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UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 11, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Pretty high confidence betting card for me here, which is what I need after the Paige and Sage show.

    Already pretty damn certain on all plays ill be making. Some of which will have big risk for me
     
  2. Card Silver Belt

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    Amanda Nunes vs. Ronda Rousey
    Dominick Cruz vs. Cody Garbrandt
    Fabricio Werdum vs. Cain Velasquez
    TJ Dillashaw vs. John Lineker
    Jessica Andrade vs. TBA
    Johny Hendricks vs. Neil Magny
    Dong Hyun Kim vs. Tarec Saffiedine
    Mike Pyle vs. Alex Garcia
    Louis Smolka vs. Ray Borg
    Alex Oliveira vs. Tim Means
    Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Marvin Vettori
    Brandon Thatch vs. Niko Price

    [​IMG]
     
  3. piglord Black Belt

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    i think means will destroy cowboy on the feet. how good is his tdd though?
     
  4. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Brazilian Cowboy by decision could be a nice sized bet for me if it opens where I think it will based on moneyline and o/u. Not sold on Means tdd, and not sold he can stop Cowboy from bullying him in the clinch.
     
  5. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Magny +100 just did 2u. Does anyone still believe in Hendricks and that he's putting the work in? Magny loses and he obsesses and works even harder. I'll bet on that thank you. This this flips and he's the favorite at some point, but we'll see.

    Thatch -350? I'm blindly betting on Price having never seen him for .5u. He's 8-0, 7 finishes and quite frankly I'm not sure Thatch should be -350 against a cardboard cutout of Ellen Degeneres.

    Also fading Pyle's chin. 1u on Garcia.
     
  6. cCrown Blue Belt

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    fuck me the o2,5 in lineker/dillashaw is already back to -175
     
  7. wack3d Silver Belt

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    hoping we get some crazy dec line again on Lineker :D
     
  8. Card Silver Belt

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    I'm wondering if we should be fading Team Elevation. Dillashaw, Magny and Thatch

    They have been doing horrible - Matt Brown, Bojan Velickovic, Dan Hooker, Drew Dober + Magny and Thatch
     
  9. The MM Analyst Blue Belt

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    Need to watch tape, but I really like Saff, Werdum, and Borg as dogs. Put 3 units on Werdum like a month ago so I think I'll leave that. Kind of want to bet Magny but his striking is bad and Hendricks has never really had trouble in the clinch.
     
  10. piglord Black Belt

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    i love saff as well at pick 'em or dog odds.

    hendricks/magny basically depends on how in shape (or on drugs) hendricks is, so it's a pass for me.

    i was on werdum the first fight but i think cain pulverises him this time.
     
  11. Card Silver Belt

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  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    not sure on magny, myself. wanna see what kind of shape hendricks is in on that one.
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    nice. bjj scout is awesome.
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    that's the big question for me. Howboy looked super strong vs brooks. obviously means is a bigger dude and their was an unforeseen/unfair weight advantage for oliveira in that fight (and a busted rib, possibly)... but still.

    oliveira seems more vulnerable to good grapplers than anything so far...
     
  15. vkram Brown Belt

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    I actually thought Brown looked the best he has in a while against Cowboy and Dober looked good under them too. Every camp goes through a rough patch, I mean JacksonWink did earlier this year.
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2016
  16. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Lineker +200 seems completely off to me. I wanted to bet tj but no way nearing -300. Im tempted to take lineker.

    Theres rumours tj is off gear and while he looked fine against assunciao its still a concern. Hes not finishing lineker either. Can lineker catch him or pressure him and land enough to steal a dec. I think +200 is worth finding out
     
  17. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    How's tj's chin? Can he recover from a lineker bomb?
     
  18. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    This event is in Vegas. Remember what Hendricks said about Vegas and the buffets.
     
  19. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    I predict Magny hendrcks will play out just like Magny lombard
     
  20. vkram Brown Belt

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    Hendricks doesn't tend to gas that badly though and has a better traditional takedown game than Lombard which should work well because of Magny's frame.
     
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