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The Ponies Thread (part 2)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Sep 6, 2018.

  1. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    All three of these horses look like they offer value based on what their odds are currently and I may win bet all three while being heavier on the #5. Have their fair value lines at 5/2, 9/2 and 5/1. The #2 and #4 should be the two favourites at post time.

    ==========

    Race 3 at Arlington Park (12:14);

    5- 83.3 Katano 5/1
    1- 77.9 Itsprettystormy 10/1
    3- 77.4 Lt Dan Attack 8/1
    2- 75.4
    7- 75.3
    4- 73.6
    6- 70.4

    ==========
     
  2. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Nice Katano wins at 4/1. Played him for $6 and the other two for $2 each. The #4 was the big favourite and shit the bed.
     
  3. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Beautiful. 5 horse at Arlington wins at 4-1. Great job Shark.
     
  4. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Meh. Played this #3 horse at what I hoped was a free bingo space and he could only manage 2nd as the 7/5 second choice.

    ==========

    Race 5 at Belterra Park (12:20);

    3- 88.6 Flying Frank 5/2
    1- 79.8 Boss Man Bob 8/1
    7- 79.1 Retractable 8/1
    2- 75.9
    6- 74.4
    5- 71.2

    ==========
     
  5. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Arlington 4 race 6 and 1 win bets both 5-1.
     
  6. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    I only played the #6 that race and he was no good.

    I passed on the 6th race at Laurel as well since I didn't see the value there, but the top ranked horse won another race with this one being a too short 6/5.
     
  7. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Belmont looking like 6 and 3 are the choices, I think. Let's go 3!
     
  8. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Horses ranked top 2 have won almost every race I did today, Blunt. I think 10 of 11 so far. The top ranked horse has won 6 of those.
     
  9. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Played the #4 in race 1 at Golden Gate at twice the odds of the #1.
     
  10. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    put win bets on the 9,4, and 5 all good odds at Gulfstream. Also tri boxed them small for fun,
     
  11. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    I did the same on the win side. Played it for $6, $2, $2 like I did with that race at Arlington earlier.
     
  12. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Cancelled on the #9. Played the #4 and #5 for $5 each instead.
     
  13. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Holy shit, do I ever hate Gulfstream.
     
  14. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    I'm just betting one horse per race for the rest of the day now. Just the best value of those ranked top 2.

    Still have a lot of races to post yet. About 8 that I've already done, and then some more I still have to do. i.e. My day's only about half done.
     
  15. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    I rarely do exotics other than exactas but gonna try it again for another tri box at Laurel w 1/8/4. Also win bet on the 1. All smaller bets, esp the tri box. Would be cool to hit a tri, don't usually go for em.

    edit: bet this one too early. Thought I had less time for some reason.
     
  16. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Hitting trifectas can be tricky. At least ones that are worth getting paid for. I don't have much luck at all with those, but @t6p on the other hand. That dude is the trifecta master around here and hits about 75% of the ones he plays. It's unbelievable really.
     
  17. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    Did you play the #4, Blunt?

    My change of plans screwed me with a nice price there. Had him ranked 3rd and he was the value out of the top 3, but no, I have to switch it up and miss a nice 8/1 winner. Serves me right.
     
  18. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    I doubled my money after the first 6 races today, but now I'm back to evens after the last 6 I bet.
     
  19. t6p Brown Belt

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    Haha. Not even close to 75% Shark, and you know it. But you did steer me towards some nice ones at the Derby and Preakness. I hit a few on my own at Saratoga this year too.

    Seems like you and Blunt are having a good day so far. Wish I had time to play along but keep it going fellas!
     
  20. Sharkey Who finishes 3rd?

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    It's a good day in that I haven't lost any money so far. Haha. But I haven't won anything either. I've bet $95 in total so far today, and have gotten a $94.55 return.

    You hit the Derby and Preakness all on your own. If I steered you then I would have hit them too, which I didn't.
     

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