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Official UFN 84 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.

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  1. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    So Li was hitting him easily and K-Taro is tough but...

    Breese is such a different animal than Li. Both have power but Breese puts his punches together so much better and is just deadly accurate. K-Taro comes forward throwing wild shots (often with his chin straight up and unprotected) and just seems tailor made for Breese. Tough or not, you can't eat combos from a guy like Breese and survive.

    I took the under 1.5 at -145 and Breese rd -105. Putting KO/TKO in a couple parlays now. Pissed I missed -135 but still value at -170 imo.
     
  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Teymur down to -135. Not a big line move but good enough for me. Also hitting under 2.5 at +130.
     
  3. Rebel_LioN Silver Belt

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    I'm not impressed enough with Khabilov's striking to take him as high as he is right now. His wrestling/suplex is always going to be a factor and he has the advantage there but he hasn't shown me much when fighting a southpaw fighter in his last 2 outings. He gets a 3rd one in Parke and it could either mean he's putting in alot of time to train against that stance, or it could just mean he's not very great against one. He has a big right hand but nothing with his left. He doesn't judge distance very well but he's relied on his athleticism and tie ups to gain the clinch where he can work his way to your back. Parke though, is pillow fisted and he gets himself into a bunch of close fights every outing but he's solid in most areas and he fights more active. I'll be on Parke by fight day but I'l wait for props.
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Khabilov is juiced but I think he's still parlay fodder at his odds. He should grind Parke out and win the clinch and takedown battle. He's physically stronger and if he fights his fight it's hard for me to see him losing. I could see a flyer on Parke by dec if the odds are really juicy, in case Khabilov flakes and decides a kickboxing match is the way to go and just gets outpointed.
     
  5. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    First wave of props are out
     
  6. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Just came here to post this.

    Took Amirkhani by dec +298
    Vera by dec +425
     
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    you starting to feel how i do, eh?

    FUCK U2.5 in 3 rounders. just play "ITD" for both guys
     
  8. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Also made a fun parlay of Gegard dec + Breese KO + Allen dec + Jotko dec

    7.50 wins 126.45. Might add more to this, kind of like it a lot.
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    askham ITD -130

    me likey
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    allen ITD +159, anyone? hrmmm
     
  11. weedreference Green Belt

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    Surprised so many people like Khabilov as I'm borderline loving Parke at +220. Khabilov has struggled against south paws and Parke showed vastly improved distance striking his last time out vs. Medhadi. Khabilov will need to win in the middle range, but doesn't have the combo punching to do so. Added to this Parke has some of the best TDD in all of MMA (though I don't expect him to get takedowns himself as his Khabilov is damn good in the clinch where Parke likes to work).

    Are you guys really confident laying -220 on a guy who wings wild overhands (but never KOs people) in a kickboxing match?
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    lol they have sajewski props, not thibault
     
  13. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I like the o2.5 a lot more than Khabilov ML. As strong as Khabilov is, Parke has some very good counter wrestling
     
  14. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Eh, like the decision. Meza has fought some proven guys, Allen is still very much in the development stage. Was on his way to losing to Omer.
     
  15. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    haha I kind of always felt that way. I love how they release the props a few hours after I bet the u2.5 though!

    I feel the same about o2.5 instead of fight DEC in 3 rounders, too.
     
  16. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    NOT Grant itd -179? Vera has never been finished, is tough, and has very good sub grappling like Grant. Grant has actually been subbed twice
     
  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Parke by dec +335. Fuck it i'll play it now, expect it to get worse than that if anything.
     
  18. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Hmmm. I've already got nice sized play on the over and a decent play on Vera by dec, but this line is very nice too.
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    not loving that vera dec +425, guys -- he falls to his back too much.. and grant is the brit. i think vera ML is better
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Yeah not one of my smarter plays, should have refreshed myself on Grant before putting money on this. Initial lean is that is my worry, Vera getting laid on, other wise I think Chito should be just a bit better everywhere. Fuck it.

    Also kind of wishing I played Wilkinson by dec instead of Amirkhani. Fuckkkk, whatever.
     
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