Here are some thoughts for tonight:
Izzy/Jan
Another bull vs matador fight for Izzy, but Jan has way higher fight IQ and is far more well rounded than Costa. And he's patient. He can't obviously get in a distance striking match with Izzy or he will get clowned, he needs to clinch up and make it ugly. I think Jan is a live dog because of multiple paths to victory but still a pass at current odds. I think I like the o2.5 a bit at -150ish because neither guy will rush things and try to force something that's not there. I really hope not, but if Jan isn't willing to force his way inside, there's a chance it could be a boring staring contests like Izzy vs Yoel. And of course there's always the chance Izzy gives us a highlight reel KO a la prime Anderson Silva.
Nunes/Anderson
Such a massive grappling edge, I'll go with Nunes rd 2. I'll say sub, but gnp equally as likely. Megan's only chance is to land something huge early on imo.
Yan/Sterling
Aljo is criminally underrated in a general sense, only getting caught by that Moraes head kick has him not champ already . Yan is an ultra aggressive wrecking machine. Great fight. I think it will wholly depend on how much Aljo can get his grappling going. He doesn't need to find a sub necessarily, but he has to give Yan multiple things to think about. And the longer he can hold him down, the more he can manage his own energy while making Yan use his defending. I lean Sterling, but would not be surprised at all if Yan wins. Both guys are for real.
Dober/Machachaev
Dober has a massive amount of confidence right now, but I have doubts about whether he can keep the fight standing. If he can, he's dangerous as hell and can end Islam's night at any time. If not, he's going to be in survival mode the second it hits the mat. Dober isn't equipped to deal with Machachaev's skill level on the mat. I think Islam finds a sub and would play that at +3xx for sure.
Rakic/Santos
Santos rd 1 +450ish seems okay. Rakic probably gets his grappling going and smothers Santos, but if Santos is to win it's likely by hurting Rakic early on. Rakic dec +250 is alright too, Santos has proven he's no quitter. He won't look for a way out and will gut it out even if he's losing.
Kenney/Dom Cruz
I have to lean Kenney ML -135. Just way too hard to trust how much Cruz has left at this point. His style was befuddling to opponents when he was in his prime, but those days are long gone. Kenney is well rounded and at this point likely faster. Probably decision but wouldn't even be shocked if he find's Dom's chin and puts him away.
Askarov/Joe B
I don't know what to think. Joe at dog odds I guess looks okay, hard to know exactly what he has left. Do we really write him off because of 2 losses to Fig? But...he's also at that age where guy in the smaller weight classes can drop off a ton.
Phillips/Yadong
Can't remember Phillips so won't comment. I will say that while Yadong is very solid, he hasn't looked special to me. Good fighter...but great? Meh.
KKF/Bontorin
Don't remember Bontorin, no comment
Espinosa/Elliot
Well...Elliot likely looks good early but will his gas tank hold up when he's trying to push an insane pace? I'd probably Elliot ML and toss a tiny hedge on Espinosa rd 3 at +1600ish.
Ulberg/Nzechukwu
I don't know anything about Ulberg other than that he's a kickboxer with little MMA experience. Nzechukwu is not very good imo. Very flawed defensively, seems to lack killer instinct, just kind of a tall guy who's...there. If Ulberg is ANY sort of kickboxer he should finish here, but octagon debut would make me at least a little nervous.
Matthews/Brady
I think Brady wins, but wouldn't pay -200 or more on him here. Matthews has been in there against much better competition than Brady has. Brady has looked great, but Matthews is game. Hard pass for betting.
A Cruz/Medic
I only remember Cruz getting KO's by that Alpha Ginger guy, Spike. Haven't seen Medic. Can't comment.
Lemos/Souza
WMMA...dog or pass on this one.
Bautista/Jones
I lean Bautista, but the bet I like I think is u2.5 at +155ish. Both guys very good finishing ability, good chance there's some fireworks.