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Official UFC on FOX 18 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 5, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Bader by dec is most likely way to win imo, he'll finish in late rounds if he does. I'm on Sullivan all day in that one.

    Some of these additional props are really intriguing. Dwyer fastest KO +1275? Sage fastest +950?

    Gotta make my mind up, but I will play Caceres for fastest sub +825
     
  2. wack3d Silver Belt

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    finally got the axe on 365 the other day after hitting a couple livebets on e-sport.. 1$ limits on +odds on every sport.... going to be a rough night without all the juicy livebet lines.

    [​IMG]
     
  3. clitasauras rex Banned Banned

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    i put sullivan in an accum and put bader sub 4th round at like 50-1 never know anything could happen in that fight
     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2016
  4. rille31 Brown Belt

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    feel bad for ya but you always have willhill with similar lb lines
     
  5. wack3d Silver Belt

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    whill dont accept costumers from denmark unfurtunately
     
  6. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Just came from 2 weeks vacations son I did not have time to research. The good thing is I went HUGE on Latifi and won some money (payed juice but that was easy).

    Im semi big on Natal at -150. I think Casey sucks and Natal has some momentum.
    Normal in AJ vs Bader under 1.5 at +110. That could backfire.
    Also small in a 3 team parlay (IDK why I keep playing these) on Dwyer + Caceres + Nadal/Casey over 2.5. Pays over +300 but it is unlikeable.

    Thinking on playing Barnett at -160 or so. I think he is just way better than Rothwell.. really better.
     
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Man this is like fewest dogs I've been on in a while
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I don't think there's a ton of value in the dogs. Some are live yeah. I like Bader at his odds. Liked Ben at opens and bet him but not now, no way. Too much $ came in on him. I think he's live, it's HW, but still slightly favor Josh. Something tells me CDF is going to give Mercier all he wants. Still favor OAM but not -260. I think he should be maybe -175. Fullen and Jackson maybe? I don't think Mak is anything special although he **should** beat Jackson. I just have a feeling that one will be closer than what some think. Caceras is a talented sub guy but seems like a flake and doesn't have a terrific chin. So maybe Fullen a little value?

    I think Martin, Ortiz, Natal, Saff, Northcutt, and Rivera all probably cruise. I know some people like Barb, I don't know if he's a good enough athlete to get Sage down. And I think that's his only chance. If it's standing Sage probably lights him up.

    Just my thoughts.
     
  9. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Bet365 lb from 10pm we thunk?
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    opening odds
    [​IMG]

    current
    [​IMG]

    wish i bet more at +170 and +190! guess i should take the freeroll; it's a volatile fight
     
  11. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Natal is my biggest bet along with the over in Ortiz/Reis. I hedged a little of it with Caey rd 1 at +475 but Joseph B was right should have just taken the Casey by KO/TKO line at +340 or whatever. Oh well. Hopefully Natal does what he does and wins a boring decision (since I have the over and Natal by dec too LOL).
     
  12. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I'm in the same boat. I'm going to hedge like half my bet with Brown -105
     
  13. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Wouldnt be awesome if Natal opens the fight with one of these again??

    [​IMG]

    If K1 Natal can survive to Hall and even outstrike him for 3 rounds count me in for him doing the same to Kevin freaking Casey at 1.65/-150
     
  14. Card Silver Belt

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    Martin -155 now
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    LOL forgot about that! And yeah I agree. Esp no TRT Casey!
     
  16. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Same here, already semihedged with brown decision +500 but thats a dangerous game, could loose both
     
  17. TNT10 White Belt

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    Same here. Usually I like a few dogs or at least think there is value at their odds so might put something on them. But this card I can't see past almost all of the favs winning.
     
  18. rille31 Brown Belt

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    The warmaster ko +950

    In a hw fight??

    0.6u
     
  19. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Yeah barnett ko line aint bad but ben is so tough. I think we r counting on a ref stoppage more than a clean ko
     
  20. Gametheory Brown Belt

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    Why did the line go down? Did Brown miss weight? I also have him at around +170.
     
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