What about fighting 2 rounds vs Ferguson? Lee's past four fights have ended in round 1 or 2 and Ferguson is a notoriously slow starter. The way I see Lee winning is tagging Tony early like Lando or Trujillo did, and then having the submission skills to finish on the ground. Also took Lee sub +569, rd 1 +1178, rd 2 +1647, rd 3 +2377. Only bet a little on +221, I'm not dripping with confidence here.