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UFC 216 - Ferguson vs Lee - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Sep 4, 2017.

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  1. Ukram Silver Belt

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  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yeah and the fact that if you shoot on him your neck is in jeopardy every time. Tony just needs to avoid the Imanari rolls and shit in this fight.
     
  3. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    GOATy Stamann looked very ready to fuck the Frenchie up
     
  4. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    fight pass:

    tavares-leites
    tavares looks good, but not QUITE as good as he has in some fights?
    leites looks alright. looked better, looked worse
    same size

    moraga-bibulatov
    bibulatov looks great
    moraga lookin decent, as usual
    moraga is 2-3" taller, bibulatov looks a bit broader maybe

    harris-godbeer
    godbeer looks good, 244.5, as expected for him
    harris looks as good as he has, imo. he is still a thick mofo but he looks in good shape. 251
    godbeer maybe 1" taller? hard to tell

    FX prelims:

    schnell-beltran
    beltran looks alright, super slender. still not sure he should be so low
    schnell looks very fit,a s expected.
    very similarly sized, tho beltran just looks a tad bigger.

    gonzalez-botelho
    botelho looks very fit.. hard girl...
    gonzalez looks alright for her.. soft girl...
    botelho is 1" taller.

    vannata-green
    green looks pretty f'in good, man. as good as ever, i think...
    vannata looks very solid, too.
    they're really similarly sized

    stamann-duquesnoy
    stamann looks sooo different at 135, looks fuckin outstanding.
    duqesnoy much leaner but looks good
    duquesnoy like 2" taller

    ppv:

    dariush-dunham
    dunham looks a bit kinda.. thicker? than some of his earlier fights. he looks good.
    dariush looks alright, same as usual for him. never looks ripped or anything.
    dunham 1" taller maybe? hard to tell

    faria-borella
    faria pretty fit at 125. looks healthier than some of her 115 fights.
    borella also very fit, much more natural 125'er, i think
    borella is the bigger girl, 2" taller, looks like longer reach, etc?

    lewis-werdum
    lewis 263.5, looks the same as always. big and soft, etc
    werdum in at 247. weighs in with shirt on. (he looked a bit sub par for him this morning, tho)
    werdum is 1" taller

    DJ-borg
    borg makes the weight, looks pretty decent.
    DJ looks fantastic, as always. maybe a lil more jacked than some fights?
    borg is 2" taller

    ferguson-lee
    lee looks pretty f'ing awesome, despite the extra pound he had to lose etc, this dude is fuckin shredded as ever.
    ferguson ferg keeps shirt on but he looks in great shape, same as usual.
    ferg is 2+" taller, longer wingspan, etc
     
  5. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    This is a tough card to read. But my favorite play is Cody. Stylistically I think he stays in Tom's face all night long and doesn't let him breathe. And he will hit opportunistic takedowns when there. I actually think that Cody should be the favorite.
     
  6. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    UFC lists Ferg as 76" reach and Lee as 77":eek:

    Is this fight between the two guys in this division with the longest reach? For 155 those are some long damn arms. Makes sense why both guys win so many fights via choke I guess.
     
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    whoa, FOTN +350 for lee-ferguson? i know there are a couple other good ones tomorrow and it's a 12 fight card, but i thought this would be +200 or something, max. how does this NOT get FOTN if it goes a couple rounds? love it as far as FOTN props go
     
  8. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Agreed on all points but especially these two. Thought Cody looked outstanding and Bobby Green appeared totally transformed. Definitely the best shape that I have ever seen him in. How that translates to the octagon I'm not sure, but Green is in absolutely phenomenal condition from an aesthetic point of view.
     
  9. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Dayum! Never realized Lee was that long limbed!
     
  10. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    KInda liking Werdum KO at +404. Lewis is gonna headhunt and try to brawl, and he leaves himself open to getting tagged (see Browne fight or if you wanna go back aways Mitrione fight). It's HW, obviously KO's aren't hard to come by. I think I'm gonna take a little stab at this.
     
  11. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    My only bets so far are Green and Stamann.

    Good to see Bobby Green in shape and fired up, hard to follow the guy cause he doesn't use social media.

    Stamann shredded at 135, going to look so much better tomorrow than he did in his debut which was 8 days notice
     
  12. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    I think JUCO guys are better at the top end. You get a lot of guys who had horrible grades but were excellent wrestlers (see: Jon Jones). On the other hand, anyone can join the wrestling club at their uni.

    But at this point it's academic. Ferguson can MMA wrestle with the best of them.
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I was hoping for Stamman/Duq +800. It's +550. Uhh...pass.
     
  14. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I think there's a lot of fights that at least have the potential to end in subs on this card. I'm gonna take tiny stabs at the sub props 2.5 and up.
     
  15. Card Silver Belt

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  16. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    Damn. I hit Ferguson for 2160.00 at -180 in Vegas last week. If I only knew what the week would bring. Would have seriously laid 9k at leqst
     
  17. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    Lee seems like he's just mouthing off at this point
     
  18. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Leites DEC 4.50 seems like its worth a shot, I really favour Tavares, but 4.50 is really nice.
     
  19. Dirtey Green Belt

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    Werdums last 5 weigh ins:
    239 against Overeem III
    239.5 against Browne II
    240 against Miocic
    236 against Cain
    232 against Hunt

    So yeah, 247 definitely sounds a bit sub par. Dunno what the shirt/shorts weigh tho.
     
  20. pytycrys Purple Belt

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    Drinking coffee when trying to rehydrate as much as possible after that brutal weight loss?
    Man, it does not sound like the smartest thing..
     
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