Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by BigSteve, Feb 9, 2021.
Actually have a few bets already, will finalize closer to date
Usman to win in Round 4,5 or dec +100
$5 Jim Miller by 1st round sub +1400
$50 Usman round 4/5/dec -115
$25 Usman dec +140 (PointsBet promo)
Nothing really sticking out to me in this other than that
Martin -160 $100
Marquez -170 $75
Barber +105 $40
Belal + Aspinall $100
MMA betting prohibited in Germany,
does someone have a solution?
wouldnt a VPN work? Also please post this in the other thread.
12 units Usman -205
2 units Usman KO/TKO +310
Vieira+Belal+Simon/Kelleher DNGTD 2u
Burns+Vieira+Belal+Simon/Kelleher DNGTD 2.5u
Usman KO/TKO or DEC 5u @ -189
Usman DEC 1.4u @ +130
Usman KO/TKO round 4 or 5 0.4u @ +2000
Heinisch 0.6u @ +187
Heinisch DEC 0.2u @ +400
Edit: Added Maycee Barber 0.6u @ +100 and Ricky Simon ITD 0.4u @ +375
isn't that his moneyline?
Yes it is.
I meant KO/TKO or DEC
$600 Maycee Barber +118
$1400 Gastelum -210 (if money comes in on Heinisch I may add)
$350 Mallory Martin -135
$2200 Ricky Simon -245
$1800 Gabe Green -118 (I'm looking to add more. Think people will buy into Rowes height advantage)
$700 Under 2.5 -117
$200 Robertson +120
$450 under 2.5 +140
I'm looking to bet Chris Gutierrez I think. I'm 90% there... some prop bets I'm looking at are Green KO, Robertson sub, barber KO, barber/Grayson under, kelleher sub to hedge, and gastelum KO and maybe usman ITD. I'll be betting as the fights go on and adding more.
$500 Fabio Cherant -105
$3800 Shavkatdzhon Rakhimov +190 (his opponent Jojo is currently -155 so I can hedge and probably will if line keeps tightening) Jojo came in 3.5 pounds overweight and that's more beneficial in boxing than ufc weight is huge so I'm a little more nervous will hedge off a bit
$800 Richard Commey -280 (multiple parlay piece)
$200 Barber +130
$270 Usman -270
$100 Usman KO +300
$100 Heinisch rd3/dec +300
$20 fight ends in rd4 +1600
$20 fight ends in rd5 +2200
Edit: for clarity, I'm not very confident in some of these picks. Hence the rather low sizing. If I have a STRONG lean like I did in some cards in the end of 2020/UFC 257, you'll see me bet $500 or more on a single play.
Next week's card I'm struggling to find good spots on, too.
20 on Robertson ML at +130
35 on Gabe Green ML at -130
20 on Green vs Rowe under 2.5 at -134
30 on Muhammed by DEC at -139
30 on Simon by DEC at -134
30 on Barber ML at +105
33 on Usman in Rd 5 or DEC at +110
20 on Muhammed by DEC + Green vs Rowe under 2.5 at +201
Hail Mary Prop: 10 on Simon DEC + Muhammed DEC + Rodolfo Sub + Usman DEC at +870
A little worried about this one since I am relying on way more props than I have before. I think they are all have very solid potentials but still. Since all these lines are so wide I figured this is the best way to go. We'll see lol.
Which book did you get this line? Not bad
Super busy this week, didn't have a lot of time to watch tape. Lot of fights I don't have a good lean on, so I'm avoiding them instead of putting money on them just to have a bet. I haven't quite reached that stage of gambling degeneracy yet, lol.
With that being said, here are my picks this week.
Maverick ML 0.5 U
Maverick DEC 0.5 U
Marquez ML 1 U
Heinisch ML 0.5 U
Barber 0.5 U
FGTD 0.5 U
Usman ML 2.0 U
Usman R4 0.1 U
Usman R5 0.1 U
FGTD 1.5 U
4u Green + Gastelum 2,49
4u Green/Rowe ITD + Simon 2,27
4u Gutierrez 1,77
4u Martin 1,67
4u Marquez 1,55
4u Barber 2,20
4u Burns 3,25
2u Vieira R1 +110
Separate names with a comma.