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NoCan anyone find out of Sherman u1.5 is one of Lucas plays? I think has been on 3 other 1.5s recently. It is kinda getting hammered. Glad I got in before the movement. Tempted on adding more
NoCan anyone find out of Sherman u1.5 is one of Lucas plays? I think has been on 3 other 1.5s recently. It is kinda getting hammered. Glad I got in before the movement. Tempted on adding more
While I am on the Betting Theory topic, let me share with you YOLO and lotto ticket parlay bettors why you are losing EV doing this. Not only those massive parlays, but any parlays going over +200 IMO are not optimal mathematically.
Variance is the devil. VARIANCE IS THE DEVIL!! Chant it with me my friends, until it is deeply embedded in your subconsiousness. Please allow me to illustrate you a simple example.
You have 100 dollars to invest for 10 years.
Option 1 is to gain 15% the first year, 5% the second, 15% the third, 5% the fourth, etc etc.
Option 2 is to get consistent 10% every year.
Which do you choose? Think bout it for a second.
Most people will think "well they are basically the same so its a matter of personal preference".
WRONG.
Option 2 is better. Why? BECAUSE VARIANCE IS THE DEVIL.
Lets do some back of the envelope math.
Option 1 is 100 x 1.05 x 1.15 x 1.05 x 1.15 etc etc.
Or, 100 x (1.05)^5 x (1.15)^5 = $256.71
Option 2 is 100 x (1.1)^10 = $259.37
Calculating simple interest the two are equal. But when compounding comes into effect, less variance is superior. And compounding definitely comes into play when betting because we are increasing and decreasing our unit amounts depending on our results.
Big odds parlays = variance = devil.
#QED
What would you cap the 8" over/under at?That post is too mathematical and I love the devil but @cagebrain has been worthy. But he must present to the thread an #elite underdog pick or sends me dick pics
Well Joanna isn't going to win so don't do this my friend.
Explain why you confident in JJ first then I'll help you out.I respect your input, could you possibly give me any brief insight you might have in regards to JJ/Andrade? Only pick i feel confident about
#Elite underdog pick of the year is Damien "The Babadook" MaiaThat post is too mathematical and I love the devil but @cagebrain has been worthy. But he must present to the thread an #elite underdog pick or sends me dick pics
8 inches is big dogg i don't even hit that on the rhinosWhat would you cap the 8" over/under at?
VERY #elite prediction with an #elite horror movie reference. Very proud of you so far #onetowatch#Elite underdog pick of the year is Damien "The Babadook" Maia
If it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook.
A rumbling sound, and you'll be shook
you better run, he'll hold you in his hooks.
ba-ba-ba-dook-dook-dook...
The cage door opens
Masvidals honestly hopin'
that he won't hear his sound
hat's when Maia knows that he's around.
So close your eyes and count to ten
better hope you don't wake up again.
'Cause if it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook
BABA DOOK DOOK DOOK
A "Gray's Sports Almanac" News Stoy
Damien "The Babadook" Maia has been eating the souls of UFC strikers ever since dropping down to Welterweight in 2012. His ability to make fighters with decades of experience tap like white belts has been known to cause ego death and cause fighters to question everything they know, and indeed the universe itself. At underdog odds, Maia looks to be the steal of the century.
Our reports indicate that Masvidal will not be able to stop the elite takedown chain that Maia inflicts on all his victims. He is simply too skinny, too lackadaisical and generally too willing to succumb. One inside source from the future has informed us that Maia will indeed, and I quote, "take him down whenever and wherever he wants".
That's it from us at Gray's Sports Almanac. Be sure to look out for our other future prediction articles, coming soon to a Sherdog forum near you.
Very proud of you my man. You are making our crew look very good. Keep it up. would like to know your full bets for this card if you don't mind. I'm thinking about Antigulov to finish Joachim u1,5 what do you think?#Elite underdog pick of the year is Damien "The Babadook" Maia
If it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook.
A rumbling sound, and you'll be shook
you better run, he'll hold you in his hooks.
ba-ba-ba-dook-dook-dook...
The cage door opens
Masvidals honestly hopin'
that he won't hear his sound
hat's when Maia knows that he's around.
So close your eyes and count to ten
better hope you don't wake up again.
'Cause if it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook
BABA DOOK DOOK DOOK
A "Gray's Sports Almanac" News Stoy
Damien "The Babadook" Maia has been eating the souls of UFC strikers ever since dropping down to Welterweight in 2012. His ability to make fighters with decades of experience tap like white belts has been known to cause ego death and cause fighters to question everything they know, and indeed the universe itself. At underdog odds, Maia looks to be the steal of the century.
Our reports indicate that Masvidal will not be able to stop the elite takedown chain that Maia inflicts on all his victims. He is simply too skinny, too lackadaisical and generally too willing to succumb. One inside source from the future has informed us that Maia will indeed, and I quote, "take him down whenever and wherever he wants".
That's it from us at Gray's Sports Almanac. Be sure to look out for our other future prediction articles, coming soon to a Sherdog forum near you.
#Elite underdog pick of the year is Damien "The Babadook" Maia
If it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook.
A rumbling sound, and you'll be shook
you better run, he'll hold you in his hooks.
ba-ba-ba-dook-dook-dook...
The cage door opens
Masvidals honestly hopin'
that he won't hear his sound
hat's when Maia knows that he's around.
So close your eyes and count to ten
better hope you don't wake up again.
'Cause if it's in a cage, or if it's in a nook
you can't get rid of the Babadook
BABA DOOK DOOK DOOK
A "Gray's Sports Almanac" News Stoy
Damien "The Babadook" Maia has been eating the souls of UFC strikers ever since dropping down to Welterweight in 2012. His ability to make fighters with decades of experience tap like white belts has been known to cause ego death and cause fighters to question everything they know, and indeed the universe itself. At underdog odds, Maia looks to be the steal of the century.
Our reports indicate that Masvidal will not be able to stop the elite takedown chain that Maia inflicts on all his victims. He is simply too skinny, too lackadaisical and generally too willing to succumb. One inside source from the future has informed us that Maia will indeed, and I quote, "take him down whenever and wherever he wants".
That's it from us at Gray's Sports Almanac. Be sure to look out for our other future prediction articles, coming soon to a Sherdog forum near you.
Sorry I'm not supposed to talk offtopic but this pic made me piss my pants XD
Great post keep it up brother.
Sorry I'm not supposed to talk offtopic but this pic made me piss my pants XD
Very proud of you my man. You are making our crew look very good. Keep it up. would like to know your full bets for this card if you don't mind. I'm thinking about Antigulov to finish Joachim u1,5 what do you think?
yeah me too.. its sherman and maia for me or bust.I am staying way from that fight. Too much of a crapshoot. I'm not digging the prelims for bets ATM. Things could change in the next few days if odds swing.
So far I am hanging off Maia's nutsack huge (Maia ML, Maia +3.5, Not Mas ITD), also on Joanna Frankie and Sherman small. Hit Andrade NSC and Pettis DEC for props.
Edit: Scratch the Pettis bet. Fight cancelled.
Henry Cejudo cant make weight -200Breaking: Saturday’s Sergio Pettis vs. Henry Cejudo flyweight fight has been canceled, per multiple sources.
i wasn't really interested in that fight but still sucks not to see it.