UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Official Bets

Fiziev/Oliveira double @ a bit over 4/1

Fiziev impressed me in his last fight. His movement is extremely impressive and his output is high.
I have a feeling that Tony is done whereas Oliveira is on a serious roll and seems to be right in his prime.
 
Dooze said:
0.5 U JDS Dec @ 9.5
1.5U Jacare Sub @ 6.0
1U (Free bet) Hooper Sub + Jacare sub @ 13.4
Click to expand...

Added;

3U Ferguson @ 1.58
2U Moicano @ 2.3
2U Ferguson + Fig @ 2.75
0.5U Ferguson + Fig KO @ 11
0.5U Dern KO @ 8.0 (hoping flattened out and refuses to give the choke so just gets GnP)
0.5U Moicano sub @ 5
2U Tucker/Billy goes the distance @ 1.73

0.5U (Free bet) - Moicano sub + Swanson Dec + Dern fight o1.5 + Ferg fight o1.5 + Tucker fight o1.5 @ 50.56

One day I'll learn to stick to overs/unders and SU bets rather than prop hunting.
 
Last edited:
- Charles Oliveira +150 $50 for $75
- Rafael Fiziev -135 $120 for $89
- Rafael Fiziev -125 $62.50 for $50
 
$486/$300
Gane by tko ko or dec -162

$200/$316
Gane by tko ko or dec
Tony Ferguson

$90/206
Billy Quarantillo -162
Kevin Holland +104

Bet ⭐️ free $9/748
Billy Q
Gane by tko or dec
Holland
Moicano
Ferguson
Figuredo
Titans ml
Pitt +3.5
Browns +1.5

Sh free $20/$524.15
Moicano
Billy q
Ferguson
Browns +3.5
Pitt +3.5
San Fran ml
 
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Ugh, didn't get as much time to tape as I had hoped this week. Bellator on Thursday taking up some time (taped Franklin-Garrett, which was canceled last minute, and Velasquez-MacFarlane, which I no-bet despite really wanting to hit GTD, gah) didn't help matters. Gane-JDS was a no-bet (although I would have hit over 1.5 at around evens where it opened), but am pretty happy with my other 2 bets;

2u on Jandiroba at +170
1.12u on Jacare at -112 (will add if price improves)
 
Don't like anything on this card so I figured I'd tail the sadistic guy for once, also got a £1 free bet on Barrett. Best of luck boys.
 
Didn’t get good odds because I waited until the last day and then it took a while for the deposit to be processed but fuck it, I’m in the Cucuy bandwagon.
<{JustBleed}>
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Invictis said:
My bets are all over the place, this thread actually gives me a chance to track them(I use various sites, and placed most of my bets 5+ days ago).

Moicano +130, 200 to win 260
JDS +325, 100 to win 325
Virna +160, 200 to win 320
Ferguson -130, 260 to win 200
Jacare +120, 200 to win 240

Degen parlays:

Moicano/Jacare/Virna/Ferg -- 30 to win 560.42
Jacare/Virna -- 50 to win 200
Ferg/Dern/Hill(X)/Spivac(X) -- 40 to win 220(but 2 legs are cancelled so I'm not sure on the payout)

Will add to Jacare KO if I can find it around +800 where it was a few days ago. Contemplating a play on JDS/Gane FGTD @ +210 as well.

Actually the most confident in Virna, which is crazy considering it's WMMA. WAY more confident in WB/Tybura/Pereira next week, probably should've went a bit smaller on this event.
Click to expand...

-1345, 0/5. Unfortunate, a lot of my reads were off. WP to everyone on the other side. I'll come back stronger next week.

I want to degen play Moreno but I'll save my money for the fights I'm more confident in next week.

I really need to learn to sit out during these PPV's where I don't have strong leans(I had a good read on Jandiroba/Jacare I thought, but apparently not).
 
DonQ94 said:
50 on Holland ML @ 2.05, couldn't resist these odds. I think Kevin is gonna run circles around slow old Jacaré and peace him up. Once it hits the ground Kevin is in a lot of danger, but I don't rate Jacarés tdd game that much and again think he is just too slow.

