1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »
  2. Hey Guest, The Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 is now active, so cast your votes! Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 »

UFC 209 PBP/discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 4, 2017.

  1. iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,728
    Likes Received:
    10
    [​IMG]

    good call
     
  2. InTheCut Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,815
    Likes Received:
    265
    ehh...really arguable that WB won the first fight. hell, and even the second.

    but off the top of my head, silva was still a fav in the 2nd fight vs weidman despite getting KOed for the belt. and similar situation in sonnen 2. silva was dominated in sonnen 1 before getting a lucky GOAT comeback sub and still opened up as a sizeable fav in the rematch. it happens a lot. odds usually reflect the betting market, which factors in public perception (many thought WB won the first fight). up to us bettors to find value in them or not.
     
  3. Thunderflash500 Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2012
    Messages:
    11,122
    Likes Received:
    0
    Yea won on technicalities maybe. The fight itself wasn't even close. Wonderboy got dominated. Only goofy scoring made it seem close. One guy nearly got knocked out and submitted, one guy was totally fine. We saw again WB crumble to Woodley's strikes just like before.

    Weidman should have been the favorite. People were living in denial. Sonnen probably should have been to. I'm not saying there is any hard rules as to why odds should be how they are. But if I see one guy dominate another guy and they have an immediate rematch, I'll bet on the guy who dominated the other guy if he's the underdog 9/10 times.
     
  4. InTheCut Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,815
    Likes Received:
    265
    Yeah I mean that's fine to have that opinion. That's how you can create value when placing bets. I'm just saying that odds have public perception factored in so it's not crazy to think why Woodley would be a dog if most people thought WB won the first time.
     
  5. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    Honestly -180 WB in hindsight is a terrible bet for anyone to make, fight hinged on if Woodley wanted to fight.
     
  6. KeystoneKannon Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2017
    Messages:
    235
    Likes Received:
    0
    Not jealous. I had a great night. Just saying it's curious that you don't post bets.
     
  7. KeystoneKannon Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2017
    Messages:
    235
    Likes Received:
    0
    "The right side is the winning side" - Chad Millman
     
  8. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
  9. iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,728
    Likes Received:
    10
    whose leg is that
     
  10. KeystoneKannon Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2017
    Messages:
    235
    Likes Received:
    0
    Looks like Dan Kelly's
     
  11. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    you should know that man wtf??? is it hard to guess?
     
  12. NinjaCat456 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2016
    Messages:
    1,163
    Likes Received:
    0
    I get where you're coming from but the scoring in mma doesn't work like that. It's round by round, if you don't win the majority of rounds than you're unlikely to win on the judges scorecards. The sport is littered with examples of fighters taking far more damage than their opponents but still getting the decision because they win more rounds (Bisping v Anderson, Bisping v Hendo 2, GSP v Hendricks etc).
     
  13. NinjaCat456 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2016
    Messages:
    1,163
    Likes Received:
    0
    Got to be dad-bod.
     
  14. Timurd123 Andy Hug Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 21, 2012
    Messages:
    14,086
    Likes Received:
    245
    Fellas !
    Today is my biggest day EVER !

    Im gonna repost from the betting thread
    Craziest fucking parlay of my life hit

    Biggest dogs of My life hit !

    My units are $100 btw

    Won over 15k today on one motherfucking parlay !

    Unreal!

    Biggest winning day in my entire life has been just under 12k , today is a whole other level of win

    And its mostly because of that one retard degen parlay

    But, I was HEAVY into Lando when the fight was first announced, but reading the thread made me realize that normally I would be on Teymur in a similar situation


    Anyway, I never gloat or cry , win or lose

    But thought I would share the great news with the people who made it happen !
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    39,843
    Likes Received:
    6,760
    Man I hit a similar one but for like 10% of what you did. I just never throw more than ten or MAYBE 20 bucks on the hail mary type parlays. Awesome job man. Here's mine:

    upload_2017-3-5_2-2-12.png
     
  16. Timurd123 Andy Hug Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 21, 2012
    Messages:
    14,086
    Likes Received:
    245
    Almost never do myself, kindve just went for it

    Isnt it sweet to see all those + odds in a parlay?!

    Even at $20 I'm sure the return was great
     
  17. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    39,843
    Likes Received:
    6,760
    It was only ten on that one though. But yeah I'm not gonna complain at all!

    Yours is awesome. Hitting one like that with a hundo on it can make up for those nights where you cant' catch a break.
     
  18. Timurd123 Andy Hug Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 21, 2012
    Messages:
    14,086
    Likes Received:
    245
    Exactly, we've all had nights where we came super close to hitting the big one and I finally got one, not even gonna pretend that half of that shit wasnt luck

    Kelly getting a split and Tybura finishing with like 90 secs to go
     
  19. PuertoRican Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2012
    Messages:
    16,203
    Likes Received:
    1,940
    Sweet!

    Now that you're ballin', I expect to see you in next week's Sherdog MMA DraftKings event. :)
     
  20. AffectEffect Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2016
    Messages:
    489
    Likes Received:
    0
    I think big wins like this should always be shared. Congrats man, that's a great read. I love dank prop parlays. 1u well fucking spent.

    Lando has a chin musta been nerve wracking haha
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2017

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.