UFC 241 Cormier vs Miocic II Official Bets

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UFC 241 Risk $6,924.00

Daniel Cormier (-135) vs Stipe Miocic $337.50 for $250.00
Stipe Miocic wins in round 1 (+525) $40.00 for $210.00
Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic goes 2:30 of round 2 (-195) $195.00 for $100.00
Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic starts round 3 (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic goes 2:30 round 3 (+115) $100.00 for $115.00
Daniel Cormier wins in round 4 (+1232) $20.00 for $246.40
Daniel Cormier wins in round 5 (+2200) $20.00 for $440.00
Stipe Miocic wins in round 4 (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00
Stipe Miocic wins in round 5 (+3522) $20.00 for $704.40Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic fight ends in round 4 (+800) $25.00 or $200.00
Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic fight ends in round 5 (+1200) $25.00 or $300.00
Daniel Cormier/Stipe Miocic fight ended by TKO/KO (-175) $87.50 for $50.00
Daniel Cormier wins by 5 round decision (+454) $100.00 for $454.00
Stipe Miocic wins by 5 round decision (+715) $100.00 for $715.00

Nate Diaz/Anthony Pettis Over 2½ (-185) $370.00 for $200.00
Nate Diaz/Anthony Pettis Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Nate Diaz/Anthony Pettis Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Nate Diaz wins in round 3 (+1700) $25.00 for $425.00

Yoel Romero (-140) vs Paulo Costa $560.00 for $400.00
Yoel Romero wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
Paulo Costa wins in round 1 (+500) $75.00 for $375.00
Paulo Costa wins in round 2 (+750) $30.00 for $225.00
Yoel Romero wins in round 3 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00
Yoel Romero/Paulo Costa fight ended by TKO/KO -260) $260.00 for $100.00

Sodiq Yusuff (-265) vs Gabriel Benitez $265.00 for $100.00

Derek Brunson (+135) vs Ian Heinisch $100.00 for $135.00

Devonte Smith/Khama Worthy won’t start round 2 (-130) $65.00 for $50.00
Devonte Smith/Khama Worthy Under 1½ (-182) $364.00 for $200.00

Cory Sandhagen (-177) vs Raphael Assuncao ~$360.00 for ~$203.39

Drakkar Klose/Christos Giagos fight goes distance (-250) $250.00 for $100.00

Casey Kenney (+138) vs Manny Bermudez $975.00 for $1,345.50
Manny Bermudez (-135) vs Casey Kenney $540.00 for $400.00
Manny Bermudez wins by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+135) $100.00 for $135.00

Hannah Cifers (-255) vs Jodie Esquibel $510.00 for $200.00

Brandon Davis (+185) vs Kyung Ho Kang $100.00 for $185.00

Sabina Mazo (+110) vs Shana Dobson $200.00 for $220.00
Sabina Mazo wins by TKO/KO (+945) $40.00 for $378.00
Sabina Mazo wins in round 3 (+2800) $15.00 for $420.00

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

I have:
$100 on Assuncao @ 2.50 (annoyed that I didn't wait)
$50 on DC @1.74
$10 on Romero and Costa GTD @ 3.55

Not particularly convinced that any of the bets are any good...

Good luck fellow degenerates!

 

[hugdeeznuts]

DC
Pettis
Romero
Benitez
Ian
Sandhagen by decision
Kenney
Klose
Cifers/Devonte
Devonte/Kang
Dobson

 

[Luke Rockhold's Chin]

3 units Costa +130
2 units Nate +115
4 units Stipe +125

What do people mean by units?

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

A combination of being utterly washed-out from constant tape-watching and betting and also not recognizing many bad lines in the fights I looked at leads to a single pre-bet;

1u on Mazo at +115

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

What do people mean by units?

Units are personalized. For some people it's 1% of their bankroll whatever it may be as an example.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

A combination of being utterly washed-out from constant tape-watching and betting and also not recognizing many bad lines in the fights I looked at leads to a single pre-bet;

1u on Mazo at +115

Join us in the PBP thread!

 

[Luke Rockhold's Chin]

Units are personalized. For some people it's 1% of their bankroll whatever it may be as an example.

Really? So it’s just some unknown amount of money? Why even post about it then? Seems like a standard here so I was curious

Thanks

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

Really? So it’s just some unknown amount of money? Why even post about it then? Seems like a standard here so I was curious

Thanks

Everyone has varying bankrolls. So if someone's betting thousands of dollars on a fighter but you bet much less than that, like in $10 increments, it's not very applicable to you. But if they phrase it in units then that conveys the level of confidence in their bet and it's universal.

For example someone has 100k bankroll and they bet 3 units on a fighter, say that's 3% to them so $3000. Your bankroll might be a $1000 so 3 units for you if you wanted to tail him is $30.

I hope that made sense watching the ppv right now so kinda rushed lol.

