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UFC 211 - Stipe vs JDS II - Dallas - Part II

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 3, 2017.

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  1. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    It's just standard bet. I don't know. My units are $50 and I usually make between a $275 / $350 play

    My BR is $25k now so is normal.
     
  2. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    Look if the guy bets 300 per fight on a 25k bankroll, is normal. He just defines units differently (his bankroll may be 500 units, idk, who cares, its semantics).

    @Joseph Budden lay off the dude brah. His breakdowns are good. Who gives a fuck if he sells picks, he doesnt spam up the thread with them. You've said your piece on him, we've all read it, no new info is being said, lets let it die.

    @MMA Goodfella , I really agree with your Maia/Masvidal draw bet. Nowadays I'm actively looking for spots to sprinkle the draw, this is a perfect spot. I hit the draw on Cummins/Blachowic and Weidman/Mousasi, it almost hit on Cummins, this is gonna pay real soon. There is defo value on striker vs grappler matchups with the potential of one guy gassing. Maia v Mas is a perfect spot.

    Hit it for 0.1u.
     
  3. iGnP Silver Belt

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    This is what's weird. If your BR is $25,000, your units should be $250. 1u = 1%. What's the point of making your unit size amount so low compared to your BR? It's terribly misleading
     
  4. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I don't really know...the standard play on CT drop down box is set at 5.5 units and when I'm in a rush I don't have the time to take it down to one unit or 1.5 units or 3.5 units etc.. so I am usually just clicking the standard play. However, Kelly Gives you flexibility with your play is at most wager between 1% and 3% of their bank roll. Wagering 5.5 units is right around this mark...Plus at any one time I usually have between $3000 and $5000 on games every day.. while I have $25,000 in my account right now I could wake up and it would be between 20k and 30k. It ebbs and flows. But long-term it is in the positive,

    It's all about the ROI to be honest. I'm not trying to be misleading. In fact I created a third-party tracking site just for the purpose of transparency. If it makes you feel better I will change it to maximum of three units LOL hell for that matter I'll open it up for free. My clientele is happy and the prices/stats tdon't tell the whole story. But I am tired of defending myself.

    Unit size irrelevant / about ROI and right now mine sucks tbh
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2017
  5. null Gold Belt

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    I like the Maia/Masvidal draw tip, Goodfella. I put some on it.
     
  6. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Do your clients know this? Or are they risking 5.5% of their BR every time you make a 5.5u play, which is effectively 1% of your BR?
     
  7. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Thx bud ..again, I'm not trying to be deceiving at all. What's more, if I could help anyone in this thread I would do so. Be it through p.m. or in the forum openly... I am very open-minded and if I'm doing something that appears deceptive I promise that we will resolve it. I am not in here asking anyone to pay for my plays and I'm just giving breakdowns like everyone else. The only reason I started charging for picks to begin with is because people outside of this thread wanted my plays and I was spending 20 hours or so with doing research. Time is money.

    Why I get called to the carpet so much these days is weird. It's like people have a strange fixation with me. But I just want to drop it and I don't anyone who needs help. For those who think my opinion is not worth a shit, put me all the ignore list and don't pay attention ...I'm not claiming to be Phil Ivey here LOL
     
  8. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Yes! They absolutely know.. FFS I'll alter it..it wasn't a means of deception..how do you want it?
     
  9. NewcastleTom Purple Belt

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    Luca said none of his plays were props bets.
     
