Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 3, 2016.
kennedy overrates his own standup so much.. it's cost him in the past...
I think Cub line goes down before fight gets closer. Casuals are late with their betting and they will recognise the name and bet Swanson.
It would be foolish not to give Pettis credit but Holloway is simply excellent with a reliable style to win rounds, better boxing with more volume. Holloway has a big winning streak and improving fight by fight. I don't think Pettis has bad cardio but this is his 2 fight in FW, The weight cut is not going to be any point in favor. But the most important, Holloway can switch stances. I like him a lot more if he fights southpaw.
I remove from the equation the grappling (where Pettis excels as you said), Holloway has thrown 3 takedowns in his UFC career. Pettis wrestling offense is the weakest part of his game and rarely goes for the takedown (He tried some takedowns against Barboza when the brazilian began to frustrate him iirc, If I was him I would try to force a grappling fight since the begining but that's not his style) + Holloway footwork and TDD are good.
Pettis is a hell of a fighter, durable and always dangerous but honestly Holloway is on another level imo.
lol Robin Black is God.
yeah i like gastelum in this spot, even with the size disadvantage. they're both good wrestlers but i think gastelum has better boxing. not to mention, 2 years on the bench at age 37 isn't confidence inspiring.
Kennedy has sneaky power i remember he rocked bisping a few times and his power seemed to make bisping really hesitant. Kg ate woodleys best and didnt flinch. I like kg here.
I'm on board with KG too. I had 1u on him at +140. Just added .5u at +130. I think he could end up the favorite by Sat, or at least a pick 'em.
I pulled the trigger now on Cowboy, big. I debated waiting for reduced but I'm really worried he ends up like -350 or so by Sat. Maybe I'm misreading where the line could move but I'd have way more regret missing out on him at -260 and having to pay -320 or whatever than I will betting him now and possibly getting -220 or something later. I'm comfortable with the line (given my analysis here, VERY comfortable LOL) so just gonna pull the trigger now. If his line improves somehow, I can't say I'll add. There isn't an obvious hedge. Maybe Brown KO? Going 5.2u to win 2u now. Plus I have him in parlays. Gonna end up as possibly my biggest pre fight play in a long time.
So yeah just posted it in the wrong thread, but Cub's ML @ 2/1 looks like crazy value to me. Even thought it was a mistake when I first saw the lines. Sure Choi has looked very good so far but he hasn't fought anyone of Cub's calibre yet.
Gastelum will be ground to a nob. He has not bottom game, and Tim is bigger, stronger and a better wrestler.
Not a mistake, Cub's line is close to that on the US books.
Going big on Kelvin. Kennedy is one of the most overrated fighters in recent UFC history. Now he's 37 and coming off a 2 year layoff
I would guess it goes up also it opened at -245 went to -280 and now is -260. Matt brown has shown to be a durable fighter but in my opinion cerrone is better in every category. Love cerrone here as well and will take the -3.5 also when that prop comes out.
Already have some action at -260 in a parlay with halloway
Then I'm unloading all over it. In this division Cub should only be a 2/1 dog against Aldo, Edgar, or Max imo.
That's hilarious. Playing fucking Mozart to Cub Swanson punching people in the head haha.
Misha Cirkunov +110
Nikita Krylov -150
Over 1.5 -110
Under 1.5 -130
Drew Dober +160
Olivier Aubin-Mercier -210
Over 2.5 -210
Under 2.5 +160
Viviane Pereira +140
Valerie Letourneau -180
Over 2.5 -190
Under 2.5 +150
Mitch Gagnon -175
Over 2.5 -135
Under 2.5 -105
John Makdessi -110
Lando Vannata -130
Over 2.5 -135
Under 2.5 -105
Jason Saggo +180
Rustam Khabilov -260
Over 2.5 -245
Under 2.5 +175
Dustin Ortiz +165
Zach Makovsky -215
Over 2.5 -265
Under 2.5 +185
wow cirkunov +110? definitely for me
matthew lopez (i'm guessing htat's +135 or +145 , not shown) -- i'll be on that, too, i think
vannata -130 hrmmmm maybe
ortiz +165 hrmmm maybe, sad the O2.5 is so high heh.
mayber dober +160, hrmmm
saggo +180 hrmmmm
no clue who letourneau is fighting
That Robin Black video is phenomenal
No NY lines though?
Only hitting Dober, wait for props for the rest. Even for Dober, gonna only make it a half unit play and put the other half on him by dec
Also, for the homies like @Sham5916910 with the parlay style, how do u not make the most massive two teamer ever out of the overs for the Ortiz/Mak and Saggo/Rustam fights?! lol
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