20 on Oliveira ML @ 2.50, I kinda hope Im wrong, because im a Boogey man fan, but I fear that Tony and Oliveira both hit a corner towards different slopes. I see Oliveira as the more technical fighter who has gained a lot of confidence. Also the 3 rounds favor Charles imo.

35 on Quarantillo ML @ 2.10, feels like I got a nice price for him. I think Billy is gonna outwork Tucker and possibly grind him out on the ground. Tucker is technically sound, but I don't think he has the power to fend a pressure fighter like Quarantillo.

Might add something later, but I usually wait till pretty late these days to finalize my bets because of covid shenanigans.
Click to expand...

Holland bet wasn't exactly according to my read, but glad it cashed. Was on the money with Chucky Olives, should have put a bit more.
My read for Billy 1 was off though, mainly because I underestimated tucker. He is pretty damn good.

Placed a livebet on Cub as well for an extra 24 which makes it +71 for the night.
 
PolarBearPaulVarelans said:
Ugh, didn't get as much time to tape as I had hoped this week. Bellator on Thursday taking up some time (taped Franklin-Garrett, which was canceled last minute, and Velasquez-MacFarlane, which I no-bet despite really wanting to hit GTD, gah) didn't help matters. Gane-JDS was a no-bet (although I would have hit over 1.5 at around evens where it opened), but am pretty happy with my other 2 bets;

2u on Jandiroba at +170
1.12u on Jacare at -112 (will add if price improves)
Click to expand...

Added

0.5u on Jacare at +110
1u on Oliveira at +141
1u on Oliveira at +161

As noted in the PBP thread, Oliveira-Ferguson was the only fight I didn't fully tape, and yet, it was the one that saved my bacon, leaving me a tiny -0.6u on the night.

Honestly, I'm perfectly fine with my other 2 bets on Brazilians. Yeah, Jacare lost to one of the most spectacular knockouts I've ever seen, but if you had told people he would get a takedown 5 seconds into the fight and keep Holland there, he would have been a big favorite pre-fight. Nor were there any signs that his chin was crumbling. Maybe should have kept the risk to 1u instead of 1.5u, but meh.

Jandiroba foolishly refused to stay in top position against Dern, which really hurt her in round 3 (might have won had she done that), and yet, very nearly won anyways, despite some very timely crotch kicks and eye-pokes by the Fake Brazilian. Dern looked like a -150 at the very best, so Jandiroba at +170 was a good play, even if it lost.

Welp, there are a wealth of fights next week, so I'll try to actually start early this time.
 
£50 Moreno +290 to win £145 *Draw*

£75 Tony decision +330 to win £196.17

£20 Tony / Fig +180 to win £35

£150 Dern / Jandiroba GTD +105 to win £155
*added £50 during event

£450 Souza +170 to win £765

£75 Gane KO -120 to win £62.50

£75 Moicano +130 to win £100

£20 Barnett +290 to win £58
..............................................
Net Profit: -£422.5
 
BigSteve said:
Hooper RD 1/2 200 to win 250

Torres + Gane 800 to win 455

Quarantilo 1,200 to win 984
Tucker DEC 184 to win 552
Fight to start RD3 868 to win 400

Pineda 100 to win 360

JDS/Gane O1.5 400 to win 290
Gane RD2 50 to win 250

Souza 600 to win 774 ( reduced to 400 )

Virna DEC 334 to win 868 ( reduced to 200 )

Ferguson 800 to win 470
Click to expand...

Added pre bet:

Cub DEC 100
Virna/Dern DEC 223 to win 200
Fig KO 235
Fig 1,2,3 400
Fig RD 1 100

-1,588 - 4u.
 
Got Moreno at 4.0 liveodds and went tier 10 degenerate all in.

Sweating bullets when they read the scorecard but tbh im not mad at the draw atleast got my initial bet money back haha.

i went 20$+ though from betting O2.5.

Better to win small then to lose everyting.
 
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