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Official UFN 84 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I like this card for betting, for the fights I actually know. Never seen Gouti or the dude fighting Omielcanczuk, few others I need to research too. I like Teymur, wish I hit his opener, but i'm not that impressed from what i've seen. Svensson is a bit awkward, but has some slickness on the ground and has heart.
     
  2. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I hate it! LB only for me i think unless i tail on here if everyone seems to be on the same person.
     
  3. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    I think best bets are as follows (listed with most likely outcome first)

    - over 2.5 rounds (its a 5 round fight)
    - Silva Dec.
    - Bisping Dec.
     
  4. thedamaja White Belt

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    yes the over 2.5 round is good too.
     
  5. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Probably among the few who doesn't like the over for the Andy fight. I think its more than likely to hit than not, especially since both guys work best off the counter, but I could def see Andy getting an early KO. Maybe use that as a hedge?
     
  6. sonhow Silver Belt

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    I just dont see Bisping getting to decision. He has always been finished by the top level strikers and his "rolling on the bicycle" style is dependent of his high volume. If he was a circling guy with a lot of ko power then Anderson would be a lot more worried. Now there are just going to be way too much space to counter.
     
  7. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    I'm loving khabilov at 1.44 (-227) I think he's better than parke everywhere, and norman isn't known for his volume either. I doubt he'll be able to take rustam down, and the rusky hits a lot harder. I'm hammering this line, freeroll could be on the cards as well, I can't see khabilov going above 1.5. might play the over though, lots of research to do!
     
  8. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    For now Im on:
    Mousasi/Leites over 2.5 + Breese @ 1.73

    I think Breese vs Nakamura is really close to a mismatch and even at -1000 should be a decent parlay fodder.

    Amirkhani is overrated in general. Hoped to get better odds against him. 2 quick finishes may lead people to think he is a top prospect when he (IMO) is not. And I like the guy, humble and funny.
    Im fading him when he fights someone well rounded. I need to watch tape on his opponent tho.

    Rustam vs Parke should hit over 2.5. Khabilov has power in his hands but I think he prefer suplex guys to obvlibion. Parke is durable and has little power.
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    no one should be betting dempsey. period.

    if you're going to, just do the over instead, or dempsey decision when that's out

    he's never finishing askham
     
  10. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I was eyeing Khabilov when i first saw the fightcard but I need to watch tape. Where is he -227? I guess it's a no-lose situation as the hedge is Parke dec.

    Khabilov -225 at Coral. Khabilov + Mouse + Breese evens at Whill (without Breese -120). What I like about Khabilov and Mouse if that i can only see their opponents winning a decision so the hedge is there or you can utilise lb.
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2016
  11. michi972 Purple Belt

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    What do you think of Parke or Picket as dogs?
    I'm gona go Jotko+Omielańczuk+Askham+Mousasi
     
  12. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Yeah man, I like it. I have 0,5u on Silva dec and 2,5u on the O2.5 already. My fav bet on this card is the O2.5 as i think decision is both fighters most likely way to victory. Silva hasn't had that killer instinct in years, even when he hurt guys he tends to let them off the hook.
     
  13. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Its kind of speculation but I think Bisping sees this as a carpe diem career defining fight for him. In other words I don't think Bisping will look to cruise to a decision, I expect Bisping to extend himself and really go hard. In which case it could create openings for Andy to finish.
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i'm scared. i remember euro ufc's kicking my ass last year. just looked.

    UFC Fox 14: -1,932.10 (gus vs aj card, i got smashed by gus and aliev that night)
    ufn 64: -1,252.15 (gg vs cc card, i lost huge on westcott, baczynski, and blachowicz)
    ufn 69: -140.53 (penne vs jj card)
    ufn 72: +118.80 (bisping vs leites card, tho if leites had the decision, which i thought he should've, i would've won well over 1000)
    ufn 76: +37.06 (holohan vs smolka card)

    yea, i was right.

    and i prolly won't be home for this event, too early in the day, might be my first ufc i'll miss live in 3-4 years? maybe should tread carefully, blech.
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    To add to this, there is something seriously wrong with Bisping's eye. Silva is far from the counterstrike he once was but still not a guy you wasn't to go in against with limited vision out of one eye. I'm undecided if I like the over or not. Need to do some more research.
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I have nice sized bets on Mousasi by dec at +125 and +115 (currently +100) but I also just hit the over 2.5 at -175. This fight goes to the cards 70% or more of the time imo. Yeah Mousasi just got stopped but Hall (for as flaky as he is) is a dynamic striker and landed a beautiful textbook spinning kick. Leites isn't gonna do that. Plus given that I think Mousasi will fight somewhat conservatively. And Leites is tough as nails. Love the over and Mousasi by dec. Could hedge small on Leites itd maybe too...
     
  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Def two of the best bets of the card in my opinion aswell
     
  18. iGnP Silver Belt

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    ^^^agreed. one of my biggest bets on the card
     
  19. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    ^Same here. 3u on the over.
     
  20. Starkaine Green Belt

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    With the rest of you on the Mousasi over

    Need to watch tape of the rest of the card.
     
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