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Official UFN 84 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.

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  1. lefontes Purple Belt

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    Like a lot over 1,5 Daniel/Danho.

    Clinchs a lot in the first round and not finish. The second round both in slow and over 1,5 will be great bet.

    Thoughts...
     
  2. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Def a good bet, this is the rare HW fight i'd bet to go to a decision
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    no, but if you can get omie down we've seen him just lay there, and danho goes for td's
     
  4. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    both just looked like they were drained. both still had sweaty clothes on, struggled to get them off. both looked a lil lethargic.

    parke has that happen often at weighins. might be nothing. just bringing it to light
     
  5. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Still reckon makwan has the grappling and jiu jitsu to make mike look white belt, reckon he stands up and works his timing and shoots or gets a reversal and its over, its makwan's day job.


    Yup mentioned similar both guys like to clinch and grapple looking for control and both gas quick after r1. I don't think one should play it heavy though 2 big hws with 1 punch ko power especially Danho the ex-power lifter/builder dude but he does gas in r2 while Daniel I think has a bit more pop and cardio in r3.


    Good times ! glad was wrong sometimes UK bookies almost forget live betting for a UK event,
    Unibet live also @ 5:45pm, lets take them bookies to the cleaners !
     
  6. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    full-event props are up

    (o/u dec's etc)
     
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    FOTN: pickett-rivera +600, thought this would be more like +300 or something, liking +600. there are 13 fights, but still. that's my play.
     
  8. edole Brown Belt

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    let me go on record here,

    while I completely expect him to win tomorrow night, I do not understand all of the Tom Breese hype
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Gonna play the decision lines, o5.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 8.5. At least 4-5 of these fights go to dec for sure, could see as many as 8-10
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    which do you think are likely finishes
     
  11. Card Silver Belt

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    Rivera down to -150... from -215
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Guaranteed finish is Breese. Small possibility for decision but likely ends in finish is Askham, MakGOAT, Chito-Grant and Rivera-Pickett. But any of those 4 going to decision would not surprise me. Def another card I like these decision event props. How are you feeling about them?
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i agree, those are the 5 that are most likely finishes

    but the HW could also be a finish.. allen could finish meza..

    i agree, generally, tho, i think.
     
  14. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Okay, first off -- I like Teymur to win this fight. Secondly, I'm not saying this will hit, come even close to hitting, or even reach that far in the fight, but...

    Svensson R3 +2225 is fucking legit

    $45 to win $1001
     
  15. Card Silver Belt

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    Goodfella / Hazak picks?

    Rivera vs. Pickett
    Grant vs. Vera
    Danho vs. Omielanczuk
    Gouti vs. Packalen
     
  16. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    Are they from a season of TUF? I've never heard of either of them prior to this card.
     
  17. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Yeah, the very last season. Conor/Faber. Both team Europe guys
     
  18. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    If you're betting to win money you need to throw out this whole idea of betting longshot parlays. It's essentially using a lighter and burning money. I hate this notion that bettors get caught up on that if the parlay hits they'll win big. There's a reason why parlay's are considered "sucker bets". $harp bettors who've been in this game know not to play them. If you have to parlay do so only with a 2-3 teamer. The last thing you want to do is give the books an edge and this is what you're essentially doing by betting these longshot parlays. I've stopped betting parlays and it's been one of the best +EV decisions I have done as a $harp.

    -Barry
     
  19. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    fucking lost it at "$harp"
     
  20. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Barry says he's a sharp. Aside from the virtual mountain of evidence that says otherwise, why wouldn't we believe him?
     
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