for him. about the same as the nelson fight. in at 241.
rothwell is 1-2" taller. awkward non-staredown
bader looks great. i don't get it when i heard people saying he looked worse than usual. he looks awesome.
AJ looks damn good, too. lil thinner than some of his 205 fights, maybe. looks great to me.
bader looks a lil bigger. (had shoes on). maybe 1" taller, tho.
not an eventful weigh-in overall.
lil nervous on my saffiedine bet, jake looked great.
yep i did like 60/25/10/4/1 i think, something like that, on overs 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5
just tailed sham's crazy parlay, £11 returns £1098 lol
Caceres fastest submission +825 .2u
Martin fastest submission +850 .2u
kinda like both, jae, but just gonna stick w/the sub lines i got on both; both quite nice
Can't watch tonights event really make me mad.
Adding not Casey by sub -750 to parlays. doesn't give you too much juice but I see it VERY unlikely lol, almost reminds me of not johnson rd 1 -500 vs diaz
Hope people don't forget this event is starting much earlier then the norm, were just under 7 hours away btw
As long as Ortiz and Barnett win I will be in good shape.
Ortiz + Barnett ML's risk $30 to win $47.84
Ortiz + Barnett + Northcutt ML's risk $30 to win $65.13
Rothwell/Banett O2.5 risk $13 to win $17.55
Ortiz + Barnett + Natal + Johnson + Northcutt ML's risk $20 to win $116.31
Ortiz + Barnett + Natall + Tarec + Northcutt + AJ ML's risk $5 to win $46.19
Ortiz + Barnett + Natal ML's risk $15 to win $48.24
Barnett risk $13.20 to win $10
Total risk $126.50
Unsurprisingly, seems like a lot of us are on the same people/plays for this one. Hope it all works out. I love this card for betting to the extent I'm scared this is all a trap and all of these seemingly fairly predictable fights will turn to madness lol
If you were to pick bader what round or what way would pick or would you just pick by dec
And also sullivan or yakolav?
Had a few retarded betting weeks so havn't been watching much tape for this, just tailing a bit. Very impressed with Riviera thought, looks good.
My trio for tonight
Considering hitting the under 2.5 for Tarec / Berger, too :s
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