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UFC 217 - Bisping vs GSP - NYC

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 8, 2017.

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  1. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    -237 yeah. I have some on that too (but more on -5.5). I do think it's unlikely she finishes, but I like the security of her pt spread a bit better. (Meaning I think it's so likely that she pieces Rose up, I'll pay some more juice to cover the lopsided dec or the late stoppage).
     
  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Masvidal NSC +142.

    In 44 pro fights, he's been stopped by strikes exactly once. And it was almost 10 years ago. I do trust Wonderboy's chin too, but not as much as I trust Masvidal's. I know those kicks that WB throws can be devastating, but I just don't see Masvidal getting stopped here. I love this line.
     
  3. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    That was a terrible stoppage against Damm too, Mas was far from done.
     
  4. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    I will eat all the crow if Gall beats Brown tonight. I just love Brown at +money so much, can't believe it is the case.
     
  5. thesharktank Brown Belt

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    Shocked by that line. I'm not on any books that offer nsc so I rarely consider them, but I would have put that line at -110 to -120 if I had to guess it
     
  6. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    Bisping GSP fight is the hardest fight for me to cap in a long while.

    No idea how GSP is after 3 years out, I call it a coin flip, so was happy to take + money on Bisping.

    Love that Randy Brown is a dog. Hopefully Gall doesnt fuck me there.
     
  7. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    I know I said I wouldn't bet Hendricks again.

    But is anyone betting Hendricks again?
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Gall just seems like one of those kids who's tough as hell. Won't break, will fight for your $ all the way. So I guess what I'm saying is that for someone that thinks Brown outclasses Gall standing (a very reasonable way to see this fight playing out), I'd much rather take Fight Goes Distance at +200 or Brown dec +382 than Brown ML at +100. (Not sure what price you got Brown at, probably better than +100, but way less than +200). I think Brown can win for sure, but I don't see him getting a stoppage.
     
  9. pytycrys Purple Belt

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    @CR0W Beware, this guy wants to eat ya. Also, good chances, cause Gall may floor fuck Brown tonight :p
    @lawmills2006
    I did a bit less than 0.1u on Hendricks R1 KO @ 101 and R1 @ 71 at Paddypower just for the stupid odds. But I however have a lot of units on Borra ITD and Borra R1..
     
  10. thesharktank Brown Belt

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    I've loaded up on Borrachinha (although apparently he goes by Costa now) in the first round. I couldnt pass up the odd I got +240 when its sitting at +150 elsewhere. I still can't shake this bad feeling I have about it.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2017
  11. arrelione Red Belt

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    I am betting Hendricks again at +290.

    This is the typical case of Costa is a fast starter but what happens if the fight goes late scenario. Furthermore correct me if I am wrong but isn't this Costas first fight in the US?
    I think Hendricks might get a couple of takedowns with which he does nothing in the latter stages of the fight, similar to the Magny fight. I won't be surprised if this is the kind of fight where half the fans are gonna cry robbery no matter who wins.

    Then again Johny might get KO'd in the first.
     
  12. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I did a little on OSP dec +447 too. I think there's a decent chance he stuffs Corey's TD's but just does enough standing to win rounds.

    Corey's chin of course a concern...
     
  13. Orion Brown Belt

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    Rewatching Borra/Bamgbose, if Hendricks eats any of those body shots he's going to be shitting cheeseburgers in the center of the octagon and pissing blood for a week.
     
  14. arrelione Red Belt

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    I am not arguing against it. However Johny is a vetarn and won't do all those crazy moves Bang bus did which drains your energi, thus bangbus slowed down considerably in that fight. Additionally if Borrachina is too aggressive Hendricks might get some takedowns.
     
  15. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    How can you rely on Hendricks to implement a gameplan for 3 rounds?


    At a wedding. Will be pushing my wife to leave as soon as I can

    At least the first two fights are probably the most uninteresting

    Will probably put fight pass on the phone
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2017
  16. Hughesjm1230 Purple Belt

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    I don't post much but i think GSP is gonna make it look a lot easier tonight than most people will realize. GSP would not risk his legacy to come back if he didn't think he was gonna win. IMO he cherry picked this fight because i don't think he would be fighting Romero or Jacre in the same circumstances. I honestly think he will win this fight and fight Conor than retire again. I could be wrong but i just think the stars are aligned here for GSP to remind everybody why hes probably the GOAT.
     
  17. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I used to work for him. He doesn’t work well with others. Nick Kalikas, Brad Taschuck and Adam Martin and many others from MMAOB where he worked before have feuded with him. However despite his negative comments towards them, Nick has taken the highroad while Luca trashed the shit out of him. My inbox is full of those jealous rants towards the guys of MMAOB. The biggest issue with his bets to me though is that he will often throw in a live bet during the fight and tweet it out then count it. Like people who paid for his services are all sitting there able to get a live bit in last second. That is just fraudulent shit.
     
  18. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    He's +300

    Do you think he should be +400? Do u think he has no shot at all?
     
  19. arrelione Red Belt

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    Because he has done so many times in his career. Also this is a shot in the dark, at +290 I believe it is warranted. It's not like it's pick em fight.
     
  20. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Maybe too elite. Suspiciously so some might say.


    <41>
     
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