  10. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Spoiler for OT

    Just to show you that I am not unique in the way I do 5.5 units, these are the top 4 gambling services all the CT Leaderboard ALL using 11 unit max bets..moreover, bets that they recommend to their clients

    I'll not clog up the thread with this drivel anymore but just for reference..
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2017
  11. Mortex2 Green Belt

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    Not to troll, but you guys betting draw on Mas/Mai... According to Masvidal rhetoric you better put on glasses when he fights cause blood will be splattered all over the cage. He goes to say that this is going to be so brutal, that DOOM video game will seem like PG-13 stuff. (that last line i just made up, but he does say some silly shit saying that this will be XXX rated material, so bad will be the beating he lays on Maia)

    Here is the link to his promises of godlike beating he is about to unleash.

    http://www.bjpenn.com/mma-news/jorg...promises-defeat-demian-maia-x-rated-violence/

    While i believe this is all just bravado, i highly doubt a draw in this one. X-rated beating to get a draw. LOL.
     
  12. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    You sound like a Masvidal shill

    Any objective bettor can see that there are 2 paths to a draw: Maia 10-8s Masvidal in the first, then gasses and Masvidal takes the next 2 rounds. Or, Maia takes the first 2 but then gasses and Masvidal 10-8s Maia in the 3rd.

    If you're looking for spots to hit draw props this is as good a spot as any.

    On a side note, Masvidal said "this violence isn't gonna be rated R its gonna be rated XXX" which made me lol. Now I can't get the image of Maia and Masvidal having sexy time during the fight out of my head.
     
  13. iGnP Silver Belt

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    *rips +5500 ticket*
     
  14. Mortex2 Green Belt

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    I don't care what i sound like, i am just stating what Mas has said in an interview. I am not saying he is gonna slice up Maia like Baraka in Mortal Kombat. I am just saying what Mas is saying, and that makes me believe he is gonna get aggressive which will in turn produce a W or L for him, making Draw less likely. I did not say Mas was gonna win, he might as well get wrapped in a blanket.

    On a side note, this was intended to give you guys some laughs, I had some reading his DVD type material promises. If you want to know who i will be betting, it will be Mas for me, but i have made up my mind before the promised violence coming to DVD crap... Cheers.
     
  15. Orion Brown Belt

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    Fun fact: Edgar hasn't lost a non-title fight in 9 years.
     
  16. Orion Brown Belt

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    Cejudo on what happened:

    https://www.facebook.com/henrycejudo/posts/1526582270686728:0

     
  17. iGnP Silver Belt

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  18. Sunwater Yellow Belt

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    I'm tempted to go semi-big on Sherman but.... I think we all remember what happened last time we were trigger happy on a low level HW fight and the opponent being an inflated MW....
     
  19. Sunwater Yellow Belt

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    Do you guys think Edgar's odds will get better after weigh ins?
     
  20. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    A few random misc notes I haven't seen posted or discussed here:

    8 fighters from ATT fighting on this card

    JDS was at ATT for fight against Overeem, back with his original coaches for Rothwell fight and Stipe fight.

    Yair will be the tallest fighter Edgar has ever faced

    Skelly claims to have excellent cardio, just terrible circumstances leading up to all but the Bektic fight. Knight says his gameplan against Kawajiri was to sub him off his back, admits it was the worst gameplan ever. Expects Skelly to go for constant TDs and says he plans to keep this on the feet

    Quinones was supposed to debut short notice on Februarys Halifax card, pulled due to minor leg injury. Training at ATT, a MT striker, while Gordon is a brawler with a BJJ brown belt and decent TDs

    Vick says he's similar to Nate Diaz with his KO vs sub win ratio in which he doesn't aim for subs but people always try to take him down and he snatches the opportunity (Sham pointed this out previously). Training with a few Victory FC fighters this camp

    Casey moved to Hawaii in 2014 to coach at a gym with her husband. They took over the gym, no big names there, limited equipment

    Rashad Coulter has 0 amateur fights, started training at a late age (29 I think). Played football from 5yrs old to 22, suffered a pelvic injury forcing him out. Friends with King Mo who got him into MMA

    Benitez's southpaw stance vs Barzola's orthodox stance means his extremely powerful body kicks will be landing to the liver. Also makes it harder to catch what will be inside leg kicks

    Apologies if any of the info is innacurate.
     
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