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UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 6, 2017.

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  1. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    I have a hard time seeing Moose's path to victory. Jab to a decision? Moose lacks KO power, barring some flying knee or accumulation of strikes. And I think Weidman owns the ground. Weidman can gas, but I think he can sew up 2/3 rds.
     
  2. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    This card is going to be lit af I'm telling you guys don't sleep.

    As for the main event I have no doubt in my mind that Rumble KO's DC.
     
  3. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    Wtf is up with these Blackzillians. Luque looked as if he didn't even do roadwork
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2017
  4. trucido Blue Belt

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    At first glance, I love Usman and Brooks in a parlay. I think that's really solid, I have a tough time seeing paths to victory for their opponents. Usman will literally have sex with Strickland if he wants to, and Brooks will have a big size advantage and better wrestling than Da Bronx. The only way I see either of them losing is getting caught by a sub from the bottom. Also like Gillespie to beat Holbrook, and Weidman to beat Moose.
     
  5. AmericanBeauty Blue Belt

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    hell no, Rumble hits harder than anyone else in the Top 10 light heavy hweights but you can't compare him to heavyweights.
     
  6. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    agreed. I think theres so much value on weidman at +110. Pretty big on him.
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I don't buy it. I've been watching the sport since the late 90's and I'd put his power on par with any HW I've seen. Hunt, whoever. Just because they are bigger doesn't ALWAYS mean they hit harder. How many clean shots has Hunt himself taken from big hitting HW's and shrugged them off? Remember this one?

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    But a hard hitting MW put Hunt away...

    [​IMG]
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Hey whitebelt, how dare you steal my line that I stole from Frank Mir? Not cool man, NOT cool!
     
  9. I followed your advice and hedged a little with Mousasi ML. I realize now that including Weidman as the last leg of the parlay was a mistake in the first place. I would be better off without it for obvious reasons. Lesson learned.
     
  10. quincy k Brown Belt

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    chris weidman is coming off two ko losses along with neck surgery to repair herniated discs.
     
  11. Card Silver Belt

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    Saw this on the UG: not sure of the source.

    Pretty cool of Jacare to admit that - Gegard is "trouble" and he doesn't want to fight him (only guy @ 185 he said it about). He said he had a good day and Moussasi had a bad day when they fought before and that's why he won. Says Gerard will show the world when he beats The Chris.
     
  12. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    bestfightodds does this
     
  13. trucido Blue Belt

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    Hahaha i'm sorry man, I didn't even realise you had posted that. I guess when a high level wrestler fights a lanky skinny dude we just have the same thing in mind. I'll change it, Usman will tickle Strickland to death if he wants to.
     
  14. RyuDave Green Belt

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    It's made it to the last leg, so what you done is just fine mate, nothing's a sure thing but this way you have garenteed yourself a great profit, nice one and I hope you hit another!
     
  15. If I had done the same parlay without Weidman I could still choose to bet all of the winnings on Weidman. Or I could bet a smaller amount on Weidman that I feel comfortable with. By hedging I'm giving up value. This article shows the math behind it: http://www.onlinebetting.com/should-i-hedge-my-bet/
     
  16. Caicara Purple Belt

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    Gotta disagree with Weidman. Tough matchup, tough momentum
     
  17. MMA Gambling Expert #1 Banned

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    Both co main and main event are very competitive match ups. Lines are on point, not seeing much value on any side.

    I do lean towards Mousasi over Weidman, momentum is certainly on his side. If Weidman can't get TD's then I think he loses. Mousasi has improved over the last couple years, can't say the same for Weidman.

    Rockhold and Romero were the hardest fights of Weidman's career because they are the best opponents of his career. He made a name for himself by beating up ageing Brazilians past their prime, always thought Weidman was a little overrated. Frequently injured, damaged goods IMO, past his prime.

    Can't even pick a side for the main event. When the rematch was originally announced I liked Johnson as a dog, now I'm not sure. Apparently sharps in vegas are coming in on DC.

    It only takes one with Johnson but if this goes past the 2nd will he begin to fade? Will Cormier take over? will the pressure and wrestling be too much?

    Corimer is getting older and hasn't fought a legit 205er since Gus in October of 2015, has age and injury caught up?
     
  18. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

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    AJ looked unstoppable going into the last one too...
     
  19. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    I'm having a hard time seeing DC finish rumble earlier than he did last time, I'm on rumble for the same reasons as some of you guys, but one thing i like about taking rumble here is that there will still be time to hedge on LB if DC starts to take over.

    he never gassed like that before that i can remember, I think his time away from the sport made kelvin look better than he is.
     
  20. RyuDave Green Belt

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    You can do that from the first leg all the way to the last though, just roll over what you want.
     
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