UFC 257: McGregor vs. Poirier 2 Official Bets

[BaruchSpinoza]

Some random-ass bets.

0.15u Poirier SUB +1100
0.15u Poirier R4 +3300
0.1u Poirier R5 +3300

0.4u Hooker DEC +330
0.75u Hooker vs. Chandler o.2.5 –111 (not terribly happy with this bet)

1.5u Marina Rodriguez +250
0.25u Ribas SUB R1 +650

0.15u Shoeface SUB R1 +800

1u Khalil DEC +650

GL everyone!

+.65u.
Really bit myself in the ass by playing greedy/cheeky prop bets. From my takes on these fights I should have made money off of both Poirier and Khalil–Prachnio GTD.

For Khalil vs. Prachnio I think I made a bit of a reasoning error thinking Khalil should by way more likely to win a decision. My take was that Khalil would give an anxious-ridden performance but that his technical superiority would carry him through to a decision win. However, the idea that he would underperform but not underperform enough to lose a decision actually covers a quite small window of possibilities. There was definitely value on Khalil by DEC at +650, but I wish I would have just played the o1.5 or GTD instead...

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

+$760

Year to date: + $13,301

Didn't do great with ufc. Live bet on rountree was a killer. Eye and Zhalgas were bad reads. Loaded up on Muradov bet and the Fulton bet in boxing was huge for me. That line dropped to -130 and I added more. I bet about 500 on Pena +105. Avoided the McGregor loss but lost my fight starts round 3 bet

 

[Casual Cro Cop]

33 on Albazi ML to win 30
10 on Albazi by DEC to win 15
25 on Shoeface ML to win 26.25
10 on Shoeface by DEC to win 25
30 on Muradov to win 19.35
10 on Muradov by DEC to win 20
36.25 on Hooker ML to win 25
10 on Hooker by KO/TKO to win 15
25 on Poirier ML to win 68.75

Overall layed 189.25 and ended the night with 231.07, coming up 41.82

This is only the 5th card I've bet on so I'm playing relatively small amounts. So far 4/5 events I have managed to end in the green (but only marginal profit). I really wish I would have played more on Dustin but I let all the talk get in my head and discourage me from making a bigger bet. I think I'm being stupid with my small prop bets (for example 10 on Muradov to win DEC when my ML play only nets me 19.35, which means I only really won 9.35 on my bigger play since my prop didn't hit). Overall I feel positive and have been having fun. If anyone has any advice for a beginner it is much appreciated.

 

[Bakayoko]

I know parlays are not a very smart thing but couldn't help myself:
Tsarukyan x Evloev x Hooker 2,46 800$
Hooker ITD 2,45 150 $
Mcgregor ITD 1,53 300 $

Totally lame.Down more than 1500 in 2021,after being 4k up last 3 months of 2020.
Still don't believe in Chandler,Hooker was TOTALLY off,will continue to fade Chandler going forward.

 

[2bet]

4u Zhumagulov 1,89
4u Pena 1,93
4u Shoeface + Ribas 2,85
4u Eye 2,01
4u Hooker 1,80
4u Poirier 3,50
4u Chandler/Hooker U2.5 2,00
4u Main Event does not start R4 1,38

+3,24u
Overall in 2021: -6,16u

 

[MMAOracle]

33 on Albazi ML to win 30
10 on Albazi by DEC to win 15
25 on Shoeface ML to win 26.25
10 on Shoeface by DEC to win 25
30 on Muradov to win 19.35
10 on Muradov by DEC to win 20
36.25 on Hooker ML to win 25
10 on Hooker by KO/TKO to win 15
25 on Poirier ML to win 68.75

Overall layed 189.25 and ended the night with 231.07, coming up 41.82

This is only the 5th card I've bet on so I'm playing relatively small amounts. So far 4/5 events I have managed to end in the green (but only marginal profit). I really wish I would have played more on Dustin but I let all the talk get in my head and discourage me from making a bigger bet. I think I'm being stupid with my small prop bets (for example 10 on Muradov to win DEC when my ML play only nets me 19.35, which means I only really won 9.35 on my bigger play since my prop didn't hit). Overall I feel positive and have been having fun. If anyone has any advice for a beginner it is much appreciated.

good stuff.
When I first started, I was stupid and played with too much. I am now betting little more than you are doing now. I think this is smart. Start small. But even with small bets, I still get the same excitement.