UFC 248 Adesanya vs Romero Official Bets

+$62... I'll take it? That Dariush KO was dope af, was worried for him after rd1. Thought JJ won but can't argue with the decision. Great card other than the main event.
Looks like around -$2300 to me!? What am I missing here?
 
Jedrzejczyk 1 unit to win 1.48
Madsen 2.11 units to win 1
Li 1.69 units to win 1
Emmers 1.71 units to win 1
Batgerel 1.29 units to win 1

Dumped a couple of units. Li was admittedly a garbage play at those odds but I felt like JJ and Emmers could’ve easily gotten the nod.
 
Looks like around -$2300 to me!? What am I missing here?

I don't bother posting live and late bets anymore, but here's what I added through the card, mostly while drunk. My posted results always include refinement and lbs.

Screenshot_20200308-161208_Sheets.jpg
 
I went waaaay to deep on this but I'll not sugarcoat it, these are the bets I made:

3u Whitmire 1,93
3u Meerschaert 2,24
3u Hubbard 2,81
3u Magny 2,55
3u Klose 2,30
3u Dariush + Meerschaert/Winn O1.5 2,14 (I regreted my Klose bet, basically)
3u Quiononez/O'Malley O1.5 + Madsen/Hubbard O1.5 1,92
3u Adesanya/Romero ITD + Zhang/JJ O1.5 2,02

I will need 4 out of those 8 to at least come out even. It should work out, in theory :D

I came out even with 3 out of 7 bets hitting (-0,2u to be exact).

Being on two out of three winning underdogs gives me even more confidence to trust my own instincts and to keep betting dogs in the future.

Too bad the Main Event was such a stinker, who would have imagined that.
Quinonez losing so fast was surprising to me.
Hubbard bet was alright at those odds and I had hedged the Klose bet with the Dariush parlay.
I do not regret any of my bets this time, although I made no cash :)
 
Really like your spreadsheet. What kind of odds ranges have you made of intervals? I see you got 100-120, is it then 120-140 and so on?
So much data you get out of this, really nice to see even if its alot of work. Must have taken alot of effort time and skill to perfect that sheet.
Can I ask the "Y" you got on the livebets in the middle section of the spreadsheet, was it that for? Yes to what? They are only for the livebets

Yeah I'm loving it, here are the odds ranges I use, though next year I think I'll switch it to 5% implied probability ranges (ex. -186 to -233, 65% to 70% etc.)
Screenshot_20200308-175020_Sheets.jpg

The column with the Y does indicate livebet, I also have it as a bet type option for easier filtering later. It's the best tracker available imo and can be found here: http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/google-sheets-betting-tracker/
 
Who the fook is this guy?
 

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