UFC 259: Blachowicz vs Adesanya - official bets

Lots of no-bets on various fights (although I dearly wish I had gotten Lemos at plus odds or even -150), and I'm simply going to enjoy Yan vs. Sterling as a fan of the sport, but did put

3.16u on Rakic at -158
1.6u on Brady-Matthews GTD at -160

Will be looking to bet the main event and possibly another bet on Brady vs. Matthews.

Edit- Added another play.
 
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my most promising parlay so far

  • Uros Medic (-175)Uros Medic vs Aalon Cruz
  • Trevin Jones (+185)Mario Bautista vs Trevin Jones
  • Amanda Lemos (-250)Livinha Souza vs Amanda Lemos
  • Rogerio Bontorin (+110)Kai Kara France vs Rogerio Bontorin
  • Askar Askarov (-140)Askar Askarov vs Joseph Benavidez
  • Kyler Phillips (+140)Yadong Song vs Kyler Phillips
  • Casey Kenney (-135)Dominick Cruz vs Casey Kenney
  • Aleksandar Rakic (-165)Aleksandar Rakic vs Thiago Santos
  • Islam Makhachev (-450)Islam Makhachev vs Drew Dober
  • Israel Adesanya (-230)Israel Adesanya vs Jan Blachowicz
 
Little bit late to the pary, life is full on atm. Will add bets I recon as the event goes on:

Lemos 1,200 to win 750

Ulberg 2,000 to win 1,066

Benevidez 455 to win 500

Song 1,000 to win 666

Main O1.5 1,000 to win 400

Will probably add Elliot and Cruz, still researching inbetween fights
 
Chances Ulberg gets the finish?

Also, chances Rakic wins a DEC?
 
2u Rakic -180
1.5u Izzy-Islam at -128
2u Cruz +116
Yan 2.5 u -127 (fucked up with the odds on this one...)

GL
 
my most promising parlay so far

  • Uros Medic (-175)Uros Medic vs Aalon Cruz
  • Trevin Jones (+185)Mario Bautista vs Trevin Jones
  • Amanda Lemos (-250)Livinha Souza vs Amanda Lemos
  • Rogerio Bontorin (+110)Kai Kara France vs Rogerio Bontorin
  • Askar Askarov (-140)Askar Askarov vs Joseph Benavidez
  • Kyler Phillips (+140)Yadong Song vs Kyler Phillips
  • Casey Kenney (-135)Dominick Cruz vs Casey Kenney
  • Aleksandar Rakic (-165)Aleksandar Rakic vs Thiago Santos
  • Islam Makhachev (-450)Islam Makhachev vs Drew Dober
  • Israel Adesanya (-230)Israel Adesanya vs Jan Blachowicz

Why are you putting a -450 in a parlay. Goddamnit.
 
Added some last min bets for this card...

£20 Nunes / Adesyana +100 to win £20

£150 Adesyana KO +170 to win £225

£75 Sterling +110 to win £77.50

£75 Makhachev decision +100 to win £75

£30 Santos rd 1 +400 to win £150

£450 Cruz +115 to win £517.5
£150 Cruz decision +210 to win £305

£75 song decision +200 to win £150
 
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Lots of no-bets on various fights (although I dearly wish I had gotten Lemos at plus odds or even -150), and I'm simply going to enjoy Yan vs. Sterling as a fan of the sport, but did put

3.16u on Rakic at -158
1.6u on Brady-Matthews GTD at -160

Will be looking to bet the main event and possibly another bet on Brady vs. Matthews.

Edit- Added another play.

Hit Cruz at for 1.2u at -120 after round 2 and also gave back about 0.67u betting Adesanya at -241, heh.

Overall, a miniscule +0.73u. Tough card to bet, honestly. Liked my GTD play on Brady-Matthews; I thought Matthews would at least be very close standing, which he was, and I knew Brady would probably have a grappling edge, I just didn't realize how much. Would have still hit except that Matthews decided to simply give up with a minute left. Ugh.

Also, I've now bet against Blach in his last 4 fights, and lost each one, but this one was tiny. Props to him for implementing the perfect gameplan to defeat Izzy. Funnily enough, I think Vadim Nemkov absolutely decimates Blach, but hey, he is technically the champion.

Hope I find more spots to hit next week, although there is a bunch of tennis that will sap some of my time and attention.
 
£20 Nunes / Adesyana +100 to win £20

£150 Adesyana KO +170 to win £225
*Cashed out £75* -£75

£75 Sterling +110 to win £77.50

£75 Makhachev decision +100 to win £75

£30 Santos rd 1 +400 to win £150

£450 Cruz +115 to win £517.5
£150 Cruz decision +210 to win £305

£75 song decision +200 to win £150

...............................
Net profit: £625
 
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I am down -$411 for the day, but it was due to my biggest bet of the day losing, and it was via split-decision. If I didn't bet so much on that one fight, I would've been up a lot for the day. Either way, I liked the spot, but Casey Kenney had bad fight IQ in Round 3.

See you guys next week~ <Moves>
 
My only regret for this card is that I don't have more units to give. Let's see how it goes.

●Mario 2.3u for 1u
Look out for flying knees

●Medic 1.6u for 1u
The doctor is in let's hope we don't need the surgical team


Parlays and stuff

●Izzy -5 1/2, Nunes KO, Islam -3 1/2, Brady, Ulberg -3 1/2, Medic, Bautista -3 1/2 .3u for 10u
Got my shit mixed on the prebets when Mario let me down. Thankfully I got by live betting and dodged the Yan schenanigans. Thank you Rakic, Elliot, Kyler, and Jan.

Prebets
Bautista -2.3u
Medic +1u
Parlay -.3

Prebet total
-1.6u

Prebets + Live bets
small profit but I'll take it
+.7u
 

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Aalon +143 1.25
Ulberg -210 3
Lemos -124 4
Song -150 2.3
Jacoby + Ulberg +140 2.5
Anderson +900 0.5
Jan +225 0.6

BOL as always, sherbros.
God. Fucking Ulberg. Hope his plane crashes on the way home.
 
Lost a bit over 10k today.

Was fun though, and at least my boi Cruz won. Not sure I could have handled it if that annoying Casey had gotten the nod.
 
Little bit late to the pary, life is full on atm. Will add bets I recon as the event goes on:

Lemos 1,200 to win 750

Ulberg 2,000 to win 1,066

Benevidez 455 to win 500

Song 1,000 to win 666

Main O1.5 1,000 to win 400

Will probably add Elliot and Cruz, still researching inbetween fights

Added Pre bet:

Bontorin 400
Joey B 400
Main O1.5 500 to win 200
Cruz 1,000 to win 1,000

-2000= 4u Bit of a slump recently, dont like it
 
got killed again, I doubled down and live bet Izzy and seconds later Jan got that first takedown and I knew I was fucked

worst of all was Yan though, my luck this year has been horrible lmao

buying a house and betting it on Yan in the rematch though even though I think he’s gonna probably be a comfortable favorite and rightfully so, I thought his odds for this fight were an absolute gift and he was showing why up until that fucking knee
 
Adesanya ITD 2u @ +110
Blachowicz KO/TKO 0.5u @ +450

Adesanya / Yan 1u @ +175

Sterling ML 0.5u @ +100

Cruz ML 4u @ +125
Cruz DEC 1u @ +187


Santos ML 0.5u @ +137
Askarov ML 1u @ -139
Bontorin ML 1u @ +110

Cruz saved me from a bad night, +2.5u.
 
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