Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 3, 2017.
Yep, that's right, this thread sucks because of idiots.
enough money coming in on barzola to make benitez playable now for me.
agreed can get -140 on WestGate
it's weird have barzola +195 but more on Benitez -140
What a bitch, I really liked my Cejudo -3.5 line at +110. LAME
I actually like Jessica here. Not very big, but moderately as I believe she should be around +115 and getting her anything better than that is worth a play. Joanna is an amazing striker, but she reminds me a lot of Anderson Silva. But is Tuesday as good as her offense is she can't be touched. Especially when you have someone marching them down. Remember when Chael knocked Anderson down twice in their first fight? She's awesome offensively but she can be hurt. What's more, she doesn't fight especially well going backwards and Jessica is consistently on her front foot using her pugnacious style to overwhelm you.
Moreover, since dropping to 115 pounds the Brazilian has been an absolute gorilla. She's been massively strong but she also has nice underrated striking. All too often she gets lumped into being a wild brawler which is not necessarily the case. She isn't just chasing her opponent around the cage throwing wild looping overhands Ronda Rousey style, but instead she's using hooks, over hands and inside leg kicks to steer her opponents into her heavy leather and/or against the cage where she can drown them with a deluge of rapid fire violence. Her style is very reminiscent of fellow Brazilian berserker Jon Lineker. Both are like little sawed-off shotguns and know that they can nuke there opposition with a single squeeze of the trigger. What's more, like Lineker, she has gotten and undeserved wrap for having suspect cardio when in fact she sets a frenetic pace and her conditioning has been outstanding. Especially since dropping to 115lbs.
Don't get it twisted, I'm not saying she's a lock. What I am saying is that she has value. That she can catch Joanna and hurt her if not find the KO. It's even possible Joanna makes a mistake trying to get up and in a scramble Jessica latches onto that vice-grip guillotine of hers and all of the sudden it's curtains.
Additionally, it's also likely that she wins the first three rounds placing Joanna in an unenviable task of needing a must have finish in the final two stanzas.
Andrade has also demonstrated fantastic take downs. She has a terrific single leg where she runs the pie à la Daniel Cormier and hits that high amplitude takedown slam with authority.
Just my thoughts.
Borzola going to eat a liver kick
This is almost the complete breakdown of Edgar and Rodriguez…
145lbs- FRANKIE EDGAR (21-5-1) vs. YAIR RODRIGUEZ (10-1)
Edgar is tough as three decade old shoe leather and while he is hittable, he has never been finished in his distinguished career. His ability to remain coherent even under duress is due in large because of his conditioning. As such he regains his faculties quicker than most. The 35-year-old former champion from Toms River New Jersey has excellent boxing where he will dart in and out of the pocket like a phantom, landing quick clean punches and getting out before he can be touched. Additionally, Edgar likes to throw inside inside and outside leg kicks to keep his opponent off balance.
From the outset he will maintain a super high volume pace throughout the fight. His best asset however is his chain wrestling. Be it an ankle pic, a single leg, blast double, foot sweep, or take down from a body lock, Edgar has always been able to find a way to bring his man to the canvas. This is all the more impressive given that he is usually out sized in each contest, and often looks like he should be competing down a division.
Basically this fight is old guard versus new guard and something has to give. Ultimately I believe it is going to come down to whether or not Frankie is going to be able to secure takedowns. Frankie has never lost a fight were he has hit three takedowns or more. If Rodriguez I will set up shop on the outside he has a very good chance of picking the former champion apart or possibly even finding the knockout blow.
That said, using a high-volume kicking game sets you up for potential takedowns. Edgar is going to be salivating at the first time Rodriguez goes to lift one of his legs off the mat for a kick so he can take advantage of a one legged man. Once Rodriguez goes for the kick expect Edgar to hit that reactive takedown and try to implement some ground and pound and take some steam out of the explosive kid.
The quick twitch muscles of Rodriguez take a lot of oxygen and if Edgar is able to crowd him he is going to be able take away the vaunted kicking assault. You need space to set your feet to kick and Edgar's style is built primarily around negating this type of attack.
Lastly, I know that he is improved drastically, but if you look at the fight Rodriguez had against Charles Rosa, you notice that he slowed down in the third round. In fact, a super fatigued Rosa was STILL able to ground him and convincingly do so in the final frame. Largely because Rodriguez had wore himself out with his dynamic style. I expect Edgar to have the similar success of Rosa but only far earlier and much more often.
I believe that Frankie has a few more high level fights left in him and that he is able to pressure Rodriguez and pick up a clean decision victory.
Fast twitch muscles fibers dont use oxygen, they're ANAEROBIC
He looks white in this video, and super black in other photos. Is he Michael Jacksoning?
1u is 1% of bankroll. having a standard bet size limits your profitability so better not too. the bet size should be based on your edge and probability of winning
I ran out of cat gifs to post. I am sorry if I have disappointed anyone
So people pay others for bet picks around here? Lol. That's when you know you have a problem.
I bet 100 On Maia. 70 on yair.
you should pay someone
Why's that? So I can guarantee a loss of income rather than gambling on it?
u shouldn't really. im just on maz and gonna end up on edgar
King Mo gave him the nickname Daywalker as he's the whitest black guy he knows
Broadcasting note- the UFC 211 pre-fight show and tv prelims are on FX, not FS1 or FS2 this Saturday.
i tried hitting that so hard. evaluated. by the time the slowpoke 5d rep on the phone found the prop, it shifted already.
it's a deserving main card slot, honestly.. but i predict it will be a boring 15 min fight, hehe.
makes sense to me, frankly. skelly-knight on FX might help sell the PPV... whereas guys like jotko & branch are at a level that deserves to be on a really good ppv that SHOULD already sell well
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