Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by vkram, Jan 5, 2016.
You know how Spencer wins the other 10% of the time? "Black Magic" lmao
I just conjured up another one
$13.5 for $2170 Mak ML + Pyle DEC + White DEC
Fuckkk I think these crazy parlays are the one thing this event is good for. Was planning on throwing White by dec in a parlay since I think its only way he wins, this one is very solid
i guess i dont think he is any bigger though.. he has some height on him but spencer wil actually have a decent reach advantage 74 vs 75.5
Hmm thats interesting. In the weigh in pics Pyle def looks bigger
about to head out, no bets so far but might stick some on while at this engagement party.
So far thinking small plays on o1.5 OSP/Feijao, tailing people on Spencer, SU on Roy Nelson (would do KO but it's not much better odds) and probably big on Hendricks SU with a medium/small on Hendricks ITD.
Historically I have faded Roy Nelson to my own peril. He's a big man who has never seemingly taken the fight game as seriously as he should've and that is sad because he has a lot of natural talent. Regardless, he has an absolute canon for a right-hand and when he swings and lands it the thunder can be heard from two states away. I And not Maryland to Virginia but BIG states like Montana to South Dakota lol
Going into his fight with Rosholt, the roly-poly Nelson is going to have to mind his Ps-and-Qs not overly aggressive swinging that while overhand right because "The Big Show" will use his stellar Division I wrestling to duck underneath and plant Roy on his ass. Primarily, Jared roadshow is a flat-footed plodder who has a stiff left jab he works behind as he marches his opponent down where he can get his big hands on them to drag them to the mat. Not really athletic, Jared is actually quite slow and doesn't possess a good blast double but instead works his takedowns off of body-lock trips and single legs where he turns the angle nicely. That said, his entries are very slow and when he closes the distance he does so with his head straight up in the air where it can be bruised and battered.
Now, the counter to the jab is the overhand right which incidentally happens to be Roy's favorite punch. If Roy can keep this fight vertical for any amount of time I believe he can use his superior power to come over the top of the Rosholt straight jab with his crushing overhand right and stretch the OSU wrestler out. Seemingly every fight Jared has a scare where he gets nailed but is able to persevere and stay alert. However, this will not be the case with Nelson. If Roy lands the big OR it is you can pull down the curtains for "The Big Show" as the ticket will be punched and there will be no refunds..
Summarily, I have Roy starching Rosholt in the first frame. I also like the Roy via TKO prop at +100 as in his last fight with Josh Barnett we saw a ever improving Nelson who had pretty good cardio for five rounder. What's more, he also appear to have been working on his boxing and adding a few new wrinkles too his game to complement that big over land right. Specifically he was throwing a brilliant left cross and right upper cut that was landing prominently on Barnett's chin.
All things considered, again I believe Jared is just far too slow and hittable and Roy is due to make a big man crumble and rub his belly afterward.
Registered with Coral and limited my Spencer bet at -120 to £313. Hit that and Ladbrokes limited me to £650 at -130 so hit that too. £963 on Spencer. Lets go!
word i have absolutely no confidence in burkman and think noons is clearly worth a stab (even though he does some fucking peculiar shit he's still talented enough to win, especially with his boxing)
Borg -230 Ladbrokes now.
Holy crap did not see this coming.
Damn. I feel like I cant put anymore on him. Already have 3u.
Yeah im not adding more.
spencer roy and noons parlay, £15 returns £100
I only put him in 1 parlay. Hammering this line till it begs for mercy.
Hey are you guys on Josh Burkeman or Joseph Benevidez for decision? I was thinking about about joining in on the crazy parlay.
Benavidez! Come join the crazy gang!
$40 for $1050
Hendricks + OSP + Bena DEC + Nelson + Borg + Spencer + Lahat + Artem NO judges
If Scoggins finally has a perfect fight - something he's yet to have in the octagon- I could see him outpointing Borg. But he just makes so many mistakes that an excellent camp could solve... I doubt he can stop the grappling here without improvements.
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