 

[oloke46]

0.5U assuncao + costa @ 6.32

1.5U romero ö1.5 + dc o1.5 @ 2.59

1.66U heinisch + klose @ 2.55

1.0U dc & stipe FGTD@ 3.40

7U diaz ML@ 2.00

 

[joenewbie]

Everyone has varying bankrolls. So if someone's betting thousands of dollars on a fighter but you bet much less than that, like in $10 increments, it's not very applicable to you. But if they phrase it in units then that conveys the level of confidence in their bet and it's universal.

For example someone has 100k bankroll and they bet 3 units on a fighter, say that's 3% to them so $3000. Your bankroll might be a $1000 so 3 units for you if you wanted to tail him is $30.

I hope that made sense watching the ppv right now so kinda rushed lol.

Exactly correct. Or to put it another way: If a bettor isn't very confident in a play they might put down 1 or 2 units. If they are very confident in a play they might put down 8 or more units. It's a measure of confidence in a bet.

 

[zer0cool]

Klose/Sandhagen/Romero/Diaz/Cormier - $55 to win $660
Klose/Sandhagen/Romero/Pettis/Cormier - $50 to win $480

 

[Naught2Sixty]

S. Mazo ML +105 1u
P. Costa ML +130 .5u
Moggly ML +260 1u
C. Kenney ML +120 3u

+4.3u

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

A combination of being utterly washed-out from constant tape-watching and betting and also not recognizing many bad lines in the fights I looked at leads to a single pre-bet;

1u on Mazo at +115

Lost 0.4u on Esquibel at +250 after round 2 but won it back on 0.4u on Kenney after round 1 at +100.

Also put 0.5u on Cormier at -125 and at such a low amount, wasn't about to hedge. +0.65u for the night.

Honestly? I don't regret not betting any of the other fights I taped. (Klose-Giagos, Romero-Costa, Heinisch-Brunson, Pettis-Diaz) Some I would have won, some I would have lost, but none played out in a manner that makes the lines look silly.

Fun to watch the PPV without worrying too much about big money on the line. Anywho, I feel rejuvenated by not watching as much tape this week, and look forward to building the bankroll back up in earnest starting next week.

 

[nebulousned]

ive got 100 on Stipe to return 215

lets goooo

YEAH BOII!!!!!

Biggest bet ever, biggest win ever!

 

[Red_2]

4u Diaz +100
4u Costa +145
4u Miocic +125
.5u Diaz/Costa/Miocic parlay @ +1120ish

Biggest I've gone on an event since 229. Pretty confident in these three.

Good fucking Lord. Well done.

 

[Jordan3399]

Up 2u overall. Crazy stuff, not sure wtf a few guys were doing/ thinking but stayed in profit.

 

[Deleted member 316645]

Good fucking Lord. Well done.

After a month and a half of pretty bad bets(I was on Frankie LOL), I felt really strongly towards these three.

Of course, Stipe had me sweating, what a fucking adjustment in round 4. I'd guess he was down 3-0, it'll be interesting to see when the judges scorecards come out.

 

[And]

$250 Diaz (SC=NA) +100 to win 250

$50 Romero Dec. +630 to win 315
$50 Romero R3 +900 to win 450

$75 Benitez +300 to win 225

$500 Brunson +175 to win 875
$100 Brunson (SC=NA) +150 to win 150
$25 Brunson - Heinisch Draw +7500 to win 1875

$200 Assunçao +200 to win 400
$100 Assunçao (SC=NA) +160 to win 160

$700 Kenney +145 to win 1015

$150 Esquibel +260 to win 390

$250 Davis +185 to win 462.5
$25 Davis KO/TKO/DQ +975 to win 243.75

$100 Dobson +125 to win 125

11x$25 RR (Brunson +130, Davis +175, Kenney +150, Assunçao +200) to win 3767.53 (lost 96.25)

Fights to go distance:
$15 O 9.5 +4000 to win 600
$10 O 10.5 +27200 to win 2720

Result: +$743.75

EDIT: Actual Result: +$843.75

Accidentally graded Assunçao (SC=NA) as a loss, corrected now.

 

[Soccer Steve]

DC ML - 5u for 3.57u
Pettis ML - 3u for 2.73u
Costa ML - 1u for 1.4u
Costa Decision - 0.5u for 2.75u
Over 1.5 Rounds - 4u for 3.1u
Heinisch ML - 5u for 2.86u
Sandhagen ML - 3u for 1.67u
Assuncao NSC - 0.5u for 0.8u
Kenney ML - 3u for 3.65u
Kenney Decision - 0.5u for 1.25u
Klose ML - 5u for 2.94u
Klose Decision - 1u for 1u
Klose Round 3 - 0.25u for 4.75u
Davis ML - 1u for 1.75u
Cifers ML - 3u for 1.11u
Esquibel ML - 0.5u for 1.1u
Esquibel Decision - 0.48u for 1.5u
ML: Cifers + DC - 0.51u for 0.67u
O1 Round: Klose-Giagos + Sandhagen-Assuncao + Pettis-Diaz + Cifers-Esquibel - 1.66u for 1u

4.13u

Live-betting and greedy add-ons to DC brings my real total to 1.86u for the night. Better than a loss but stings, probably more than it should, after a real hot start.