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Post Your UFN 85 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 6, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    2u Magny +132

    1.8u hunt -180
    0.25u hunt dec +1462
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £500 Breese (cashed) + Hunt @ -120

    £100 Magny dec @ +225

    £400 Magny SU @ +120
     
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2016
  4. Medical Marijuana Man Buddah Buddah Buddah Banned

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    Going to bet big on Hunt via KO
    Small bet on Magny via UD
    Small bet on Ham
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2016
  5. jwms Blue Belt

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    So far:

    2.5u Case
    3u Te Huna
    0.5u Te Huna/Bosse u1.5
    1.5u Magny
    0.5u Magny dec

    (will prob put more on Magny later)
    eta: Magny wager
     
    Last edited: Mar 7, 2016
  6. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Location:
    Merica
    Singles
    Hamasaki: $12.50 to win $11.67 $23.17
    Case: $7.50 to win $7.50 Loss

    Lombard: $6.25 to win $7.81 Loss
    Pearson: $6.25 to win $6.25 $12.50
    Rawlings: $5 to win $5.25 $10.25
    Hill: $2.50 to win $3.38 $5.58
    Maia: $2.50 to win $3.00 $5.50
    Lane: $2.50 to win $2.50 Loss
    Eddiva (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.17 Loss
    Devela: $2.50 to win $2 Loss
    Hayes (+3.5): $2.50 to win $4.38 Loss

    Soukhamthath: $2.50 to win $1.92 $4.42
    Olson: $1.25 to win $4.26 Loss

    Risk of $56.25 $61.42

    Parlays

    Field over Spieth (Valspar) + Shoeface + Gaethje: $5 to win $3.86 Loss
    Field over Day (Arnold Palmer) + Te Huna/Bossee ITD + Mir/Hunt doesn't start 4: $5 to win $3.68 Loss
    Foster/Gaethje ITD + Mir/Hunt ITD + Shoeface/Kelly ITD: $5 to win $3.01 $8.01
    Field over Hend (Thailand) + Aldana: $3.75 to win $2.82 Loss
    Field over Haas (Valspar) + Jouban: $3.75 to win $2.83 $6.58
    Field over McIlroy (Arnold Palmer) + Patrick: $3.75 to win $2.07 $5.82
    Aldana + Lee: $2.50 to win $2.74 Loss
    Field over Day (Arnold Palmer) + Hunt ITD: $2.50 to win $7.51 Loss
    Field over Scott (Arnold Palmer) + Walsh: $2.50 to win $2.74 Loss
    Field over Uhilein (Thailand) + Cavan: $2.50 to win $2.46 Loss

    Field over Hend (Thailand) + Bennett: $2.50 to win $2.38 Loss
    Field over Chawrasia (Indian Open) + Nakai (+3.5): $2.50 to win $1.99 Loss

    Tiburcio + Bessette + Rebello: $2.50 to win $3.15 Loss

    Risk of $43.75 $20.41

    Risk of $100 $80.83

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $195.43 Running Profit = $30.43 (Approximate ROI for year 4.183%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2744.61 Total Profit = $2725.62 (Approximate ROI: 12.566%)
     
    Last edited: Mar 21, 2016
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    updated bets w/the fight cancellations/etc..

    1.8u hunt -180
    0.25u hunt dec +1462

    1u magny +184

    1u case +105

    3.76u rawlings no scorecards -125

    1.5u smith +154

    1u RR (for 2.75u) o2.5's: magny-lombard, case-matthews, rawlings-ham, andrade-walsh & nakai-smith


    **edit**
    1.55u laprise-pearson O2.5 -155 added
     
    Last edited: Mar 14, 2016
  8. michi972 Purple Belt

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    Mad parlay:Nakai+Lombard+Jobuain+Hooker+Hunt
     
  9. wack3d Silver Belt

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    Magny +120 > 150$
    Magny Dec +230 > 25$
    Magny Dec +300 > 25$
    Lombard +120 > 75$
    Lombard Dec +349 > 15$
    Case +100 > 85$
    Case Dec +250 > 15$
    Rawlings NoCards -200 > 40$

    Patrick + Laprise/Pearson Ov +104 > 50$
    Smith/Nakai Ov + Laprise/Pearson Ov +125 > 50$

    Fights to go distance over 5½ -104 > 110$
    Fights to go distance over 6½ +266 > 25$
    Fights to go distance over 7½ +732 > 10$
    Fights to go distance over 8½ +2525 > 10$
    Fights to go distance over 9½ +11700 > 10$
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2016
  10. SirKratos Silver Belt

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    Single Bets:

