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UFC 258: Usman vs Burns Official Betts

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by BigSteve, Feb 9, 2021.

  1. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    I don't really like having everything riding on Vieira and Belal but let's see where it goes.

    ●Vieira -3 1/2 + Belal -3 1/2
    .95u for .75u

    ●Vieira -3 1/2 + Belal -3 1/2 + Simon ML + Usman/Burns starts r3
    .45u for 1u

    ●Vieira -3 1/2 + Belal -3 1/2 + Simon DEC + Green ML + Usman -5 1/2 + Brundage(LFA)
    .35u for 6u
     
    GigaOuts likes this.
  2. DonQ94 Blue Belt

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    €40 on Usman Rd 4, 5 or Dec @2.00
    €10 on Ewell by Decision @ 3.55

    Light card for me because I can't be arsed with this shitty card tbf. Normally there's good betting spots to balance it out, but even those are lacking.
     
  3. The Hooligan White Belt

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    Usman ML + Vieira ML @ -140 2U
    Barber ML @ -105 1U
     
  4. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Had more significant bets on Miller-Green and Robertson-Maverick, but both of those were canceled, yuck.

    For now, a paltry

    1.2u on Martin at -103
     
    Jordan3399 likes this.
  5. benebox Black Belt

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    £300 Burns +240 to win £720
    £150 Usman decision +138 to win £202.5

    £300 Gastelum -200 to win £150

    £100 Simon decision -120 to win £83.33

    £75 Vieira rd 1 +110 to win £82.5

    £300 Green +154 to win £464.84
     
    Casual Cro Cop likes this.
  6. BigSteve Green Belt

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    Green KO/DEC 250 to win 330 ( bonus bet )
    Rowe KO 250 to win 525 ( bonus bet )
    Green KO 100 to win 500
    Under 2.5 400 to win 325

    Ewell DEC 115 to win 300

    Martin 560 to win 350
    Martin RD3/DEC 157 to win 150
    Viana RD1 50 to win 350
    Viana SUB 100 to win 472

    Bella 1,600 to win 480

    Viera RD1 Sub 200 to win 276
    Viera U2.5 400 to win 244

    Grasso 400 to win 290
     
    SolarSeiko likes this.
  7. PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Added 1u on Simon at -234 (didn't post because I was too busy with tennis live-betting)
    2u live bet on Usman at -186

    Ending with a small +0.3u for the night.

    No regrets about the Martin bet. I thought the only ways Viana could win would be a lucky right cross KO or a guard sub. At evens, you take the chances of a guard sub, especially on a girl with competent jits who has never been guard-subbed against someone who couldn't even guard sub Cifers. Oh well, I'm no fan of Martin, hence why I didn't go heavier.

    Should have gone heavier on Simon at -234, though, and probably added to Usman when he got down to -140. I predicted that Burns would have a good round 1, which he did, but Usman had a big edge in cardio and chin. Of course, Usman's striking was even better than I anticipated.

    Anywho, this would have been a more serious betting card for me if Green-Miller and Maverick-Robertson weren't cancelled, but I'll take the small win.

    Especially since I was massacred on tennis the past two days, heh.
     
    svmr_db likes this.
  8. Invictis Brown Belt

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    I added 116 on Molly idiotically, and 75 on the under in the Belal fight.

    Both missed.

    Added $50 to an Usman/Kelvin parlay boost @ +150 on FD. Added another 100 to Usman ITD @ +310.

    So +254 for the night. Meh.

    If Usman lost, I'd be fucked.

    Overexposed myself, not happy having to rely on tilt betting a +310 prop to save my night.
     
    svmr_db and Kamais_Ookin like this.
  9. bendoman White Belt

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    Usman KO/TKO or DEC 5u @ -189
    Usman DEC 1.4u @ +130
    Usman KO/TKO round 4 or 5 0.4u @ +2000

    Heinisch 0.6u @ +187
    Heinisch DEC 0.2u @ +400

    Maycee Barber 0.6u @ +100
    Ricky Simon ITD 0.4u @ +375

    Bad picks. -1.5u.
     
