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UFC 214 - Jones vs Cormier II - Anaheim

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 8, 2017.

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  1. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I think it might be a good thing to lb Jones after the first, he is likely suffering from ring rust and I expect DC to win the first one, maybe even the second.
     
  2. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    Kinda funny to think about how Marquardt has devastating stoppage wins of the 2 guys fighting for the welterweight title this evening.
     
  3. Ballsaque Brown Belt

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    Haha true, Marquardt legit Mortal Kombat'ed both of them.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    That Woodley gif so satisfying...
     
  4. ApplesVild Banned Banned

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    Cowboy has the ab bump on those face off pics.. On the juice
     
  5. Captain Crunch28 Green Belt

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    Thought about putting half a unit on lamas and half a unit on cowboy but instead I just put the whole unit on Woodley ml. Hope it pays off
     
  6. t6p Brown Belt

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    Evinger/Cyborg over 1.5 +285
    Lamas decision +383

    Hit both.
     
  7. wack3d Silver Belt

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    thanks for the heads up hit them both
     
  8. turbozed Red Belt

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    Am I the only guy that thinks Calvin Kattar is a live dog at +335? Or at the very least that he can win a round and beat the +3.5 spread at +165? Went small but due to 12 days notice.
     
  9. grey poupon Blue Belt

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    Jake Shields beat both of them too
     
  10. grey poupon Blue Belt

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    The Maia gif looks like a skinny nerd who doesn't know how to fight, taking on the high school bully jock.
     
  11. Stunna77 Brown Belt

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    TBH I just googled Ortega weigh in photos, didn't even think about early/fake. Still thought he looked like shit and everything he said afterwards kind of confirms he had an awful cut.
     
  12. Bestonian Can't be assed with grammar

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    Money on...

    Woodley
    Lawler
    Albu (because Kurran is just so fucking bad)
     
  13. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    my favorite play here is bones ml

    Bones sub, Bones rds 3-5 and decision hedge. If he finishes Cormier you are getting paid well. If it goes to decision you still make money

    about the points spread: the -5.5 is the combined scorecard victory?
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Man I'm pretty big on Jones -5.5, Jones no scorecards, etc..

    But I must say.. cormier looks in the best shape of his life. I definitely think hes worked harder than Jones in preparation here.

    (I hope for my bets that it doesn't matter, tho)
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Whoa, where the hell are you getting that price on Lamas dec? It's +195 on 5d. +383 is absolutely ridiculous, and this coming from a guy who very slightly favors Knight.

    I'm always nervous taking an over with Cyborg involved, but yeah Evinger is tough and odds warrant it. I had to take +270 but still value imo.
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I like Jones NSC as the bet if you're taking him, I said it before. I think DC is a live dog, but I have a hard time seeing him finish. While I think Jones has a lot of sneaky ways to finish fights. I think DC remembers losing the grind and running out of steam the first time after having early success. I think he might come out pretty reserved, prepared for a long war. I don't see him being super aggressive early, probably even less than the first time. I think he wants to make sure he's got plenty left for the championship rounds where he was soundly dismantled the first time.
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Damnit, missed that!
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    It spiked up (lamas dec) and t6p and wack3d sniped it
     
  19. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yes -5.5 is the combined scorecard victory (and obviously a finish covers it as well). If you think Jones wins a relatively clear dec or wins by stoppage, you save a lot of juice giving the -5.5.
     
  20. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Wow, that is a MASSIVE move off a couple bets. Must not be a lot of action on that prop. I have it small and in some random RR's at +230 which I thought was solid. I'm super jealous of that line they got though. That's amazing.
     
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