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UFC 213 - Nunes vs Shevchenko II - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jun 12, 2017.

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  1. onC Blue Belt

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    That's not very smart. Either there is great value in Shev (in your opinion), or not. Your previous results shouldnt affect that.
     
  2. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Gerald Mershmert reminds me of jake gyllenhal

    [​IMG] [​IMG]
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Hello guys. Been awhile since I posted. Life just got too hectic (kinda still is) and had to focus on other stuff. Mom with terminal illness, work been crazy, for some reason we bought a vacation home (don't get me started, I don't really like the idea because I feel like now we're going to feel sort of obligated to to go there for the majority of our vacations--and it needed some stuff done and we live like 1200 miles from it, blah blah blah). Anyway, just been busier than I can almost ever remember and had to pick a few things and put them on the back burner, Sherdog being one. I've still been betting some fights, but also had to pick and choose way more because just no time to research. Which has been okay for my BR, since the first half of this year wasn't very good for me. I've rebounded a little in the last couple months, still solidly in the red this year though. Last night was my 2nd best event this year, so I'm kinda pumped a bit from that. I thought I had everything figured out after 2016 was my 2nd best year ever, and third winning year in a row. Then the first half of this year brought me back to reality.

    Anyway, long story short I'm gonna try to contribute a bit more going forward. My problem is that for me this place is like a black hole for time. I suck at "limiting" myself (I don't chase while betting and have good BR management, but am a Sherdog degen, go figure). Which is good and bad. Good because it means there's awesome info here and it's compelling enough to spend time posting and reading everything. Bad because when you have other obligations they tend to suffer LOL.

    Tonight I'm with you guys on Reem. Not sure how anyone could be sold on Werdum at all at this point, and the odds have actually gotten better on Reem. I think he wins with a late stoppage or a decision. I'm also on o2.5 for Shev/Nunes, I think there's value even though Nunes will of course come out guns blazing.

    I'm still trying to figure out what other plays I like. I have a few small random props and parlays, but as much as I like this card for viewing, it doesn't seem to be the most amazing for betting. Maybe there will be some juicy live betting spots to hit.

    BOL to everyone always, and I hope to be around a bit more going forward.
     
  4. rille31 Brown Belt

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    hmmm all of trevor giles pro fights have ended in the first round

    Edit: bochnovic not giles
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2017
  5. t6p Brown Belt

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    Nice to see you back man.
     
  6. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Giles fastest KO +1500? Maybe worth a small stab?
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Mein dec +392
    Andrade dec +410

    Both have some value imo.
     
  8. rille31 Brown Belt

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    last 7 wins where first round subs so maybe fastest sub instead
     
  9. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    My picks I like today -

    Santos tko
    Reem DEC
    Stamann
    Blaydes
    Chad
    Whitakker TKO
    Shev.

    Let's make some more $ tonight, good luck all
     
  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    What? No they haven't lol http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Trevin-Giles-111237#!

    Na dont do that. Not just cause rille has the wrong guy lol but Giles sucks
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Fucking depressed yet excited. Two weeks ago was my biggest weekend ever, and last night was my biggest losing night ever. Hit every bet except the big ones, went too hard on Diakiese and MJ in chase mode which is unlike me. Shit was horrible. What makes it even worse is I was in here with @Ballsaque making the case for Gaethje when everyone was so big on MJ, yet I still chased with him. Just smfh @ myself, maybe got too stupid after doing so well two weeks ago.

    Trying to just brush it off but if I lose tonight thats gonna hurt. The awesomeness of Gaethje vs MJ only thing keeping my spirits up.

    Prob won't be around too much today, def not during the event, and haven't had time to post bets this week but i'm on Reem, Browne, o2.5 for the main event and Pettis/Miller, big 5u play on Santos, o1.5 Blaydes/Danny, o1.5 Belal/Mein and Belal dec

    Eyeing some value spots like Whit dec +500 and Valentina dec +434. Im really fucking hoping this night goes well for me cause honestly after consideration, I think the over in the main event at -120 coupled with Nunes round 1 is as perfect a combo as there is. Very hard to see a finish outside of Nunes early.
     
  12. CR0W BOXING

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    Love Mein, impressive boxing ability but I'm really confident in Belal here, Mein is a flake and even if he has a good round 1 and hurts Belal I see him fading and Belal taking over, scoring takedowns and winning.
     
  13. rille31 Brown Belt

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  14. t6p Brown Belt

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    If the same Mein who fought Meek shows up I believe Belal takes this fairly easily. I'm on him at +100 and I like his decision line as well.
     
  15. edole Brown Belt

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    thoughts on Stamann? Watching some of his fights -- obviously I don't want to make this comparison, but he reminds me kind of a regional Urijah Faber
     
  16. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Mein has no heart Belel will take him to deep water and take over
     
  17. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    I like Cody a lot here, I think he has the speed, power and wrestling advantage here. He reminds me more of Cody garbrandt with less power
     
  18. bet the house White Belt

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    Sorry for the terribly dumb question fellas. In Vegas for first time, where can I find over/under lines?
     
  19. stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    Just ask at the sports book they can print u a ticket out
     
  20. SBJJ Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Superbook at westgate
     
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