Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.
You're a god.
To put it simply, parlays are great if you are a good bettor and bad if you are not. All parlays do is amplify your skills as a bettor. If you suck you will crumble, if you're good you will be heavily rewarded.
I usually like the over prop bets for decisions but I honestly don't like them for this card. Only 3 fights I think are truly "likely" to go to dec. Mousasi/Leites, Rustam/Parke, and Jotko/Scott. I think there's 4 others with a very reasonable chance of going to dec (meaning 40% to 60% chance imo). Silva/Bisping, Meza/Allen, Danho/Omie, Gouti/Packalen. To me, everything else is more likely to end itd. Probably 1-2 of the ones I think end itd don't, but that said of the above 7 it's possible only 2-3 go to the cards. Wish the odds were better for under 4.5 fights go distance. At +550 or so I'd see really nice value. At +385, meh. Just gonna leave it alone.
I think all the fights up to Allen/meza could possibly go to decision. I've never seen any of them fight but just going off what I see online (no tape was watched lol)
Woke up a little while ago to use the bathroom and now I can't sleep. Hope I don't fall asleep at like 11 and miss this card! I don't feel like putting my bets in right now either
I bet all you euro guys are happy to finally have a card at a normal time. Gonna be a bit weird watching UFC at 4pm today lol. I'm used to them ending at 12 or 1am now compared to finishing at 7
But if you think about it, he's really a sharp. Simple formula to follow. BAHAHAH
Good point for everyone else non brits, you guys can enjoy the crazy schedules !
Always he has 52% of his wins via a sub, maybe smaller flyers on r2/r3 sub props at even better odds.
Glad got the same thoughts as yourself, I did notice makwan had 2 decisions recently before joining ufc and they were average/poor fighters but otherwise he is usually r1 sub, r2 finish kinda guy. I don't think we see an ogle flying knee though more likely a grappling work out for makwan + sub.
There is an pre-fight discussion with dan hardy/rockhold starting in less then 1 hour here:
I can't see a prelims option on the ufc fight pass site though only main card link, I think gouti/teemu maybe on that first fight just no idea where to watch it even for a brit !
Link for main card is here:
Just over 2 hours to go.....
I'm assuming big cage since 120 was in a big cage? Has anyone found confirmation?
They only use small cage for arenas that seat less than 10,000. Will be normal cage.
As an American, I love when they accommodate Europe. Its kind of cool watching a UFC event from 1245-6 EST, nice change of pace
Yeah, don't mind the early start at all actually.
Anderson down to -220, wonder if he'll get to -200 or lower lol, if so ill have to put more money on him even though I don't really got much on him. He can't like bisping much for calling him a cheat and a pussy
Breese Sub +625 on bookmaker seems kinda nuts? breese itd is -376 and he actually has more subs then ko's on his record
Teemu Packalen now the favorite
Nam Pham pick Silva to win.
Im big on Silva.
0.5 on Bisping now...
What to do the rest of the night now?? Lol. Today's my birthday so I will be putting them in the air all day
By tonight I will be like this guy >
Good morning guys, ready to bet got no sleep and 3 redbulls. Let's Get It!
That's the attitude!
Well damn! Since Nam Phan is picking Anderson Silva to win, I have got to bet the house on Anderson now...
Think were starting soon
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