UFC 258: Usman vs Burns

any thoughts on robertson vs Maverick? Robertson seems to struggle vs strong physical fighters, I think Maverick is that, but she lacks experience.
 
Anybody else think Simon wins pretty comfortably? I think it probably goes alot like Stamann vs Kelleher with Simon having more success in the grappling exchanges.

I think its a tight decision for Simon. Brian has been far more active in 2020 while Simon has had 2 fights from 2020-2021. Ricky has fought better competition, younger and a tiny tiny reach advantage.
 
Burns best chance for victory is KO imo, he won’t outgrapple Uz, or outvolume him. I could see how Usmans stiffness strikingwise become a big liability vs a very explosive Durinho, maybe it’s ego that make Kamaru so stationary during exchanges.
 
Burns best chance for victory is KO imo, he won’t outgrapple Uz, or outvolume him. I could see how Usmans stiffness strikingwise become a big liability vs a very explosive Durinho, maybe it’s ego that make Kamaru so stationary during exchanges.
i think its his 2 bad knees that make him stationary. He also has shit boxing when he throws more than one punch. in almost all his highlights you can see that he drops his hands after throwing punches, never keeps them high. You will see that he drops his hands near his waist after each punch.

BUT, he hasn't received much damage to his head over the years. I think it's going to take a lot to crack his jaw and put him out.
 
I think it's gonna be primarily a striking match and i like burns chances there. Played him straight and have vieira on a parlay, think he rolls easily.

Jim Miller 1st round sub play definitely on the table against low fight IQ Bobby Green
indeed. It's more less his only ptv. Will put a couple coins once lines are available.
 
I think its a tight decision for Simon. Brian has been far more active in 2020 while Simon has had 2 fights from 2020-2021. Ricky has fought better competition, younger and a tiny tiny reach advantage.
I think Simons strength and wrestling should give him the advantage here. If he loses the stand up I see him forcing the clinch or constantly shooting for TD's. The only way I really see Kelleher winning is landing a bomb or getting lucky and catching a guillotine. I might have to play Simon Dec and Kelleher NSC.
 
indeed. It's more less his only ptv. Will put a couple coins once lines are available.

Fanduel sportsbook has it at +1300. Surprised they had round/method combos out this early. I put $5 there
 
As of right now I can't fuck all for spots I like on this card.

I think Usman wins, but Burns is a TOUGH matchup for him. I'd play him at -200, not -280.

I think SImon wins, but once again, Kelleher is game, and -300 on Simon is too pricey.
 
Jim Miller 1st round sub play definitely on the table against low fight IQ Bobby Green
Bobby plays around too much with his striking but his grappling IQ seems to be pretty solid. Bobby should have the striking advantage and be able to use his grappling defensively only here. I just don't see him carelessly diving in and getting subbed like Roberts did. To me it seems like Green Dec and goes the distance should be pretty safe here. Under 1.5 rounds is +345 on Dimes if you think Miller can catch him early though.
 
Miller seems to fade late as well, he as a ton of mileage on him happy to see him around still but Green is gonna have a big speed advantage and will probably outpoint him on the feet.
 
I just can't trust Simon at -275. Kelleher can CRACK.
Im playing kelleher inside the distance at +400. I think thats great value, kelleher wont win this by decision imo.
 
any thoughts on robertson vs Maverick? Robertson seems to struggle vs strong physical fighters, I think Maverick is that, but she lacks experience.

Robertson could end up on bottom. She doesnt sweep much, just goes for armbars. Low percentage move imo. Maverick tdd is poor, and her grappling is not on same level as robertson. If robertson gets top position a submission or even tko by gnp is likely. I think its all about who gets the td first.
 
I think +120 on maycee barber looks pretty good...
She has way more dog in her than Grasso who fights trying to look clean and pretty with her striking. Think barber might not be as fundamentally sound, but could dog out the win, appears to be physically stronger, and if it comes down to it should want it more. Also expect the learning curve to favor the younger fighter
Also leaning slightly toward Robertson, but no way am I willing to lay big money on her like I'm thinking of doing on Barber
 
I think +120 on maycee barber looks pretty good...
She has way more dog in her than Grasso who fights trying to look clean and pretty with her striking. Think barber might not be as fundamentally sound, but could dog out the win, appears to be physically stronger, and if it comes down to it should want it more. Also expect the learning curve to favor the younger fighter
Also leaning slightly toward Robertson, but no way am I willing to lay big money on her like I'm thinking of doing on Barber

Barber lost to Roxie tho her last fight.

I love Roxie, but she isn't a very good fighter (anymore), and if that's the kind of loss Barber takes when getting a "step up" in competition?

Edit never mind, she tore her ACL early in the first in that loss. This'll be her first fight back from an ACL, about 13 months.
 
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Barber lost to Roxie tho her last fight.

I love Roxie, but she isn't a very good fighter (anymore), and if that's the kind of loss Barber takes when getting a "step up" in competition?

Isn't this the fight that she tore her acl in?
 
I'm playing Miller rd1.

If he wins round 1 convinsingly, I'm live betting Bobby, as Miller fades after round 1 in every fight.

To play devil's advocate though, Green loses a lot of decisions he should win. So Miller backpacking Green in rd1 and not getting the finish, rd2 being Green favored but close, and Green winning round 3 handedly could still equate to a Miller decision.
 
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