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UFC 207 PBP/discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 30, 2016.

  1. Barkus Brown Belt

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    I think you're right. Even in the weigh in stare down you can tell Cody is revelling in the chaos.
     
  2. rille31 Brown Belt

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    do you know when this events starts euro time?

    will be tough pulling an all nighter and then going to work on monday morning
     
  3. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    there's 3 other major ones, betfair is by far the largest. the alternatives have some pro's and cons though.

    betdaq: 2nd biggest one after betfair, they have the same standard 5% commission and are primarilly used for horse racing, also football and tennis. they are pretty much useless for mma however. also like betfair you can reduce the commission you pay the more you bet.

    matchbook: have decent liquidity on major sports, not as much as betdaq but more spread out among other sports. US sports markets are more popular on here. they have decent odds for mma at times, but the liquidity is lacking sometimes leaving gaps in the markets. commission is 1.5% on bets you take, 0.75% on bet's you offer that get matched (last time i checked anyway) making them a great alternative for betfair. also the liquidity is often available on here for mma before betfair, although by fight time there's usually more on betfair just because of their customer base.

    smarkets: Smarkets is relatively new compared to the other ones 2% base commission, good liquidity on football, tennis,horses. but a limited amounts of smaller markets compared to the others, and most of them aren't worth looking on unless your trying to trade them. It's extremely popular among ppl doing matched betting. again utterly useless for mma, although they did have the rousey/nunes market up yesterday. but I imagine the amounts matched are ridiculously low.

    betting on the exchanges for mma is still relatively new (in terms of liquidity available) but over the last year or 2 there have been big improvements, I'm hoping in a couple years it will grow to a point where ppl who have been affected by bookmakers gubbing your accounts (I'm banned on at least 15 books so far, probably more if I count smaller ones) will be able to bet almost exclusively on the exchanges. I know a few ppl here are having similar problems with books.

    Bisping and Conor winning titles again this year is a great step forward as this attracted a lot more casuals too the exchange markets. hoping for a few more big events in this part of the world next year.
     
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2016
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    British time will be around 11pm start i guess. Yeah sunday is fuckin terrible. I will probably stay up all night and go straight to work cos im a complete cunt but ideally i just watch the two fighters i parlay.
     
  5. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Im impressed with matchbooks liquidity they get a lot of money in on mma. Not sure if you can bet 5 figures but a few grand if not much more defo possible on there. I had about 2k on means on there
     
  6. cCrown Blue Belt

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    yeah got kim at +200 after the fight. crazy stuff
     
  7. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    yeah, I see 4 figure amounts often, but there's relatively large gaps in the markets. but great prices at times comparatively for sure.
    also once betfair expand to the US it could be a great money earner for us ITT, that could be a game changer in the long run
     
  8. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Up around 10 units tonight. Picked my spots tonight & didn't spread myself out too much. I was fortunate to get the decision for Magny, but Hendricks didn't do dick in that fight.

    I was able to get 1.2 units on Cody after round 1 at +105, the way he was moving & landing shots gave me confidence. Need to see him vs TJ.

    It sounds like bookmaker had live betting for the main card, or at least last 2 fights huh? Foolish of me for not checking I could of probably been in on Cody for more if I did.
     
  9. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Are they defo moving to us market? Any word on pinnacle coming back to uk?
     
  10. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    they already have kind of, this year they started offering a few horse racing markets, but only in new jersey. they're doing it as kind of a trial, I think it went pretty well and they have a deal with a few racecourses now to expand. it's been a pretty big battle for them to get into the US up to now.

    dunno about pinnacle...they told me a few weeks ago that it's still there plan to come back to the UK in 2016. I'm not sure what the hold up is, legal shit I assume
     
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2016
  11. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Yo Budden if you would have hit this I'd be in a uber black on my way to meet you in Atlantic City. Hit one in the future so I can make that happen.
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    If I would've hit that, at this very moment i'd probably be on those Jon Jones dick pills with 3 hookers in my bed with me
     
  13. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    You ain't never told no lie
     
  14. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    Gonna take a page out of Dominic's book and make no excuses for my losing bet. I will also man up and give you a winning non-MMA sports related today to make up for yesterdays loss.
    I was somewhat humbled yesterday after getting over the shock of losing because not only did I give the bet my signed, sealed and delivered guarantee; I laid down a bunch of money on the pick for myself. Losing sucks bigly, but remember this is a marathon and the grind it takes to sustain an overall long term winning strategy is not for the faint of heart. If Nunes gets popped for PEDs in the next little while none of this applies. I will have faith in the UFC management to levy the appropriate response. Let me be clear, I am not in any way accusing Nunes of taking PEDs, but we know fighters are still getting busted i.e Josh Barnett

    Check out the non-MMA betting thread to get my "make up" bet. It's one of my exclusive picks which everyone will receive at no cost.

    - Barry
     
  15. MMAGamblero Banned Banned

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    That is so fuckng sick mate!
     
  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Would be more sick if I won <{boneytears}>

    EDIT assuming you meant sick as in NJ slang meaning nice almost cashed parlay, not sick as in one win away from 30k sick lol but its sick either meaning
     
  17. MMAGamblero Banned Banned

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    Sick to stomach being so close to a huge payday...I lost my ass on dom too!
     
  18. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    JB....wow bro just wow. I understand losing a parlay cuz of 1 bad leg. But to lose on the leg that should have been the lock of the night....

    So sorry for you man...i feel that pain.
     
  19. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Not to be a dick but couldnt you hedge NOT cruz decision for 1-2k at like -200 or so?
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    What makes me the most mad, and not first time i've made this mistake, literally hours before the event I was talking about the unknowns with Cody. In hindsight I think thats another mistake myself and others who went hard on Dom have to recognize, no matter what the fight when there are a lot of question marks going big is dumb. I had like 4.5u on Dom outside of a lotto ticket, did I really have to put that in there? Prob still would've cashed out $15k-$20k easy lol
     

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