1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »

UFC 208 - Holm vs De Randamie - Brooklyn

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 17, 2017.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    ooh nice i sleeped on these odds.. thought they would not change so quickly fuck. If Laflare and Reis wins you can hedge with Miller at 3.2 . great bet you made there. I tried to do the same but iv got odds 2.33
     
  2. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    Belal Muhammed is the slight dog over at BetVictor at -105 or 20/21. Hoping for a much better line. He could even finish brown here I feel. Belal has cardio for days so Im not worried about short notice.
     
  3. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    I'm with you. Muhammad is smart play here. Brown about to get overpowered here and he doesn't have enough power to put away belal. Despite his last fight Belal still has great chin. I think he will expose Randy. camozzi wasnt psychically strong enough to beat him although he had all the skills and btw randy was in deep trouble with montano.

    I love it. Sasaki is a can crusher whos been exposed in the UFC. Reis is an agressive finisher. Sasaki will get smashed quickly
     
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2017
  4. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    What was even more impressive against Jouban is that he was fasting. Already water depleted and then cut weight. He was susceptible to the KO without much fluid in the brain. Has a granite chin, excellent cardio, his standup and wrestling are decent. He despatched of a Montano brother he was meant to dispatch of. Luque is on a sick run and has great standup, Im not surprised he KO'd Belal. Only downside to playing Belal here is, he only got KO'd back in November so he may not be fully recovered. I dont feel 4 months is enough to be nearly fully recovered. With that said, I dont feel Brown has the power to KO Belal even with the lingering damage. I can see a Belal decision or finish.
     
  5. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    Usually I'v heard you need 3 months off after KO but idk it depends. I think he will be okay. Brown doesn't have Jouban's or Luques boxing. Those guys are hard hitters.. brown is not.. in ufc standards
     
  6. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    I really feel Brunson could wrestlefuck Silva but he's just so aggressive and has mediocre fight IQ so much so Im considering a Silva play of some kind here. Brunson decision line might be interesting if he comes to wrestle. Gonna have to watch interviews etc.
     
  7. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    He could wrassle Silva and he will. Its a 3 round fight this time. Maybe Brunson felt he couldnt go 5 rounds and wanted quick finish vs Robert. I think he knows this time that if he starts banging wildly he could get countered by counterstriker. I think he will wrestle Silva and beat him by dec. And I dont like Silvas approach. He backs up constantly against the cage. He knew he was down against Bisping but was still showboating like a moron. Brunson sucks but this is a terrible matchup for Anderson.
     
  8. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    Just made a parlay LaFlare/Reis/Jacare/Glover $600 to win $1962. Seriously I dont see any of the four losing. Would be a shock if it doesnt hit.
     
  9. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,892
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Sweden
    Initial thoughts are that Silvia should KO Brunson if he comes out like he did last time. He is still an amazing counter strikes and Brunson ran with his chin high and hands by the knees. But then again Silvia is such a headcase, against Cormier he did nothing but stall, against Bisping he had NO urgency even when it was clear he was losing the fight.

    Wish I took Silvia at 2.30, he is 2.00 now so I'll wait for his ITD line.

    I think Boetsch is a live dog, Souzas stand up isn't super good and if he can get Tim down Boetsch could win a stand up fight.

    Poirer will smoke Miller but I'm not playing those odds.
     
  10. cCrown Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2016
    Messages:
    713
    Likes Received:
    0
    Glover is getting increasingly attractive to play at this point but I can't help but wonder how much damage was being done in the last one where he got launched into orbit and how much it's going to effect him come fight time.
     
  11. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    He literally did everything he could for the 3 mins DC allowed him to stand. DC held him down nearly all fight.
     
  12. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    I hope so, Ill like a Brunson decision alot more but Ill have to hear it from him in interviews etc, Ill take the ML if it hits + money.
     
  13. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    He definitely might have some lingering damage but I feel he did take sufficient time off to heal a bit. I dont see where Cannonier is better than Glover at. Glover is a warrior, he seems to deal with losses well. This fight is a huge step up for Jared.
     
  14. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,892
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Sweden
    He was stalling the shit from bottom position, did not try to get up or create anything. Cormier did get a lot of flack for not doing anything but Silvia was only focused on tying Cormier down.
     
  15. Agent Mulder Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2015
    Messages:
    5,126
    Likes Received:
    0
    Cannonier will have the speed advantage for sure but technique wise yeah, it's all Glover.
     
  16. t6p Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    3,120
    Likes Received:
    93
    0.5u Miller +285 out of principle. DP -405 is totally ridiculous.
     
  17. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    No he was mitigating damage done by Cormier to a minimum. Cormier has nasty elbows. DC had tens of lbs of weight on him so Silva decided he'd tie him up to mitigate damage.
     
  18. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    Dustin only loses to very good fast technical boxers (McGregor, MJ, Cub) Duffy was litting him up nicely too. I don't think Miller is a threat on the standup. He is a decision/sub machine. He beat the crap out of the Gomi's corpse..yes but before that his last TKO win was 6 yrs ago, let that sink in.The question is does Dustin's TDD holds up? I think it does most likely. Miller has well timed takedowns. If it goes to the ground Dustin aint fish there also. Dustin should win this but should I play him at these odds? Naaaah...if it was 1.5 I'd consider. But 1.35? No thanks. I think casuals will recognise the Miller odds (fading Poirier blaah blaah) and bet him. I think dustin line closes around 1.4 or above
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2017
  19. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    I dunno I was already considering a play on Miller at dog odds, Ill wait for people to parlay Dustin up and take the +300 on Miller, imo its gonna head over there.

    EDIT: Dustin is rightly favored but its getting outta control. Anyone can beat anyone at 155at any time.
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2017
  20. Ro. White Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 2, 2017
    Messages:
    8
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Almaty
    Reading this forum for a while now and was not registered before but today decided to join this family :) I’m less betting expert and more of a fan of UFC and MMA as a whole. But I really enjoy reading all the data and inside information that people sharing here. It helps me to win some small money on past events. Hope to learn a lot and give some information back as well. I apologize in advance for my English it is not perfect.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.