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UFC 215 - Johnson vs. Borg - Alberta, Canada

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Card, Jul 26, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC 215: SEPTEMBER 9, 2017
    Rogers Place | Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
    Broadcast: PPV


    Junior Dos Santos +170
    Francis Ngannou -230

    Over 1.5 -110
    Under 1.5 -130
    -

    Neil Magny +110
    Rafael dos Anjos -150

    Over 2.5 -180
    Under 2.5 +140
    -

    Gilbert Melendez -105
    Jeremy Stephens -135

    Over 2.5 -185
    Under 2.5 +145
    -

    Wilson Reis +325
    Henry Cejudo -475

    Over 2.5 -180
    Under 2.5 +140
    ----------------------------------------



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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    so far i'm on
    reis +325 small, reis-cejudo O2.5 -180

    jds +300, jds O1.5 +170 small

    stephens -130
     
  3. rev0lver Purple Belt

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    Definitely throwing small plays on JDS and Reis. Reis might really just be a gatekeeper but I'm surprised the line's that bad.
     
  4. stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    Will be playing Borg.
     
  5. Papi Green Belt

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    Interesting im on rda here albeit not by much. I think 3 rds favor rda. 5rds favors magny.. Im not really high on magnys striking i think rdas pressure gives him a close but clear 29-28 victory. Post usada rda does scare me though
     
  6. kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    Like the O1.5 on JDS/Ngannou.
     
  7. rev0lver Purple Belt

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    Magny-RDA is really a tossup imo. RDA looked good against Tarec, there's no way I can write him off. Steroid rumors aside his only losses in the past 5 years are still only Alvarez, Ferguson, and Khabib.

    Magny easily has the stats on his side in his body type. If RDA lost to Tarec I'd go Magny easy but I think RDA will do fine at the least. I'll probably take Magny but only because of odds.
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    tarec is such a weirdo, anymore. he is hard to look good against yet he doesn't f'ing DO ANYTHING. hard to know what to make of RDA at 170 still.
     
  9. Sapp Silver Belt

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    Can't resist this JDS line on the same principle I went heavy on Weidman.
    3u on JDS, not sure how he's such a big underdog.
     
  10. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Have 2u on the U4.5 in DJ/Borg. Thinking about adding more. Borg is gonna have a very hard time standing with DJ if he can't take him down. I could see him gassing as well if DJ defends multiple takedowns. I mean, Borgs gameplan has to be to take DJ down. There's no way he can win on the feet, he's at a huge disadvantage there.
     
  11. quincy k Brown Belt

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    unless his recent injury has not properly healed and he misses weight, if you want magny i would bet him before the weigh ins.

    the 5'7" rda is a little guy, even more so when he will be standing next to the 6´3" magny.
     
  12. quincy k Brown Belt

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    it was a legit win because tarec is a legit 170.

    if dos anjos cant get magny down or work him to the fence, which im betting he wont be able to do, hes going to be eating stiff jabs and combos while tryng to get inside navigating through his substantial reach disadvantage. imo, if this was a straight boxing match rda would have little chance of winning.
     
  13. piglord Black Belt

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    tarec melts under pressure and has a blatant issue with his cardio, he's faded badly his last 3 fights. probably the best opponent for rda in hindsight.

    magny has his flaws but he's a dog and will fight for your money. i think rda has still lost a step from the pettis days and he's not going to be able to waltz into range and pressure like he did at lightweight.
     
  14. Papi Green Belt

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    I think jds is a trap bet at +250 i think his chin gets cracked but noone wants ngannou at -3xx and everyone will lose money because jds was the quote 'value' play
     
  15. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I refuse to bet anything else than Ngannou R1. He is a beast and JDS is, no matter how much I love him, not the same any more.
     
  16. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Pretty crazy that Magny already has 16 fights in the UFC. He fought 5 times in both 2014 and 2015.
     
  17. rev0lver Purple Belt

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    What's wrong with that though? JDS probability in this fight is definitely better than the +250 makes it look. Ngannou is great but he's not this Cain-level HW, I can't see him stringing 3 more wins together at the higher levels of the division without getting caught once. JDS is someone with way more than a puncher's chance here even if he's fallen off a little bit
     
  18. NorthernLights Blue Belt

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    I don't think it's fair to write JDS off because he got knocked out by Stipe (which seems to be the main reason that people are fading him)...before that he absolutely schooled Ben Rothwell over the course of five rounds. The same Rothwell who was looking pretty impressive at the time with a nice little win streak of his own, including better wins really than anything that Ngannou has shown us so far.
     
  19. Papi Green Belt

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    He's also coming back to soon. What do you think the odds should be?
     
  20. kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    For those who want to bet JDS, I'd do it soon, I'm quite sure Luca is going to be on JDS, he tweets about who he's looking to fade all the time, Ngannou being one of the guys he always says is overhyped.
     
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