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UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 11, 2016.

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  1. Orion Brown Belt

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    Still confused with the DHK picks. In his past 4 fights against Story/Rory/Ellenberger/Lim, Saffiedine has been taken down 1 time. Story smothered him on the fence but DHK seems to look for the takedown to pass and look for the crucifix.

    Shit could get really ugly for Cowboy if this goes to the ground with Means on top. He has a really aggressive top game and Cowboy's blue belt tends to show itself. Still can't get over him tapping to that triangle Cerrone had. Even Cerrone looked confused.
     
  2. wack3d Silver Belt

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    man i love Means! please let it happend!! would be an injustice to the world if this Cowboy can hug his way to another victory
     
  3. HumbleCoco Yellow Belt

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    In many ways you're completely right. This well could be too much too soon for Vettori.

    As a small Vettori backer, I think it's fair to say that Shoeface has been underwhelming and I feel Vettori could have a much higher ceiling as a young, rapidly developing fighter at a great camp for his style. My initial B/D post-tape was on Shoeface, I wish I could think of a better example but it reminds me of the Sage/Gall fight a bit. I ended up going with Sage because I had more evidence for him, but I felt that Gall was at a great camp, had potential and sounded committed to developing.
    That turned out bad for me, so in this spot I'm going optimistic, Vettori has a pressure style that might sap Shoeface.
     
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Confidence increase means
     
  5. wack3d Silver Belt

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    i honestly cant remember those fights well.. did they even try to take Saff down?
     
  6. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    +125 matchbook
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Hoping for a loose cowboy back take attempt so he ends up on bottom. Means is not afraid to go for td's either be great if he can put cowboy on his back. Cowboy is awful off his back and helbow will be upon us

    Oh stun gun can cage hug or shuck to back standing and just control you. Did it to burkman
     
  8. Orion Brown Belt

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    Rory 1/3
    Ellenberger 0/4
    Story 0/6
    Lim 0/0

    Just not liking the combo of Saffiedine's defensive striking vs Kim's wild looping reckless style on the feet, Saffiedine's TD defense, and the narrative of him being away from his family over the holidays to specifically train for this fight.
     
  9. Buddy Brown Dog Lover Banned

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  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    All use a straight wrestling style. If Kim gets the clinch its likely he can at least hold it for the remainder of a round
     
  11. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    All is right again. Means got this
     
  12. NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    As someone said a few pages ago, he still has that power, it's the last thing he'll lose. Just got visions of Hendricks uncorking one on Magny's chin and it is all over. I said I didn't like hedging but the Hendricks KO prop is +400, might be worth a little play, just don't want to get middled.
     
  13. wack3d Silver Belt

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    ya its a tough fight to predict for sure.. 1 td fom Kim could win him a round but as you said he may also just go full retard and run into something and then you have Saff on the other side hwo never finishes any fight and have very low output most of the time... hard to be confident in either side
     
  14. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Cant see tweets but deep on Means no scorecards now. If Cowboy finishes im fucked out of like 3.5u at this point
     
  15. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Looking at post your bets thread everyone on means some massive. Anyone on cowboy?
     
  16. Buddy Brown Dog Lover Banned

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    Lefontes is
     
  17. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    Alright fellas, while I've got a few minutes sit tight and listen up...
    I'm hand delivering to the minions riding the BG1 express train to Cashville, my super duper exclusive UFC 207 GOLDEN pick. If you've been eyeing that iPhone 7 or just need that extra scrilla to pay off bills, well then don't fret the kid right here has got yo back. I don't dipsy doodle, lollygag or pussyfoot around when it comes to my picks. I put in the work meaning the endless hours necessary to find an edge and more importantly, to identify value. If you think betting is easy then I would agree, but being a #winning handicapper long term is like solving a rubiks cube in under a minute.

    For the fence sitters, armchair skeptics, bench warmers who doubt my ability please don't! My record speaks for itself and you can check my past history under the search function to realize my picks literally print money. I don't fraud and everything is completely transparent unlike 95% of online sports touts and fake cappers i.e scam artists! You tell me another dude with my extensive knowledge willing to give money away if my bets don't come through. I'm not talking about refunds or any of that garbage, more like my own friggin money from my personal bankroll. That's how confident I am and I track every bet and keep gigabytes of data stored away on my own personal storage servers.

    I've capped one play for UFC 207 just for you sherdoggers. I don't know if I should be saying this, but I love this play almost as much as my girlfriend. This is not only a bet based on my extensive research on the fight, but it also has to do with external factors. When I make a pick and add the caveat that the lean is because of inside information it's a bet you want to put money on ASAP. This isn't exactly what I consider inside information as much as it is "reading between the lines". This is a skill only the true masters of capping are able to put into practice and execute with precision.

    We're going with the Olympic Medalist Ronda "Rolls Royce" Rousey I got the line at it's low -130 line is now -160 bettable to -200 (props if you get the nickname)

    Here's some tidbits you can gloss over:
    • Her line is a steal in this spot.
    • We know she's taking this fight as serious as a heart attack.
    • Poster child for the UFC Ronda's riding shotgun Mcgregor sitting in the backseat
    • WME I'll let you figure out the rest...
    • Nunes path to win is basically in the 1st round then chances to win plunges 10-15%
    • Herb Dean is reffing
    • No media obligations while Nunes not so lucky
    • Personal source relaying information RR likely looking to get this to the ground pronto!

    Like I said this is a special event and it's the only reason I'm giving away this play with my personal breakdown. I charge big bucks for this priceless information so ya'll getting a major new year's treat courtesy of yours truly.
    I make you money it's as simple as that. Give credit where credit is due until next time I bid adieu.

    - Barry
     
  18. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Hes always on brazilians especially if he knows them in some way and he only bet one unit. He was on frankenstein last week...
     
  19. thesharktank Brown Belt

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    I'm still not sure what the better bet is on this fight. TJ jumping to -200 / 1.5 is tempting me. But all week when the o2.5 rds bet was at a higher odd, I thought it was the better play. Judges absolutely love the plodding forward / bully style. There is a reason Leonard Garcia, Sanchez, Robbie Lawler 'steal' all the close fights they're in. Also, I am not buying TJs defense, he is hittable.
     
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2016
  20. t6p Brown Belt

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