  10. DonQ94 Blue Belt

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    Wrong kinda sweep - 50, yikes. Read the Usman fight wrong, thought it was gonna be another grind fest. Looking to bounce back on the next cards.
     
    bendoman likes this.
  11. 2bet Green Belt

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    -0,76u
    another unsuccessful night, another close loss

    My Overall in 2021 on UFC prebets: -6,79u
    2021 UFC Events I made money on: 2 out of 5
     
  12. Jordan3399 Brown Belt

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    Should have bet Grasso and got yourself up a modest 9u as well <seedat>
     
  13. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    I knew I got greedy with that Rodolfo line. A shame everything else was on point. I should have trusted my read on Simon more as well. Managed to get a unit back with a late parlay that barely hit.
    Screenshot_2021-02-14-08-27-48.png
    Prebets -1.75u
    Total -.75u
     
    NinjaCat456 likes this.
  14. benebox Black Belt

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    £300 Burns +240 to win £720
    £150 Usman decision +138 to win £202.5

    £300 Gastelum -200 to win £150

    £100 Simon decision -120 to win £83.33

    £75 Vieira rd 1 +110 to win £82.5

    Added.... £100 Belal decision -120 to win 83.33

    £500 Green +154 to win £500 (I was too slow on the part cash out so won an extra £45)
    ......................
    Total: £208.33
     
    Invictis and bendoman like this.
  15. Casual Cro Cop White Belt

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    35 on Gabe Green ML at -130 to win 61.95
    20 on Green vs Rowe under 2.5 at -134
    20 on Viana/Martin u2.5 at +212 (had a +25% boost on Draftkings) to win 62.50
    30 on Muhammed by DEC at -139 to win 51.60
    30 on Simon by DEC at -134 to win 52.50
    30 on Barber ML at +105
    33 on Usman in Rd 5 or DEC at +110
    10 free bet on Usman by KO/TKO to win 25
    20 on Muhammed by DEC + Green vs Rowe under 2.5 at +201
    Hail Mary Prop: 10 on Simon DEC + Muhammed DEC + Rodolfo Sub + Usman DEC at +870

    Overall laid down 228 to and ended up with 253.55, coming up a whopping 25.55 lol

    If that Green/Rowe under2.5 would have hit my nice would be real nice since I had it bet straight and had it parlayed with Belal by decision. Also, betting Barber was a real dumb move. that guy Jordan was right, I'm an idiot for not taping that enough and getting influenced by hype. I was really confident Usman would take this by decision but glad I took that $10 free bet on threw it on Usman by KO/TKO just to cover my ass in case he got Burns out of there early than I anticipated. That free bet ended up being virtually my only profit for the night lol. This is the seventh event I have ever bet on (first being Fig vs Moreno) and I'm just happy to still have my money in my account to play next week. This card was difficult to call and I had to play way more props than I would have preferred but it kinda worked out. Still betting relatively low amounts compared to most people on here but I'm still a beginner so I'm working myself up for bigger plays.
     
    NinjaCat456 likes this.
  16. WolfgangKennelz Yellow Belt

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    +$2950
    2021 +13,291

    Only fight I watched was Gabe green. I was out drinking and my phone died. I put an extra $1200 on gastelum after I hit that fight. Never got to bet Gutierrez or usman ITD and a few other bets

    Also my big bet in boxing was a DRAW at +190. I hedged off a couple grand w Jojo Diaz but felt Shavkat won the fight watching today.. hit w Commey and hit w Cherant LFA Friday night. 2 weeks in a row I missed big money by not even watching. Smh. Gota get more disciplined
     
    Sono07 likes this.
  17. BigSteve Green Belt

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    Added pre bet:

    Gutierrez 550 to win 400
    Hernandez 50 to win 200
    Kelleher 154
    Kelleher finish 50
    Kelleher SUB 50
    Heinisch/Gastelum O2.5 800 to win 320
    Grasso 400 to win 363
    Main O3.5 188


    +764 = 1.9u
     
    NinjaCat456 likes this.

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