Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 5, 2016.
I like o6.5 Dec +266
7 likely fights that go there , 5 that are unlikely, imo
Is Rawlings rocking a couple of enhanced teddies now?
I honestly like the o4.5 and up
lol yeah, she got a boob job
can't access hulu but would be very interested to see your breakdown for brown v patrick mayne
Mir looks mediocre. Not like in his fight against Arlovski but still pretty bad.
Putting some on Hunt, not even mad at paying the juice.
Mir came in heavier than ever and brutally KO'ed Todd Duffee a couple of fights ago. Mir may lose, but I don't think his weight or shape on the scale will play any part of it.
Expected Bec to look bigger in comparison than she did.
Fuck it I'm gonna spend a bit on Ham dec and will def hit her on live bet too if she loses the first or its close
Walsh now the favorite.
Does anyone know for sure if they'll be using the big or small Octagon tomorrow in Brisbane? I assume large, right?
Appreciate the PBP you did on the WI's EZ and I agree with every single pick that you made and hope you are right. BOL my man!
Gotcha JG....I always thought he played in the NHL. way to keep me in check LOL
I like Hunt & Lombard although I am more confident in the former than the latter. Hector has been away for a long time and could have ring rust and he also has trouble with fighters who possess excellent footwork. What's more, Magney was successful against a fighter who you could almost call " Hector-Lite" in Alex Garcia which makes me a bit nervous taking Lombard. That said, Neil has struggled when facing solid grapplers who could put him on his butt such as Demian Maia and Sergio Moraes. Lastly, Magnis pulls out with his head up high after exchanges which makes him ripe to the counter as was the case when he fought Kelvin. In round 4 KG knocked him down twice almost finishing him. If he gets here with the same punch by Lombard that KG landed there will not be any recovery.
brown v patrick
For all intents and purposes Damien Brown is a C- level fighter -- if you're grading him on a UFC scale -- in comparison to the other fighters on the roster. While he is solid everywhere, he isn't overly athletic and doesn't have nasty fight ending power that pumps fear into his opponents heart. A fundamentally sound striker, Brown stands in the orthodox position with hands up and chin tucked buttressed by a wide stance. With his almost sideways karate stance -- similar to that of a Makdessi, Wonderboy, and Machida -- he works behind a stiff jab and a plethora of kicks to all levels. The most disconcerting aspect of his striking game is that he does not possess raw power -- to end a fight with one shot -- and he is a low-volume striker. This combination explains how he has lost so many close decisions. For me, Browne's best punch is his extended straight right -- aesthetically similar to Connor McGregor's long left -- yet it doesn't have much steam behind it. Utilizing a decent takedown game Brown has been able to exploit the low level wrestling IQ that Aussie fighters possess. As such he has been able to work a pretty tight BJJ game with 8 of his 15 victories coming via submission. Brown is most effective in the scramble and doesn't adhere to the "position over submission" parable which often ends with him losing superior position. As his 15-8 record indicates, this has had mixed results as he has lived and died by the submission many times.
Brazilian lightweight Alan Patrick is back in the octagon this weekend where he looks to erase the memory of his brain scrambling HHK loss to Russian bomber Mairbeck Taisumov and his last outing. That defeat in June snapped what had been a 12 fight unbeaten dating back to 2008. Through his initial to UFC appearances, "Nuguette" kept his unbeaten streak alive as he polished off a middling Garrett Whiteley in his debut and then followed it up with a closely contested victory over John Makdessi. The 32-year-old Brazilian is a very solid kickboxer who has clean, crisp, effective strikes with both his hands and feet. At 5’11," he will have a just a one-inch height advantage over Browne, but make no mistake, Patrick is going to be the much bigger and physically imposing man in the cage. The most significant advantage that the Brazilian is going to have will be in the grappling department where he should be able to utilize his top-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu attack to stifle the Aussie or possibly get the tap out. With a black belt is BJJ, Patrick is quick on the mat and excellent in scrambles utilizing his elite athleticism. The biggest problem with Patrick is getting him to put everything together and flow seamlessly as he often appears apathetic and takes his foot off the gas pedal. This is unappealing to fans leading to the "boo birds" coming out and puts him in a position to potentially lose a close decision. This could be a concern fighting somewhere such as Australia where the fans will be cheering every Brown strikes.
Having said all that, this is more than just an uphill climb for Brown. Even if he had a full training camp I would pick Patrick to get the victory with relative ease -- if he fights to his maximum potential -- and taking the fight on short notice is not going to do him no favors. Unfortunately, Brown is facing fighter who is better than him in every single aspect of the game. Worse still, the Aussie does not possess the type of one punch knock out power to offset the gap in talent. Look for the stronger Patrick to enter the clinch and wear on Brown well picking him apart from the fringe with long straight potshots in route to a typical hum-drum outing for the Brazilian
Patrick wins a clear-cut unanimous decision.
thanks a lot. i've been very profitable in the past when a regional level fighter steps up on short notice and gets beat. hopefully this will continue tomorrow.
I also want to point out that Patrick is a southpaw that has a big 6" reach advantage over Brown who fights out of the orthodox stance. Being a southpaw with a longer reach against an orthodox fighter is a pretty big advantage
Almost everything favors Patrick in this fight
I just added a .25u bet on Patrick wins in round 1. I think +325 is pretty good odds for that against a regional fighter in Brown stepping in on short notice.
I actually went with .1u on Patrick R3 at +1025, assuming Brown might gas due to short notice
If you know me very well, you know that I don't listen to rules. I don't follow the rules in life, and I'm sure there are probably precautions, but I don't care for them. I was actually lying in bed, recovering from surgery (augmentation), when they offered me the fight against Joanne Calderwood in Scotland, and I calculated in my head how many weeks until I could start running and doing things, and it was like eight weeks out. I was like, 'F*ck yeah. I can get fit in six weeks.' I had just come from a fight, so three weeks after breast surgery, I was sparring at Alliance. [Laughs] I've had no problems at all. I guess these babies are durable.
The toes of the camel
I actually don't mind the kit. I don't mind not having to worry about getting it all done. When you have to get logos and stuff sewn on, that's a pain in the butt if you don't have a good manager, which I didn't at the time, so it was a hassle. I tried mine on today, and they have someone on site to make alterations if you don't like the fit of it. They're actually pretty cool in that way.
The only thing I'm disappointed in is the weigh-ins. I have to wear their bra and their underwear and I hate certain underwear. Dude, I'm notoriously known for cameltoe. This sh*t is not going to cover it [laughs]. I'm going to be all over the internet with my goddamned cameltoe showing! That's one thing that I don't like, their underwear. They need to fix that sh*t!
After my last fight, my mom sent me a link to...I don't even know what they're called, but they're like liners you put in your underwear to hide your cameltoe. I'm like, 'Gee thanks, Mom!'
On a side note, Leslie Smith was rockin' the camel toe during today's weigh-in:
I envision Hunt KO Mir after stuffing TD's and landing the KO punch in the 1st round. Hunt should do what Carwin did and utilize dirty boxing against the cage. As seen in the past, Mir can't work off the cage and is neutralized when put there.
My main concern is Hunt walking into a submission his willingness to go into Struve & Werdum guard was dangerous and Mir only need one moment to get that sub.
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