UFC 257: McGregor vs. Poirier 2 Official Bets

$900 Zhumagulov -112

$4500 Makhmud Muradov -125

$1200 Jessica Eye +103

$450 Hooker -135

$600 Ribas -315 mainly parlays

$250 Evloev/Lentz under 2.5 +214

Will be adding bets tomorrow good luck all

Edit* ... added a $1520 bet on Stephen Fulton in boxing match -152 ... doubt Leo can KO him and see no real way he can get a decision over him. (Boxing is where I make the most money) I expect the line to drop more possibly -130 -140 range. And I'll add more
What makes you so confident in Murdadov?
 
McGregor KO/TKO in round 2 or 3 10u @ +300 (Refunds if Conor loses)
McGregor vs Porier over 1.5 4u @ -120
Porier SUB 1u @ +1000

Eye 2u @ +100
Muradov 4u @ -161
Chandler 7u @ +100
Shoeface 5u @ +100
Pena DEC 2u @ +260
Rountree vs Prachinio over 1.5 3u @ +150

Still have tiny unit sizes.
Finished the last 4 events solidly in the green so I'm starting to gain confidence.
Didn't give this weeks picks much thought though.
 
Pena 2.5u ML at +115
Pena sub 0.5u +500
Hooker ML 2u -140
Ribas ML 2u -250
McGregor ML 2u -200
Added Eye ML 2u +100

Clearly went too heavy on Pena's ML (1.5u would have been enough) but I don't want to pay the hedge. GL yall
 
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Some random-ass bets.

0.15u Poirier SUB +1100
0.15u Poirier R4 +3300
0.1u Poirier R5 +3300

0.4u Hooker DEC +330
0.75u Hooker vs. Chandler o.2.5 –111 (not terribly happy with this bet)

1.5u Marina Rodriguez +250
0.25u Ribas SUB R1 +650

0.15u Shoeface SUB R1 +800

1u Khalil DEC +650

GL everyone!
 
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2 U Hooker (-136)
1 U Hooker / McGregor-Poirier fight to start round 4 NO (+131)
 
What makes you so confident in Murdadov?
Both fighters will get tired by round 3, but muradov should already have both rounds by then. If Sanchez tags him a few times, muradov actually has very good wrestling and offensive wrestling if he needs. Muradov also been training at the same camp as Tybura and Blachowicz who both had very great 2020. Ive always liked Muradov, favored him over Holland before he got covid. Dont love the match up against Sanchez, Sanchez can dog this fight, but I think kuradov should be 2 to 1 favorite
Sanchez is up to +155. I can start hedging down a little bit and improve my position to even money if need be but as of now I'm standing firm
 
£100 Connor rd 1 +240 to win £240
£50 Connor rd 2 +500 to win £250

£150 Hooker -138 to win £109.5

£600 Muradov -138 to win £436 *

£550 Junior +110 to win £605 *
£50 Junior sub +400 to win £200

£150 McMann -118 to win £122.5 *May live bet Peña after rd 1

£100 Rountree rd 1 +120 to win £120

£50 Albazi Sub +600 to win £300

*I plan to hedge these to a unit (£150) each close to fight time.
 
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Sorry if it's been mentioned already but Sadistic still post his picks?
 
Evloev RD3/DEC 300 to win 200

McMann 800 to win 763

Khalil RD1 KO 153 to win 300

Shoeface 308 to win 400
Fight starts RD3 385 to win 200

Muradov 400 to win 408
Sanchez DEC 100 to win 250

Eye RD3/DEC 200 to win 300

Hooker 413 to win 300

Connor 1,600 to win 833
 
Both fighters will get tired by round 3, but muradov should already have both rounds by then. If Sanchez tags him a few times, muradov actually has very good wrestling and offensive wrestling if he needs. Muradov also been training at the same camp as Tybura and Blachowicz who both had very great 2020. Ive always liked Muradov, favored him over Holland before he got covid. Dont love the match up against Sanchez, Sanchez can dog this fight, but I think kuradov should be 2 to 1 favorite
Sanchez is up to +155. I can start hedging down a little bit and improve my position to even money if need be but as of now I'm standing firm
Błachowicz trained there for Latifi, Manuwa and Corey. Tybura trains there recently yeh
 
Frustrating card to cap. Decided to pass on McMann-Pena and Calderwood-Eye, although I have a live-bet strategy for the former. I was absolutely certain that Hooker would be value at small minus odds, but watching tape closely made me seriously re-evaluate and now I'm passing, too. However, there is definitely value on the main event;

3u on Poirier at +250
 
McGregor gets picked apart and busted up. Diamond has gotten better. But .....

Too much chance for a dive here. Can't risk betting after Cerrone (Alverez, Menendez and Diaz) threw or distanced the fight.


But if this is a real fight - Mcgregor absolutely loses. No question.

Yea I wouldnt bet on this either due to diving concerns. But disagree on your premise. McG took his time to pack the muscle on. I'm assuming this means his power went up in spades. He says his endurance is also on point. He could be much more dangerous than the oversized FW form that fought Khabib.
 
Haven't been making many plays lately but I kinda like this card.

Simon (win)+ Evloev 2.5u for 1.5u

Mcgregor -5 1/2 + Shoeface NSC + Makhmud/Sanchez O1.5+ Eye/Calderwood Goes Distance
.7u for 1.9u
 
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