    Mir-Hunt O1.5 (1.95) 1u
    Mir ITD (2.66) 0.5u

    Lombard no SC (1.56) 2u
    Magny by Dec (2.60) 0.5u

    Case SU (1.87) 0.5u
    Case by Sub (7.85) 0.25u

    Junior in RD1 (2.00) 1u
    Junior in RD2 (5.00) 0.5u

    Ham by Dec (2.61) 0.5u
    Rawlings-Ham goes to Dec (1.44) 2u

    Pearson SU (2.00) 1u

    Smith SU (1.59) 1u


    Parlay Bets:

    Jouban + Hooker + Patrick (2.46) 1u
     
  11. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    I think Im done:

    Pearson: $ 12 to win $ 12. Won $ 12
    Case: $ 20 to win $ 20
    Te-Huna: $ 40 to win $ 16. Lost $ 40
    Magny: $ 40 to win $ 48
    Lombard: $ 40 to win $ 50
    Hunt: $ 40 to win $ 22

    Parlay:
    Patrick + Shoeface + Hunt: $ 25 to win $ 41,50. Lost $ 25
    Patrick + Smith + Shoeface: $ 15 to win $ 21,75. Lost $ 15

    Risk: $ 232
    Original BR: $ 402,82
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2016
  12. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    So far:

    Hunt KO -150
    Mir sub +410
    *Might hit over 1.5 depending on Mir weigh in, I have followed him his whole career. If he's as small as the pics show he's going to try to stick and move and avoid exchanges hoping Hunt tires. Waiting...
    Magny +130
    Magny dec +230
    Magny sub +885
    Lombard KO +385
    Lombard/Magny over 2.5 -145
    Case -115
    Case/Matthews over 2.5 -180
    Carlos Jr by sub +210
    Te Huna/Bosse u 1.5
    Te Huna -225
    Te Huna itd -165
    Rawlings +105
    Rawlings/Ham goes distance -210
    *Waiting for Jouban rd 1 and KO lines. Not holding my breath given his itd line is -230. Can't pass I'm too degen so prob will play his rd 1 line tiny
    Hooker/Ediva over 2.5 -140
    Pearson +100
    Will hit Pearson dec line when opens
    Walsh/Andrade goes distance -130
    Smith dec +150

    Close to being done...I think. But hosting a poker game I committed to a long time ago so no LB for some of the main event. Need to be good with my pre fight bets!
     
  13. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    magny: £525 to win £445
    Te huna/Dom Cruz: £100 to win £80.5
    Te huna/machida: £75 to win £68
    Te huna/machida/jones/t-ferg/jouban £10 to win £71

    I'll freeroll magny in the next day or 2, was planning on freerolling te huna as well, but his odds haven't shortened as much as I'd thought. will wait to see if his price shortens more. if they don't I think I'll hedge on fight ends ITD or something similar.
     
  14. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Updated:

    £500 Breese (cashed) + Hunt @ -120

    £100 Mir sub @ +333 (little worried about this hedge as would not be that surprised if Mir knocked Hunt out)

    £100 Magny dec @ +225

    £400 Magny SU @ +120

    £350 Lombard SU @ +115

    £500 Jouban + Shoeface + Te Huna @ +105

    £100 Bosse KO @ +400

    £265 Alves SU @ +187 (will freeroll this just waiting to see if it gets voided first)
     
    Last edited: Mar 17, 2016
  15. null Gold Belt

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    Not going to make the mistake I made last time and bet the co-main and main events really big compared to the other fights. Will add more bets after weigh-ins.

    UFN 85


    Frank Mir (+150) vs Mark Hunt $100.00 for $150.00
    Frank Mir/Mark Hunt Over 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
    Frank Mir wins by 5 round decision (+1416) $50.00 for $708.00
    Neil Magny (-120) vs Hector Lombard $120.00 for $100.00
    Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00
    Johnny Case (-115) vs Jake Matthews $115.00 for $100.00
    James Te Huna (-230) vs Steve Bosse $230.00 for $100.00
    Brendan O'Reilly (+415) vs Alan Jouban $40.00 for $166.00
    Brendan O'Reilly wins by 3 round decision (+700) $40.00 for $280.00
    Rin Nakai (+135) vs Leslie Smith $50.00 for $67.50
    Rin Nakai wins by 3 round decision (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
    Ross Pearson (+100) vs Chad Laprise $100.00 for $100.00

    Parlay:
    Bec Rawlings/Seo Hee Ham Over 2½ (-225) + Antonio Carlos Junior (-500) vs Daniel Kelly $136.50 for $100.10
     
  16. danareem Green Belt

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    UFC FN 85: (total staked: 26.5units)
    Magny vs Lombard: Lombard @2.30 (3units)
    Neil Magny vs Hector Lombard: over 2.5 rounds @1.75 (3units)
    Chad Laprise - Ross Pearson: Ross Pearson @2.05 (2units)
    Daniel Kelly vs Antonio Carlos Junior: Antonio Carlos Junior @1.20 (5units)
    Mark Hunt - Frank Mir: Mark Hunt @1.60 (3units)
    Jake Matthews vs Johnny Case: Johnny Case @2.09 (3.4units)
    Mark Eddiva - Daniel Hooker: Daniel Hooker @1.51 (2units)


    PARLAY: @1.41 (5units)
    Antonio Carlos Junior vs Daniel Kelly: Antonio Carlos [email protected] 1.18
    Alan Jouban vs Brendan O'Reilly: Alan Jouban @1.20



    Commentary:
    Done for now.
    Looking at the overs on Mir vs Hunt and Shoeface vs Kelly. Might do a small parlay on those.
    Potential live-hedgeouts on Lombard and Hunt.


