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Tools that can help you improving your all around game?

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by MMAJay, Oct 3, 2016.

  1. MMAJay Green Belt

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    Hi everybody

    Im always looking to improve what I do, and especially when we're talking about making money. It would be cool if you could post everything from tips, tricks, tweaks, software, methods etc. on how to improve your betting game.

    A example could be how you structure your leans to get a overview. For now I just use a notepad "template" where I fill the fight card and lines im interested in.

    Im currently using two different Excel spreadsheet where I track all my bets. Im very happy with the one from:
    http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel-worksheet/

    I have a very simple one I have used myself that just track winnings from every event combined with ROI and screendumps/notes for the bets.

    Lets exchange ideas! ;)
     
  2. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Not sure if this is what you mean but...

    I *almost* always fade non-elite fighters (in my opinion, at least) that are upwards of -250 favorites. Now I know you can find value on props and such but I believe I have a great ROI implementing this strategy. For instance, in the last two events I hit Ottow (fade on Burkman at -250ish), Oliviera (lucky me, Brooks got hurt), Prazeres (Burns was like -255), and should have hit Spicely if I had the balls to bet it (same with Moreno this last weekend but I bet Smolka ITD instead). Being a -250 or higher favorite implies a ~70% win percentage at least, and I dont trust anyone that's not at the top of the sport to win at those kind of percentages

    I stayed away from the Barao + Cyborg + Nelson fights (I dont consider Nelson to be elite but BF is as fade material as you can get)

    Conversely, I lost on Urbina (+440) and C. East (+205). Small sample size and I can dig deeper and give you my exact numbers over the last year if anyone's interested

    EDIT: Just to paint an impartial picture, in the event prior to these two (MJ vs DP), I was 0-4 implementing the strategy. I had losses on Glenn (+280), Montano (+375), Leleco (+245), and Montano (+425). Not pretty but I don't pay juice and even in an 0-4 day, I only lost a bit more than a unit
     
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2016
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    How the f did miss Prazeres at that price? I got him at like +140 I think maybe. I might have looked too late or something.

    Great find on that one.
     
  4. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    This is like pretty simple advice but I still think we (as a group) play the faves too much. Looking over the year there have been so many dogs come thru.

    good stuff man.
     
  5. iGnP Silver Belt

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    It's natural to want to bet a guy w such high odds. I think we get fooled too much into props. Idk, I always throw a bit down on a props based on how I think a fight will go but 80% of my plays are straight bets and I think I've had like 4-5 losing events all year and they were small at that
     
  6. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Ageed. I like ML plays the most and kinda suck at props. Jae is a beast tho and seems to often hit long odd props.
     

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