    Good luck everybody, lets make it rain!!

    [​IMG]
     
  17. Thomas_Almeida White Belt

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    5 units on Lombard
    5 units on Case
    6 units parlay Carlos Júnior and Allan Jouban
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 85 Risk: 1,640
    hunt -170: 255 for 150 / hunt DEC: 25 for 365.50 / O1.5: 105 for 100 / mir
    magny: 0 for 101.73 / O2.5: 60 parlays / lombard
    case -107: 214 for 200 / O2.5: 60 parlays / matthews
    shoeface-kelly: idk
    te huna SUB: 25 for 172.50 / bosse
    rawlings +110: 50 for 55 / rawlings no scorecards: 191 for 200 / O2.5: 60 parlays / ham
    NOT jouban RD 1: 70 for 50 / o'reilly
    walsh -110: 165 for 150 / O2.5: 60 parlays / andrade
    eddiva-hooker: idk
    smith: 0 for 80.72 / O2.5: 60 parlays / nakai
    laprise -110: 110 for 100 / O2.5: 155 for 100 / pearson no scorecards: 100 for 105
    patrick -3.5: 75 for 50 / brown
    props
    parlays
    100 RR for 275.47 O2.5's: magny-lombard, case-matthews, rawlings-ham, andrade-walsh & nakai-smith
    ---

    post weigh-in.

    will update tomorrow when finalized
     
  19. null Gold Belt

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    Almost done, will see if there are whole card props released or I add a couple more props or something.

    UFN 85
    Risk $2553.07

    Frank Mir (+150) vs Mark Hunt $100.00 for $150.00
    Frank Mir/Mark Hunt Over 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
    Frank Mir wins by submission (+305) $50.00 for $152.50
    Frank Mir wins by 5 round decision (+1416) $50.00 for $708.00
    Neil Magny (-120) vs Hector Lombard $120.00 for $100.00
    Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00
    Johnny Case (-115) vs Jake Matthews $115.00 for $100.00
    Antonio Carlos Junior-3½ points (-375) vs Daniel Kelly $187.50 for $50.00
    James Te Huna (-230) vs Steve Bosse $230.00 for $100.00
    Seo Hee Ham (-120) vs Bec Rawlings $120.00 for $100.00
    Seo Hee Ham wins by 3 round decision (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
    Bec Rawlings scorecards = no action (-195) vs Seohee Ham $195.00 for $100.00

    Brendan O'Reilly (+415) vs Alan Jouban $40.00 for $166.00
    Brendan O'Reilly +3½ points (+240) vs Alan Jouban $40.00 for $96.00
    Brendan O'Reilly wins by 3 round decision (+700) $40.00 for $280.00
    Not Alan Jouban wins in round 1 (-140) $105.00 for $75.00
    Dan Hooker/Mark Eddiva Over 2½ (-137) $54.80 for $40.00
    Rin Nakai (+135) vs Leslie Smith $50.00 for $67.50
    Rin Nakai wins by 3 round decision (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
    Richard Walsh (-110) vs Viscardi Andrade $55.00 for $50.00
    Richard Walsh/Viscardi Andrade Over 2½ (-147) $73.50 for $50.00

    Ross Pearson (+100) vs Chad Laprise $100.00 for $100.00
    Ross Pearson scorecards = no action (+105) vs Chad Laprise $75.00 for $78.75
    Ross Pearson/Chad Laprise Over 2½ (-240) $120.00 for $50.00
    Ross Pearson/Chad Laprise goes 3 round distance (-205) $102.50 for $50.00
    Alan Patrick -3½ points (-150) vs Damien Brown $60.00 for $40.00

    Fights to go distance over 5½ (-104) $41.60 for $40.00
    Fights to go distance over 6½ (+266) $25.00 for $66.50
    Fights to go distance over 7½ (+732) $15.00 for $109.80
    Fights to go distance over 8½ (+2525) $10.00 for $252.50
    Fights to go distance over 9½ (+11700) $5.00 for $585.00

    Parlay:
    Seo Hee Ham/Bec Rawlings Over 2½ (-225) + Antonio Carlos Junior (-500) vs Daniel Kelly $136.50 for $100.10
     
    Last edited: Mar 18, 2016
  20. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    Johnny Case +110

    - Barry
     

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